Subject: Daily Scan of COVID-19 Scientific Publications / survol journalier des publications scientifiques du COVID-19, 2020-11-05

 

Good afternoon,

There are 383 citations in today’s scan. 286 were considered primary research or review literature.

Highlights today include:

 

PUBLIC HEALTH INTERVENTION

·       Kwok et al. Many countries have implemented border restriction as a public health measure to limit local outbreak. However, there is inadequate scientific data to support such a practice, especially in the presence of an established local transmission of the disease. As a public health measure to tackle COVID-19, border restriction is effective in reducing cumulative cases and mortality.

·       Grundel et al provide insights on how much testing and social distancing is required to control COVID-19. They develop a compartmental model that accounts for key aspects of the disease: 1) incubation time, 2) age-dependent symptom severity, and 3) testing and hospitalization delays. They find that an early and short lockdown is inevitable but can be slowly relaxed over the following months.

·       Russell et al developed a mathematical simulation to evaluate the effectiveness of quarantine and testing, alone and in combination, across a variety of scenarios. We found that quarantine was more effective than testing alone, even for quarantine as short as two days, and the value of adding testing to quarantine diminished for longer quarantine durations. Testing was most effective if performed near the end of quarantine. Compliance of travelers and the percent of infections that were asymptomatic greatly influenced policy effectiveness.

·       Saad et al explore the efficacy of an Active Surveillance testing model where a random number of students are tested daily for early detection of asymptomatic patients and for prevention of the infection among the student population. In addition to health impacts, we also analyze the financial impact of deploying the Active Surveillance system in schools while taking into consideration lost workdays of parents, hospitalization costs, and testing costs.

TRANSMISSION

·       Jones et al., evaluate the interactions between SARS-CoV-2 positive players and other players during rugby league matches, to determine the risk of in-game SARS-CoV-2 transmission. SARS-CoV-2 positive players were within a 2 m proximity of other players for up to 316 secs, from 60 interactions. 95 players returned negative and 5 players returned within 14 days of the match however sources of transmission were linked to internal club outbreaks and wider-community transmission. Despite a high number of tackle involvements and close proximity interactions, these data suggest that in-game SARS-CoV-2 transmission is limited during these types of team sport activities played outdoors.

IMMUNOLOGY

·       Delmas et al  investigated the prevalence of antibodies IgG against SARS-CoV-2 among all HCW in the Paris centre University hospital. Overall, the prevalence of IgG antibodies was of 11.5 and was significantly higher for paramedical staff. Five clinical symptoms were independently associated with positive serology including asthenia, fever, myalgia, ageusia and anosmia for which the higher odd ratio was obersved. The proportion of asymptomatic subjects with a positive serology was 21.4%.  

·       Chen et al. identify molecular markers in peripheral blood and plasma samples of 66 COVID‐19 patients experiencing a range of disease severities and 17 healthy controls. Chronic activation of neutrophils, IFN‐I signalling as well as a high level of inflammatory cytokines were observed in patients with severe disease progression. In contrast, COVID‐19 patients experiencing milder disease symptoms showed robust T cell responses. Finally, we identified genes, proteins and exRNAs as potential biomarkers that might assist in predicting the prognosis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.

EPIDEMIOLOGY

·       Fetzer, T., documents that a large-scale government subsidy aimed at encouraging people to eat out in restaurants in the wake of the first 2020 COVID19 wave in the United Kingdom has had a large causal impact in accelerating the subsequent second COVID19 wave. The UK subsidized 50% off the cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks for an unlimited number of visits in participating restaurants on Mondays-Wednesdays from August 3 to August 31, 2020. Calculation suggests that the program is accountable for between 8 to 17 percent of all new local infection clusters during that time period.

·       Magnusson et al  evaluated whether employees in occupations that typically imply close contact with other people are at higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) and related hospitalization, for the 1st and 2nd wave of infection in Norway. Nurses, physicians, dentists, physiotherapists, bus/tram and taxi drivers had 1.5-3.5 times the odds of COVID-19 during the 1st wave of infection when compared to everyone in their working age. In the 2nd wave of the epidemic, bartenders, waiters, food service counter attendants, taxi drivers and travel stewards had 1.5-4 times the odds of COVID-19 when compared to everyone in their working age.

·       Oren et al We examined Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) mortality following 5 mass gatherings at outdoor rallies in the United States, during August 2020. We found that COVID-19 mortality started increasing 19-24 days after the mass gathering. In a 50-mile radius there was a 2.1-fold increase in COVID-19 mortality, and in a 51-100 miles radius there was a 1.4-fold increase. Our results suggest that precautions should be taken in mass gatherings and in at least a 50-mile radius, in order to limit COVID-19 mortality.

·       Wyllie et al (preprint) conducted a prospective cohort study in 2,826 participants working in hospitals and Fire and Police services in England, UK during the pandemic. At recruitment they measured numbers of SARS-CoV-2 responsive T cells and antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 proteins. Of the participants with higher T cell responses, 367 (53%) had detectable antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 nuclear or spike proteins.  During follow-up, 20 participants with lower T cell responses developed COVID-19, compared with none in the population with high T cell responses. Peripheral blood SARS-CoV-2 responsive T cell numbers are associated with risk of developing COVID-19.

·       Bjornstad et al. report that in a global, multicenter, point-prevalence study 44% of children admitted to intensive care with COVID-19 had acute kidney injury.

SEROPREVALANCE

·       Stadlbauer et al. conducted a retrospective, repeated cross-sectional analysis of anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies in weekly intervals between February to July 2020, using plasma samples from routine care and urgent care patients in NYC. Seroprevalence increased at different rates in both groups, and levelled out at slightly above 20% in both groups after the epidemic wave subsided in the region (late May). From May to July seroprevalence stayed stable, suggesting lasting antibody levels in the population

·       Bi et al. estimated the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection from household and community exposures in Geneva, Switzerland. The chance of being infected by a single SARS-CoV-2 infected household member was 17.2% compared to extra-household infection risk of 5.1%. Infection risk from an infected household member increased with age. Seropositive household members not reporting symptoms had 74.8% lower of infecting another household member compared to those reporting symptoms, accounting for 19.6% of all household infections.

CLINICAL DATA

·       van Steenkiste et al., investigate whether High-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) treatment on the wards could be an effective alternative treatment for patients not eligible for invasive mechanical ventilation. This study suggests that HFNC could be an effective last resort respiratory management strategy for respiratory failure in vulnerable elderly COVID-19 patients who failed on conventional high dose oxygen supply and are not eligible for invasive mechanical ventilation.

THERAPEUTICS

·       Liu et al conducted a retrospective study to explore the effects of corticosteroids on mortality from COVID-19 with ARDS in five tertiary Chinese hospitals.  As compared with usual care, treatment with corticosteroids was associated with increased rate of myocardial and liver injury, of shock, of need for mechanical ventilation, and increased rate of 28-day all-cause mortality. Corticosteroid use was also associated with a delay in SARS–CoV-2 coronavirus RNA clearance in the competing risk analysis.

·       AlQahtani et al  conducted a randomized open label pilot trial involving 40 patients with COVID-19 who were requiring oxygen therapy and who had radiological evidence of pneumonia. The CP group were a higher risk group with higher ferritin levels though respiratory indices did not differ. The primary outcome measure (ventilation) was required in 6 controls and 4 patients on CP; mean time on ventilation was 10.5 days in the control against 8.2 days in patients on CP. were no significant differences in the primary or secondary outcome measures between CP and standard therapy though fewer patients required ventilation and for a shorter period of time.

·       Behera et al explore the association between ivermectin prophylaxis and development of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers. Ivermectin prophylaxis was taken by 77 controls and 38 cases. Two-dose ivermectin was associated with 73% reduction of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers for the following one month, those who were involved in physical activity for more than an hour/day were more likely to contract COVID-19 infection. Type of household, COVID duty, single-dose ivermectin prophylaxis, vitamin-C prophylaxis and hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis were not associated with COVID-19 infection.

 

Regards,

Lisa Waddell, Tricia Corrin, Rukshanda Ahmad, Robyn Odell, Maribeth Mitri, Julie Theriault, Dobrila Todoric, Alejandra Dubois, Austyn Baumeister, Anam Khan, Musaab Younis, Lien Mi Tien, Dima Ayache, Angela Sloan, Kaitlin Young, Chatura Prematunge, Ainsley Otten, Irene Yong, Drew Greydanus, Shalane Ha, Jessie Varga, Vanessa Zubach, Meenu Sharma, Kristyn Burak, David Knox, Joanne Hiebert, Clifford Clark

 

 

 

 Daily Scan of COVID-19 Scientific Publications / Survol journalier des publications scientifiques du COVID-19		05/11/2020
 


Focus areas: Modelling/ prediction, Epidemiology, Transmission, Clinical data, Long-term Sequelae, Mental Health, Surveillance, Coronavirology, Diagnostics / Pathogen detection, Therapeutics, Vaccine Research, Public health interventions, Public Health response, Public Health Priorities, IPAC, Health care response, Immunology, Economics, Animal model, Zoonoses, Review Literature, Commentary/Editorial, news

Domaines cibles: Modélisation/prédiction, Épidémiologie, Transmission, Données cliniques, Séquelles à long terme, Santé mentale ,Surveillance, Coronavirologie, Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes, Thérapeutique, Recherche sur les vaccins, Interventions de santé publique, Priorités de santé publique, PCI, Réponse des soins de santé, Immunologie, économie, Modèle animal, Zoonoses, Revue de littérature, Commentaire/Éditorial, journaux

 

PUBLICATIONS

AUTHORS / AUTEURS

SOURCE

FOCI / DOMAINE

SUMMARY / SOMMAIRE

Modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic - Impact of lockdowns & interventions

Agrawal,  M,  Kanitkar, et al

Indian J Med Res

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de santé publique

In this study, a new model was used which was developed on lines of susceptible-asymptomatic-infected-recovered (SAIR) to assess the impact of the lockdown and make predictions on its future course. The disease spread was reduced due to initial lockdown. An increase in γ reflects healthcare and hospital services, medications and protocols put in place. In Delhi, the predictions from the model were corroborated with July and September serosurveys, which showed antibodies in 23.5 and 33 per cent population, respectively. If the model is correct, we may have reached herd immunity with about 380 million people already infected. However, personal protective measures remain crucial. If there was no lockdown, the number of active infections would have peaked at close to 14.7 million, resulted in more than 2.6 million deaths, and the peak would have arrived by June 2020. The number of deaths with the current trends may be less than 0.2 million.

Targeting SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid oligomerization: Insights from molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulations

Ahamad,  S,  Gupta, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

In this study, the C-terminal domain (CTD (PDB ID: 6WJI)) was targeted for the identification of possible inhibitors of oligomerization of N protein. Multiple computational approaches were employed to explore the potential mechanisms of binding and inhibitor activity of five antiviral drugs toward CTD. The five anti-N drugs studied in this work are 4E1RCat, Silmitasertib, TMCB, Sapanisertib, and Rapamycin. 4E1RCat displayed highest binding affinity (-10.95 kcal/mol), followed by rapamycin (-8.91 kcal/mol), silmitasertib (-7.89 kcal/mol), TMCB (-7.05 kcal/mol), and sapanisertib (-6.14 kcal/mol). Overall, the MD simulation parameters like RMSD, RMSF, Rg, hydrogen bonds analysis, PCA, FEL, and DCCM analysis indicated that 4E1RCat and TMCB complexes were more stable as compared to silmitasertib and sapanisertib and thus could act as effective drug compounds against CTD.

Visual Scoring of Chest CT at Hospital Admission Predicts Hospitalization Time and Intensive Care Admission in Covid-19

Ahlstrand,  Erik,  Cajander, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the Orebro covid-19 scale (ÖCoS) scores in relation to clinical outcome of covid-19. This is a population based study including data from all hospitalized patients with covid-19 in Örebro Region during March to July 2020. In the 381 included patients, there was a close correlation of the ÖCoS-severity score on admittance to hospital and the hospital length of stay. The ÖCoS-severity score on hospital admittance was a strong predictor for both a severe outcome in regards to ICU admittance or death and the time to ICU admittance. On admittance to ICU, both ÖCoS-severity score and temporal stage were correlated with the ICU length of stay.

Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease Are Not at Increased Risk of COVID-19: A Large Multinational Cohort Study

Allocca,  M,  Chaparro, et al

J Clin Med

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

We investigated the incidence of COVID-19 and the impact of immunosuppression and containment measures on the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large IBD cohort, from a multicenter cohort from 21st of February to 30th of June, 2020. The cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with IBD vs. the general population was 0.406% and 0.402% cases, respectively. Twenty-three patients (24%) were hospitalized, 21 (22%) had pneumonia, four (4%) were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit, and one patient died. Lethality in our cohort was 1% compared to 9% in the general population. At multivariable analysis, age > 65 years was associated with increased risk of pneumonia and hospitalization (OR 11.6, 95% CI 2.18-62.60; OR 5.1, 95% CI 1.10-23.86, respectively), treatment with corticosteroids increased the risk of hospitalization (OR 7.6, 95% CI 1.48-40.05), whereas monoclonal antibodies were associated with reduced risk of pneumonia and hospitalization (OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.04-0.52; OR 0.3, 95% CI 0.10-0.90, respectively). The risk of COVID-19 in patients with IBD is similar to the general population.

Randomized controlled trial of convalescent plasma therapy against standard therapy in patients with severe COVID-19 disease

AlQahtani,  Manaf,  Abdulrahman, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique RCT

This pilot study was designed to inform the design of a definitive phase 3 clinical trial. This was a prospective, interventional and randomized open label pilot trial involving 40 patients with COVID-19 who were requiring oxygen therapy and who had radiological evidence of pneumonia. Twenty COVID-19 patients received two 200ml transfusions of convalescent plasma (CP) over 24 hours were compared with 20 patients who received routine care alone. The CP group were a higher risk group with higher ferritin levels (p<0.05) though respiratory indices did not differ. The primary outcome measure (ventilation) was required in 6 controls and 4 patients on CP (risk ratio 0.67 95% CI 0.22 to 2.0, p=0.72); mean time on ventilation was 10.5 days in the control against 8.2 days in patients on CP (p=0.81). There were no differences in secondary measures at the end of the study. Two patients died in the control and one patient in the CP arm. There were no significant differences in the primary or secondary outcome measures between CP and standard therapy though fewer patients required ventilation and for a shorter period of time.

Pulmonary embolism in patients with COVID-19: characteristics and outcomes in the Cardio-COVID Italy multicenter study

Ameri,  P,  Inciardi, et al

Clin Res Cardiol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study aims to describe pulmonary embolism (PE) in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Data were retrospectively obtained from consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to 13 Cardiology Units in Italy, from March 1st to April 9th, 2020, and followed until in-hospital death, discharge, or April 23rd, 2020. The study included 689 patients (67.3 ± 13.2 year-old, 69.4% males), of whom 43.6% were non-invasively ventilated and 15.8% invasively. 52 (7.5%) had PE over 15 (9-24) days of follow-up. Compared with those without PE, these subjects had younger age, higher BMI, less often heart failure and chronic kidney disease, more severe cardio-pulmonary involvement, and higher admission D-dimer 4344 (1099-15,118) vs. 818.5 (417-1460) ng/mL, p < 0.001]. They also received more frequently darunavir/ritonavir, tocilizumab and ventilation support. Furthermore, they faced more bleeding episodes requiring transfusion (15.6% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001) and non-significantly higher in-hospital mortality (34.6% vs. 22.9%, p = 0.06). In multivariate regression, only D-dimer was associated with PE (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.13-2.62; p = 0.01). The relation between D-dimer concentrations and PE incidence was linear, without inflection point. Only two subjects had a baseline D-dimer < 500 ng/mL. PE occurs in a sizable proportion of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The implications of bleeding events and the role of D-dimer in this population need to be clarified.

Therapeutic efficacy of Honey and Nigella sativa against COVID-19: A multi-center randomized controlled clinical trial (HNS-COVID-PK)

Ashraf,  Sohaib,  Ashraf, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique RCT

We conducted a randomized, open label, placebo-controlled clinical trial using parallel group design. This was a multi-centered study conducted in RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 patients showing moderate or severe disease. All patients receiving standard care were randomized into treatment and control groups. In the treatment arm, patients received HNS (honey plus Nigella sativa) in predefined doses for up to 13 days. In the moderate and severe cases, the HNS treatment was associated with a normalized median symptoms alleviation time reduction of 3 and 7 days (HR: 6.11; 95% CI: 4.23-8.84 and HR: 4.04; 95% CI, 2.46-6.64) respectively. The HNS treatment in both groups were further associated with 4 days earlier reduction in median viral clearance time (Moderate HR: 5.53; 95% CI: 3.76-8.14) and Severe HR: 4.32; 95% CI: 2.62-7.13). Moreover, in the intention-to-treat analysis, the HNS groups led to a lower (better) clinical score on day 6 with resumption of normal activity among 63.6% of the moderate (OR: 0.07; 95% CI: 0.03-0.13) and 28% of severe cases (OR: 0.03; 95% CI: 0.01-0.09). Furthermore, a significant (14.87%) reduction (OR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.02-0.92) in mortality was observed in the HNS arm. No difference in adverse effects were seen between the HNS and control arms. A significant reduction in in the severity of disease, the time taken for viral clearance and mortality was observed with HNS treatment in COVID-19 patients.

Burnout levels and sleep quality of COVID-19 heroes

Aydin Sayilan,  A,  Kulakaç, et al

Perspect Psychiatr Care

Mental Health |
santé mentale

This study was carried out to determine the burnout levels and sleep quality of nurses in the coronavirus disease-2019 process. The population of this descriptive and cross-sectional study consisted of all nurses working in hospitals in Turkey. Nurses' mean scores were compared by gender. The emotional burnout and personal achievement scores of male nurses were higher than those of female nurses. Single nurses had significantly higher emotional exhaustion and depersonalization scores than married individuals. Nurses mostly experienced emotional exhaustion, and burnout levels increased in line with insomnia.

The Optimal Allocation of COVID-19 Vaccines

Babus,  Ana,  Das, et al

SSRN- Lancet prepublication

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

We estimate occupation-based infection risks and use age-based infection fatality rates in a model to assign priorities over populations with different occupations and ages. Among others, we find that 50-year-old food-processing workers and 60-year-old financial advisors are equally prioritized. Our model suggests a vaccine distribution that emphasizes age-based mortality risk more than occupation-based exposure risk. Designating some occupations as essential does not affect the optimal vaccine allocation unless a stay-at-home order is also in effect. Even with vaccines allocated optimally, 7.14% of the employed workforce is still expected to be infected with the virus until the vaccine becomes widely available, provided the vaccine is 50% effective, and assuming a supply of 60mil doses.

Quantification of occupational and community risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity among healthcare workers in a large U.S. healthcare system

Baker,  JuliaM,  Nelson, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé Immunology | Immunologie

This study aimed to quantify demographic, occupational, and community risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity among healthcare workers in a large metropolitan healthcare system.  SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was estimated to be 5.7% (95% CI: 5.2%-6.1%) among 10,275 healthcare workers. Community contact with a person known or suspected to have COVID-19 (aOR=1.9, 95% CI:1.4-2.5) and zip code level COVID-19 incidence (aOR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.0-2.0) increased the odds of infection. Black individuals were at high risk (aOR=2.0, 95% CI:1.6-2.4). Overall, occupational risk factors accounted for 27% (95% CI: 25%-30%) of the risk among healthcare workers and included contact with a PCR test-positive healthcare worker (aOR=1.2, 95% CI:1.0-1.6). Community risk factors, including contact with a COVID-19 positive individual and residential COVID-19 incidence, are more strongly associated with SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity among healthcare workers than exposure in the workplace.

Ultra-rapid on-site detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection using simple ATR-FTIR spectroscopy and analysis algorithm: high sensitivity and specificity

Barauna,  ValerioG,  Singh, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We applied a superfast reagent-free and non-destructive approach of attenuated total reflection Fourier-transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy with subsequent chemometric analysis to the interrogation of virus-infected samples. Contrived samples with inactivated gamma-irradiated Covid-19 virus particles at levels down to 1582 copies/ml generated infrared (IR) spectra with good signal-to-noise ratio. At low copy numbers, the presence of virus particle was found to be capable of modifying the IR spectral signature of saliva, again with discriminating wavenumbers primarily associated with RNA. Discrimination was also achievable following ATR-FTIR spectral analysis of swabs immersed in saliva variously spiked with virus. Following training and validation of a genetic algorithm-linear discriminant analysis (GA-LDA) algorithm, a blind sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 89% was achieved.

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Saint Petersburg, Russia: a population-based study

Barchuk,  Anton,  Skougarevskiy, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

This study aims to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Saint Petersburg, Russia accounting for non-response bias.  66,250 individuals were contacted, 6,440 adults agreed to be interviewed and blood samples were obtained from 1,038 participants between May 27, 2020 and June 26, 2020. Naive seroprevalence corrected for test characteristics was 9.0% (7.2-10.8) by CMIA and 10.5% (8.6-12.4) by ELISA. Correction for non-response decreased seroprevalence estimates to 7.4% (5.7-9.2) and 9.1% (7.2-10.9) for CMIA and ELISA, respectively. These results suggest that even low estimates of seroprevalence in Europe's fourth-largest city can be an overestimation in the presence of non-response. Serosurvey design should attempt to identify characteristics that are associated both with participation and seropositivity.

A swift and dynamic strategy to expand emergency department capacity for COVID-19

Barten,  DG,  Kusters, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

In an effort to increase emergency departments (ED) capacity during the COVID-19 panedemic it was decided to merge the acute medical unit (AMU) and the ED. The conjoined AMU-ED was segregated into a high-risk and a low-risk area to maintain continuity of emergency care.This report details on the technical execution and discusses the pearls and potential pitfalls of this expansion strategy. Although ED preparedness for pandemics may be determined by local factors such as hospital size, ED census and primary healthcare efficacy, the conjoined AMU-ED strategy may be a potential model for other EDs.

Performance evaluation of Truenat™ Beta CoV & Truenat™ SARS-CoV-2 point-of-care assays for coronavirus disease 2019

Basawarajappa,  SG,  Rangaiah, et al

Indian J Med Res

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

The objectives of the study were to validate the performance of Truenat Beta CoV and Truenat SARS-CoV-2 PoC assays for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infected cases with reference to analytical sensitivity, precision/inter-machine variation, clinical sensitivity and clinical specificity. Truenat Beta CoV and Truenat SARS-CoV-2 assays showed concordant results when compared with the reference standard rRT-PCR. These PoC assays exhibited 100 per cent sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value.

COVID-Anosmia Checker: A rapid and low-cost alternative tool for mass screening of COVID-19

Basu,  Budhaditya,  Riya, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

To quantitatively check for the loss of smell, we developed an odor strip, COVID-Anosmia checker, spotted with gradients of coffee and lemon grass oil. We validated its efficiency in healthy and COVID-19 positive subjects. A trial screening to identify SARS-CoV-2 infected persons was also carried out to check the sensitivity and specificity of our screening tool. It was observed that COVID positive participants were hyposmic instead of being anosmic when they were subjected to smelling higher odor concentration. Our tool identified 97% of symptomatic and 94% of asymptomatic COVID-19 positive subjects after excluding most confounding factors like concurrent chronic sinusitis. Further, it was possible to reliably predict COVID-19 infection by calculating a loss of smell score with 100% specificity. We coupled this tool with a mobile application, which takes the input response from the user, and can readily categorize the user in the appropriate risk groups.

Role of ivermectin in the prevention of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers in India: A matched case-control study

Behera,  Priyamadhaba,  Patro, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

The study was aimed to explore the association between ivermectin prophylaxis and development of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers. Cases and controls were healthcare workers who tested positive and negative, respectively, for COVID-19 by RT-PCR. Exposure was defined as the intake of ivermectin and/or hydroxychloroquine and/or vitamin-C and/or other prophylaxis for COVID-19.  Ivermectin prophylaxis was taken by 77 controls and 38 cases. Two-dose ivermectin prophylaxis (0.27, 95% CI, 0.15-0.51) was associated with 73% reduction of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers for the following one month, those who were involved in physical activity (3.06 95% CI, 1.18-7.93) for more than an hour/day were more likely to contract COVID-19 infection. Type of household, COVID duty, single-dose ivermectin prophylaxis, vitamin-C prophylaxis and hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis were not associated with COVID-19 infection.

PMC7511853; Prediction of potential inhibitors of the dimeric SARS-CoV2 main proteinase through the MM/GBSA approach

Bello,  M

J Mol Graph Model

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Recently, the 3D structure of SARS-CoV2 M(pro) was constructed based on the monomeric SARS-CoV M(pro) and employed to identify potential approved small inhibitors against SARS-CoV2 M(pro), allowing the selection of 15 drugs among 1903 approved drugs to be employed. In this study, we performed docking of these 15 approved drugs against the recently solved X-ray crystallography structure of SARS-CoV2 M(pro) in the monomeric and dimeric states; the latter is the functional state that was determined in a biological context, and these were submitted to molecular dynamics (MD) simulations coupled with the molecular mechanics generalized Born surface area (MM/GBSA) approach to obtain insight into the inhibitory activity of these compounds. Similar studies were performed with lopinavir and ritonavir coupled to monomeric and dimeric SARS-CoV M(pro) and SARS-CoV2 M(pro) to compare the inhibitory differences. Our study provides the structural and energetic basis of the inhibitory properties of lopinavir and ritonavir on SARS-CoV M(pro) and SARS-CoV2 M(pro), allowing us to identify two FDA-approved drugs that can be used against SARS-CoV2 M(pro). This study also demonstrated that drug discovery requires the dimeric state to obtain good results.

CSF of SARS-CoV-2 patients with neurological syndromes reveals hints to understand pathophysiology

Bernard-Valnet,  Raphael,  Perriot, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

In this study we aimed at determining whether neurological symptoms were caused by SARS-CoV-2 direct infection of by pro-inflammatory mediators. We checked for SARS-CoV-2 RNA by RT-qPCR, SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies and for 48 cytokines/chemokines/growth factors (by Luminex) in the cerebrospinal fluids (CSF) +/- sera of a cohort of 17 COVID-19 patients with neurological presentation and 55 neurological control patients (inflammatory IND], non inflammatory NIND], multiple sclerosis MS]). Results: We found SARS-CoV-2 RNA and antibodies specific for this virus in the CSF of 0/17 and 8/16 COVID-19 patients, respectively. The presence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was explained by a rupture of the blood brain barrier (passive transfer) in 6/16 (38%). An intrathecal synthesis of SARS-CoV2-specific antibodies was present in 2/16 patients. Interestingly, among COVID-19 patients, the CSF of those with a severe disease (encephalitis/encephalopathy) contained higher levels CXCL8 and CXCL10 than those with other neurological presentations. Our results do not show obvious SARS-CoV-2 infection of the central nervous system, but point to a mild inflammatory reaction reflecting an astrocytic reaction.

Modelling the active SARS-CoV-2 helicase complex as a basis for structure-based inhibitor design

Berta,  Dénes,  Badaoui, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

We present here structural insights and molecular dynamics (MD) simulation results of the SARS-CoV-2 RNA helicase both in its apo form and in complex with its natural substrates.

Personalized Prescription of ACEI/ARBs for Hypertensive COVID-19 Patients

Bertsimas,  Dimitris,  Borenstein, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

We couple electronic medical record (EMR) and registry data of 3,643 patients from Spain, Italy, Germany, Ecuador, and the US with a machine learning framework to personalize the prescription of ACEIs and ARBs to hypertensive COVID-19 patients. Our approach leverages clinical and demographic information to identify hospitalized individuals whose probability of mortality or morbidity can decrease by prescribing this class of drugs.  In particular, the algorithm proposes increasing ACEI/ARBs prescriptions for patients with cardiovascular disease and decreasing prescriptions for those with low oxygen saturation at admission. We show that personalized recommendations can improve patient outcomes by 1.0% compared to the standard of care when applied to external populations.

Household Transmission of SARS-COV-2: Insights from a Population-based Serological Survey

Bi,  Qifang,  Lessler, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission Immunology | Immunologie

To estimate the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection from household and community exposures, and identify key risk factors for transmission and infection a household serosurvey and transmission model was used in Geneva, Switzerland. This study included 4,524 household members five years and older from 2,267 households enrolled April-June 2020. The chance of being infected by a single SARS-CoV-2 infected household member was 17.2% (95%CrI 13.6-21.5%) compared to a cumulative extra-household infection risk of 5.1% (95%CrI 4.5-5.8%). Infection risk from an infected household member increased with age, from 7.5% (95%CrI 1.3-20.3%) among 5-9 years to 30.2% (95%CrI 14.3-48.2%) among those ≥65 years. Working-age adults (20-49 years) had the highest extra-household infection risk. Seropositive household members not reporting symptoms had 74.8% lower odds (95%CrI 43.8-90.3%) of infecting another household member compared to those reporting symptoms, accounting for 19.6% (95%CrI 12.9-24.5%) of all household infections.

Preliminary Assessment of Acute Kidney Injury in Critically Ill Children Associated with SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Multicenter Cross-Sectional Analysis

Bjornstad,  EC,  Krallman, et al

Clin J Am Soc Nephrol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

We are conducting a multicenter, point-prevalence acute kidney injury (AKI) study among critically ill children with COVID-19. This interim analysis includes children (1 month to 18 years) from 41 centers (six countries; 32 in the United States) with confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2–positive diagnosis (on the basis of center testing protocols) admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) between April 15 and May 20, 2020. Only 26 of 41 (63%) centers (23 in the United States, three in Europe/Russia) had critically ill children who were COVID-19 positive during our catchment days. Of 106 included children, almost half (n=47; 44%; 95% CI, 35% to 54%) developed AKI: 47% (n=22) had stage 1, 23% (n=11) had stage 2, and 30% (n=14) had stage 3. No child received dialysis.

Effect of COVID-19 pandemic on workflows and infection prevention strategies of endoscopy units in Hungary - a cross-sectional survey

Bor,  Renáta,  Szántó, et al

Research Square prepub

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

This study aimed to determine the effect of current pandemic on the workflow and infection prevention and control strategies of endoscopy units in real-life setting. All members of Hungarian Society of Gastroenterology were invited between 7 and 17 April 2020 to participate in this cross-section survey study and to complete an online, anonymous questionnaire. Total of 120 endoscopists from 83 institutes were enrolled of which 35.83% worked in regions with high cumulative incidence of COVID-19. While indications of examinations in low risk patients varied widely, in high-risk or positive patients endoscopy was limited to gastrointestinal bleeding (95.00%), removal of foreign body from esophagus (87.50%), management of obstructive jaundice (72.50%) and biliary pancreatitis (67.50%). Personal protective equipment fully complied with European guideline only in 67.50% of cases. Survey found large variability in indications of endoscopy and relative weak compliance to national and international practical recommendations in terms of protective equipment.

The 'Great Lockdown': Inactive Workers and Mortality by COVID-19

Borri,  Nicola,  Drago, et al

SSRN- Lancet prepublication

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

This paper estimates the causal effect of this measure on mortality by Covid-19 and on mobility patterns. The identification of the causal effect exploits the variation in the number of active workers across municipalities induced by the economic lockdown. Our results show that the intensity of the economic lockdown is associated to a statistically significant reduction in mortality by Covid-19 and, in particular, for age groups between 30-64 and older. Back of the envelope calculations indicate that 4,793 deaths were avoided, in the 26 days between April 5 to April 30, in the 3,518 municipalities which experienced a more intense lockdown.

Simple discrete-time self-exciting models can describe complex dynamic processes: a case study of COVID-19

Browning,  Raiha,  Sulem, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

This paper evaluates the capability of discrete-time Hawkes processes by retrospectively modelling daily counts of deaths as two distinct phases in the progression of the COVID-19 outbreak: the initial stage of exponential growth and the subsequent decline as preventative measures become effective. We consider various countries that have been adversely affected by the epidemic, namely, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States. These countries are all unique concerning the spread of the virus and their corresponding response measures, in particular, the types and timings of preventative actions. However, we find that this simple model is useful in accurately capturing the dynamics of the process, despite hidden interactions that are not directly modelled due to their complexity, and differences both within and between countries

Early COVID-19 Therapy with Azithromycin Plus Nitazoxanide, Ivermectin or Hydroxychloroquine in Outpatient Settings Significantly Reduced Symptoms Compared to Known Outcomes in Untreated Patients

Cadegiani,  FlavioA,  Goren, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

The objective of the present study was to elucidate whether the conduction of a full placebo-control RCT for COVID-19 therapeutics was still ethically viable, through a comparative analysis with two control-groups.  Active group (AG) consisted of mild-to-moderate early stage COVID-19 patients enrolled in the Pre AndroCoV-Trial, treated with nitazoxanide, ivermectin, or hydroxychloroquine in selected cases, in association with azithromycin, vitamin D, vitamin C, zinc, glucocorticoids and anticoagulants, when clinically recommended. Control Group 1 (CG1) consisted of a retrospectively obtained group of untreated patients from the same population as those from the Pre-AndroCoV Trial, and Control Group 2 (CG2) resulted from a precise prediction of clinical outcomes, based on a thorough and structured review of articles indexed in PubMed and MEDLINE and statements by official government agencies and specific medical societies. Compared to CG1 and CG2, AG showed a reduction of 31.5 to 36.5% in viral shedding (p < 0.0001), 70 to 85% and 70 to 73% in duration of COVID-19 clinical symptoms when including and not including anosmia and ageusia, respectively ((p < 0.0001 for both), and 100% in respiratory complications through the parameters of the Brescia COVID-19 Respiratory Scale (p < 0.0001). For every 1,000 confirmed cases for COVID-19, a minimum of 140 patients were prevented from hospitalization (p < 0.0001), 50 from mechanical ventilation, and five deaths, when comparing to age-, sex- and comorbidity-matched non-treated patients with similar initial disease severity at the moment of diagnosis.

Early COVID-19 Therapy with Azithromycin Plus Nitazoxanide, Ivermectin or Hydroxychloroquine in Outpatient Settings Significantly Reduced Symptoms Compared to Known Outcomes in Untreated Patients

Cadegiani,  FlavioA,  Goren, et al

Research Square prepub

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

The objective of the present study was to elucidate whether the conduction of a full placebo-control RCT was still ethically viable, through a comparative analysis with two control-groups. Active group (AG) consisted of mild-to-moderate early stage COVID-19 patients enrolled in the Pre AndroCoV-Trial, treated with nitazoxanide ivermectin, or hydroxychloroquine in selected cases, in association with azithromycin. Vitamin D, vitamin C, zinc, glucocorticoids and anticoagulants, when clinically recommended. Control Group 1 (CG1) consisted of a retrospectively obtained group of untreated patients from the same population as those from the Pre-AndroCoV Trial, and Control Group 2 (CG2). Compared to CG1 and CG2, AG showed a reduction of 31.5 to 36.5% in viral shedding (p < 0.0001), 70 to 85% and 70 to 73% in duration of COVID-19 clinical symptoms when including and not including anosmia and ageusia, respectively ((p < 0.0001 for both), and 100% in respiratory complications through the parameters of the Brescia COVID-19 Respiratory Scale (p < 0.0001).  Apparent benefits of the combination between early detection and early pharmacological approaches for COVID-19 demonstrated to be consistent when when compared to different control groups of untreated patients.

Recurrent recurrence of positive SARS-CoV-2 RNA in a COVID-19 patient

Cao,  Shugang,  Wu, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

Herein, we report a rare COVID-19 patient with recurrent recurrence of positive SARS-CoV-2 RNA. A 68-year-old man was admitted due to fever, muscle pain, and fatigue. He was initially diagnosed with COVID-19 according to two consecutive positive results for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. He was discharged from hospital when meeting the discharge criteria. He tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA twice during the quarantine and was hospitalized again. He was asymptomatic then, but IgG and IgM anti-SARS-CoV-2 were both positive. He was discharged in the context of four consecutive negative test results for SARS-CoV-2 RNA after antiviral treatment. However, he tested positive once again on the 3rd and 4th days after the second discharge. Two days later, the SARS-CoV-2 RNA results became negative in three consecutive retests, and he was finally discharged. This case suggests that convalescent patients may become positive again for SARS-CoV-2 RNA after discharge due to prolonged nucleic acid transition.

Headache: A striking prodromal and persistent symptom, predictive of COVID-19 clinical evolution

Caronna,  E,  Ballvé, et al

Cephalalgia

Clinical data| Données cliniques Long-Term Sequelae |
séquelles à long terme

This study aimed to define headache characteristics and evolution in relation to COVID-19 and its inflammatory response. Headache associated with COVID-19 is a frequent symptom, predictive of a shorter COVID-19 clinical course. Disabling headache can persist after COVID-19 resolution.

SARS-CoV-2 detection by nasal strips: a superior tool for surveillance of pediatric populations

Chan,  ReneeWY,  Chan, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We introduced nasal strip as an easy and low-risk collection method as an alternative to deep throat saliva (DTS) and pooled nasopharyngeal swab and throat swab (NPSTS) . Nasal strip is a reliable and non-invasive sampling method for SARS-CoV-2 detection, and viral detection remains stable for at least 72 hours. It can be used as an alternative tool for community-based surveillance.

COVID-19 and Parkinson's Disease: Shared Inflammatory Pathways Under Oxidative Stress

Chaudhry,  ZL,  Klenja, et al

Brain Sci

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

In the current study, using in silico and in vitro methods, we sought to investigate whether NFκB-associated inflammatory pathways following oxidative stress in SARS-CoV-2 and Parkinson’s disease (PD) patients are correlated. The results indicated that SARS-CoV-2 infection and 6-hydroxydopamine (6OHDA)-induced toxicity triggered stimulation of caspases-2, -3 and -8 via the NFκB pathway resulting in the death of dopamine-containing neurons (dDCNs).  The findings suggest that knowledge of the selective inhibition of caspases and NFκB activation may contribute to the development of potential therapeutic approaches for the treatment of COVID-19 and PD.

Blood molecular markers associated with COVID-19 immunopathology and multi-organ damage

Chen,  YM,  Zheng, et al

Embo j

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

To understand host responses to COVID‐19 pathophysiology, we combined transcriptomics, proteomics, and metabolomics to identify molecular markers in peripheral blood and plasma samples of 66 COVID‐19 patients experiencing a range of disease severities and 17 healthy controls.  Differences were observed between patients with severe disease progression and COVID‐19 patients experiencing milder disease symptoms . Finally, we identified genes, proteins and exRNAs as potential biomarkers that might assist in predicting the prognosis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.

MODELLING PRESYMPTOMATIC INFECTIOUSNESS IN COVID-19

Cheng,  Russell,  Dye, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Transmission

This paper considers SEPIR, the extension of an existing parametric SEIR continuous simulation compartment model, that deploys an additional presymptomatic (also called asymptomatic) infectious stage that is not included in SEIR but which is known to exist in COVID-19.  This paper also discusses the issue that the parameters of both models will have to be time dependent in order to  to represent more than just a single period in the behaviour of the epidemic.  A numerical example using Swiss observational data is given.

Residual SARS-CoV-2 viral antigens detected in gastrointestinal and hepatic tissues from two recovered COVID-19 patients

Cheung,  Chun Chau Lawrence,  Goh, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Using multiplex immunohistochemistry, we unexpectedly detected SARS-CoV-2 viral antigens in intestinal and liver tissues, in surgical samples obtained from two patients who recovered from COVID-19. We further validated the presence of virus by RT-PCR and flow cytometry to detect SARS-CoV-2-specific immunity in the tissues. These findings might have important implications in terms of disease management and public health policy regarding transmission of COVID-19 via faecal-oral and iatrogenic routes during the convalescence phase.

Voluntary Reduction of Social Interaction during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Taiwan: Related Factors and Association with Perceived Social Support

Chou,  WP,  Wang, et al

Int J Environ Res Public Health

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

This study aimed to determine the proportion of individuals who voluntarily reduced interaction with their family members, friends, and colleagues or classmates to avoid coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection and the associations of reduced social interaction with perceived social support during the COVID-19 pandemic in Taiwan. The present study revealed that despite strict social distancing measures not being implemented in Taiwan, more than one-third of respondents voluntarily reduced their interaction with friends and colleagues or classmates. The general public should be encouraged to maintain social contacts through appropriately distanced in-person visits and telecommunication.

A COVID-19 Hotspot Area: Activities and Epidemiological Findings

Cito,  F,  Amato, et al

Microorganisms

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

Epidemiological investigation and sampling were performed, to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 circulation and the presence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, 22 days after the declaration of a hotspot in an area registering an incidence rate of COVID-19 cases ten times greater than the overall municipality. The overall seroprevalence was 10.9% while only one resident of the village resulted in being positive for RNA viral shedding,  Investigations showed a low SARS-CoV-2 circulation in the village at the time of the sampling, demonstrating virus transmission could be limited when strict emergency measures are followed.

Structure of nonstructural protein 1 from SARS-CoV-2

Clark,  LaurenK,  Green, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

Because of the importance of nonstructural protein 1 (nsp1)  in the CoV lifecycle, it has been highlighted as a viable target for both antiviral therapy and vaccine development. Here we report the high-resolution crystal structure of the amino, globular portion of SARS-CoV-2 nsp1 (residues 10-127) at 1.77 Å resolution.  Paired with the recently published structure of the carboxyl end of nsp1 (residues 148-180), our results provide the groundwork for future studies focusing on SARS-CoV-2 nsp1 structure and function during the viral lifecycle.

Cost-effectiveness of intensive care for hospitalized Covid-19 patients: experience from South Africa

Cleary,  Susan May,  Wilkinson, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé Economics | Économie

Objective To assess the cost-effectiveness of ICU management for admitted COVID-19 patients across the public and private health sector in South Africa. This study indicated that purchasing additional ICU capacity from the private sector may not be a cost-effective use of limited health resources. The ‘real time’, rapid, pragmatic, and transparent nature of this analysis demonstrates a potential approach for further evidence generation for decision making relating to the COVID-19 pandemic response and South Africa’s wider priority setting agenda.

Planning considerations prior to laryngectomy for a patient infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 pre-operatively

Coleman,  H,  Tikka, et al

J Laryngol Otol

Clinical data| Données cliniques

This paper details our management of a patient who tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 days before curative surgery for laryngeal cancer.

Transmission routes of SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers of a French university hospital in Paris, France: a case-control study

Contejean,  Adrien,  Leporrier, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

In this case-control study on 564 healthcare workers of a university hospital in Paris (France), contacts without protection with COVID-19 patients or with colleagues were associated with infection with SARS-CoV-2, while working in a COVID-dedicated unit, using public transportation and having children kept in childcare facilities were not.

Antiviral activity of plant juices and green tea against SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus in vitro

Conzelmann,  Carina,  Weil, et al

bioRxiv

Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

We here analyzed the potential of plant derived products to inactivate SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus in vitro. We found that black chokeberry (Aronia melanocarpa) juice, pomegranate (Punica granatum) juice, and green tea (Camellia sinensis) have virucidal activity against both viruses, suggesting that oral rinsing may reduce viral loads in the oral cavity thereby lowering virus transmission.

A prospective study of risk factors associated with seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in healthcare workers at a large UK teaching hospital

Cooper,  DanielJ,  Lear, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé Immunology | Immunologie

We conducted a prospective sero-epidemiological study of HCWs at a UK teaching hospital using a SARS-CoV-2 immunoassay. Risk factors for seropositivity were analysed using multivariate logistic regression. Risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst HCWs is heterogeneous and influenced by COVID-19 working location, role, age and ethnicity. Increased risk amongst Black, Asian and minority ethnic staff cannot be accounted for solely by occupational factors.

Clinical characteristics and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in 4607 French healthcare workers: comparison with European countries

Delmas,  C,  Plu-Bureau, et al

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

This editorial reports the finding of the study that investigated the prevalence of antibodies IgG against SARS-CoV-2 among all HCW in the Paris centre University hospital. And also determined the correspondence between RT-PCR test and serology, and compared seroprevalence with European countries. Of 5021 present workers at study period, 4607 were included (91.8%). The mean age was 41.8 years-old [SD 12.6]. There were 75% females. Overall, the prevalence of IgG antibodies was of 11.5% (10.6-12.4; 95%CI). It was significantly higher (13%) for paramedical staff (p=0.04). Age and gender did not differ significantly according to seroprevalence.
Five clinical symptoms were independently associated with positive serology including asthenia, fever, myalgia, ageusia and anosmia for which the higher odd ratio was observed (11.1 [7.4-16.6; 95% CI]). Of note, although anosmia appeared to be the most specific factor, 64.3% of subjects with antibodies did not experience this symptom. The proportion of asymptomatic subjects with a positive serology was 21.4% When considering comorbidities, positive serology was significantly associated with a lesser
prevalence in smokers (OR 0.41 (0.29-0.58)) and a higher prevalence of diabetes (OR 1.78 (1.04-3.03)).  19.4% have had a RT-PCR. Among individuals with negative RT-PCR, 7.7% (51/662) had detectable anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, whereas 12.4% (29/233) of RT-PCR positive subjects also had no detectable antibodies.  The 11.5% prevalence of IgG in our HCW is near similar that reported prevalence in Belgium or UK.

Risk factors for outcomes of COVID-19 patients: an observational study of 795 572 patients in Russia

Demkina,  AlexandraE,  Morozov, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study investigated the impact of factors including whether COVID-19 was clinically or laboratory-diagnosed, influenza vaccination, former or current tuberculosis, HIV, and other comorbidities on the hospitalized patients' outcomes. This study enrolled 705,572 COVID-19 patients aged from 0 to 121 years, 50.4% females. 1541,377 participants were included in the study, 413,950 (76.5%) of them had laboratory-verified COVID-19, and 127,427 patients (23.5%) with the clinical verification. Influenza vaccination reduced the risk of transfer to the ICU (OR 0.76), mechanical ventilation requirement (OR 0.74), and the risk of death (HR 0.77). TB increased the mortality risk (HR 1.74) but reduced the likelihood of transfer to the ICU (OR 0.27). HIV comorbidity significantly increased the risks of transfer to the ICU (OR 2.46) and death (HR 1.60). Patients with the clinically verified COVID-19 had a shorter duration of hospital stay (HR 1.45) but a higher risk of mortality (HR 1.08) and the likelihood of being ventilated (OR 1.36). According to the previously published data, age, male sex, endocrine disorders, and cardiovascular diseases increased the length of hospital stay, the risk of death, and transfer to the ICU.

Availability of personal protective equipment and satisfaction of healthcare professionals during COVID-19 pandemic in Ethiopia

Deressa,  Wakgari,  Worku, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

This  cross-sectional study assessed the availability of PPE and satisfaction of HCPs in six public hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.  An overall shortage of PPE was reported in all study hospitals. The majority (77%) of the healthcare professionals reported that their hospital did not have adequate PPE. A critical shortage of N95 respirator was particularly reported, the self-reported availability of N95 increased from 13% to 24% before and during COVID-19, respectively. The self-reported use of N95 increased from 9% to 21% before and during COVID-19, respectively. Almost 72% of the respondents were dissatisfied with the availability of PPE in their hospital.

Risk perceptions and preventive practices of COVID-19 among healthcare professionals in public hospitals in Ethiopia

Deressa,  Wakgari,  Worku, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

This cross-sectional study assessed the level of risk perception and practices of preventive measures of COVID-19 among health workers in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. A total of 1,134 participants were surveyed. Wearing facemask (93%), hand washing for at least 20 seconds (93%), covering mouth and nose while coughing or sneezing (91%), and avoiding touching eyes, nose, and mouth (91%) were the commonly self-reported preventive practices. About 88% perceived that they were worried about the risk of becoming infected with coronavirus, and majority (91%) worried about the risk of infection to their family. The mean score of overall fear and worry of COVID-19 was 2.37 on a scale of 1 to 3. Respondents who ever provided clinical care to COVID-19 patients were more likely to report fear and worry (adjusted OR=1.34, 95%
CI:1.02-1.91), however those who ever participated in Ebola or SARS outbreaks were less likely to report fear and worry due to COVID-19 crisis (adjusted OR=0.66, 95%CI:0.48-0.90).

Innate immunity plays a key role in controlling viral load in COVID-19: mechanistic insights from a whole-body infection dynamics model

Dogra,  Prashant,  Ruiz-Ramirez, et al

medRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Immunology | Immunologie

This study examined the SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis and population susceptibility to infection in order to develop effective disease management strategies. And used mathematical modeling - a robust in silico tool to understand COVID-19 pathophysiology and the in vivo dynamics of SARS-CoV-2. Developed a multiscale mechanistic model for simulating the time-dependent evolution of viral load distribution in susceptible organs of the body. Following calibration with in vivo and clinical data, the authors used the model to simulate viral load progression in a virtual patient with varying degrees of compromised immune status. Further, to understand the effects of physiological factors and underlying conditions on viral load dynamics, conducted global sensitivity analysis of model parameters and ranked them for their significance in governing clearance of viral load from the body. Antiviral drug therapy, interferon therapy, and their combination was simulated to study the effects on viral load kinetics of SARS-CoV-2. The model highlights the importance of innate immunity (interferons and resident macrophages) in controlling viral load, and the significance of timing when initiating therapy following infection.

New-onset refractory status epilepticus (NORSE) in post SARS-CoV-2 autoimmune encephalitis: a case report

Dono,  F,  Carrarini, et al

Neurol Sci

Clinical data| Données cliniques

The 2019 new coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) is a novel respiratory virus which has increasingly spread all over the world. Although the predominant clinical presentation is represented by respiratory symptoms, neurological manifestation of SARS-CoV-2 is being increasingly recognized. In the present report, we present a case of post SARS-CoV-2 autoimmune encephalitis associated with a new-onset refractory status epilepticus (NORSE).

SARS-CoV-2 Testing Disparities in Massachusetts

Dryden-Peterson,  Scott,  Velásquez, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

This study examined the alignment of testing with epidemic intensity to mitigate subsequent waves of COVID-19 in Massachusetts.  Defined testing intensity as weekly SARS-CoV-2 tests performed per 100,000 population and used weekly test positivity (percent of tests positive) as a measure of epidemic intensity.  During the observation period, 4,262,000 tests were reported in Massachusetts and the misalignment of testing with epidemic intensity increased. The weekly testing gap increased 9.0% per week. Increasing levels of community socioeconomic vulnerability and the highest quartile of minority and language vulnerability were associated with increased testing gaps, but the latter association was not statistically significant. Presence of large university student population (>10% of population) was associated with a marked decrease in testing gap . These analyses indicate that despite objectives to promote equity and enhance epidemic control in vulnerable communities, testing resources across Massachusetts have been disproportionally allocated to more affluent communities.

''Necessity is the mother of invention'': Specialist palliative care service innovation and practice change in response to COVID-19. Results from a multi-national survey (CovPall)

Dunleavy,  Lesley,  Preston, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

This study mapped out specialist palliative care services innovations and practice changes in response to COVID-19 (CovPall).  458 respondents: 277 UK, 85 Europe (except UK), 95 World (except UK and Europe), 1 missing country. 54.8% provided care across 2+ settings; 47.4% hospital palliative care teams, 57% in-patient palliative care units, and 57% home palliative care teams. The crisis context meant services implemented rapid changes. Changes involved streamlining, extending and increasing outreach of services, using technology to facilitate communication, and implementing staff wellbeing innovations. Barriers included; fear and anxiety, duplication of effort, information overload, funding, and IT infrastructure issues. Enablers included; collaborative teamwork, pooling of staffing resources, staff flexibility, a pre-existing IT infrastructure and strong leadership.

Family Medicine Practitioners’ Stress During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Cross-Sectional Survey

Dutour,  Marion,  Kirchhoff, et al

Research Square prepub

Mental Health |
santé mentale

Our objective was to estimate the self-perception of stress at the beginning of the pandemic in France, among GPs from the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes (AuRA), a french administrative area severely impacted by COVID-19, and to identify which factors may have modulated this perception. We conducted an online cross-sectional survey between 8th of April to 10th of May 2020. The self-perception of stress was evaluated using the 10-item Perceived Stress Score (PSS-10). Overall, 898 individual answers were collected. A total of 437 GPs (49%) were stressed (PSS≥27), and 283 GPs (32%) had a very high level of stress (PSS≥30). Perceived stress was associated with multiple components, and involved classic psychosocial risk factors such as emotional requirements: 415 GPs (49%) were affected by patient anxiety (OR=3.41, 95%CI 1.87-6.36], p<0.001). But in this context of health crisis, the main determinant of GPs’ stress appears to be the diversity and quantity of information from diverse sources (614 GPs (69%, OR=2.21, 95%CI 1.40-3.50], p<0.001).  The first COVID-19 wave was stressful for AuRA’s GPs. One of the main determinants seems to be the diversity and quantity of information received from the health authorities.

Targeting the initiation and termination codons of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein as possible therapy against COVID-19: the role of novel harpagide 5-O-β-D-glucopyranoside from Clerodendrum volubile P Beauv. (Labiatae)

Erukainure,  OL,  Atolani, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

In this study, the therapeutic potential of a new iridoid glycoside isolated from the leaves of Clerodendrum volubile against COVID-19 was investigated.  Harpagide 5-O-β-D-glucopyranoside (HG) was isolated, characterised and investigated for its druglikeness, optimized geometry, and pharmacokinetics properties. In silico analysis was used in determining its molecular interaction with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-COV-2). HG displayed potent druglikeness properties, with no inhibitory effect on cytochrome P(450) (1A2, 2C19, 2C9, 2D6 and 3A4) and a predicted LD(50) of 2000 mg/kg. Its (1)H-NMR chemical shifts showed a little deviation of 0.01 and 0.11 ppm for H-4 and H-9, respectively. HG significantly suppressed oxidative bursts in PMNs, while concomitantly inhibiting T-cell proliferation. It also displayed a very strong binding affinity with the translation initiation and termination sequence sites of spike (S) protein mRNA of SARS-COV-2, its gene product, and host ACE2 receptor.

A Multi-Factor Risk Model for Severe Covid-19 for Vaccine Prioritization and Monitoring Based on a 15 Million Medicare Cohort

Experton,  Bettina,  Tetteh, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

This study presents an integrated multi-factor risk model for severe Covid-19 using de-identified Medicare claims from which demographic and clinical data for a cohort of 15 million Medicare beneficiaries with 770,000 Covid-19 cases, and socio-economic data at the county and zip code level from the CDC Social Vulnerability Index were extracted. The model affirms ethnicity (Black: OR 1.64; 95% CI 1.61-1.68, American Indian: OR 2.21; 95% CI 2.01-2.42), age over 85 (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.69-1.81), the socio-economic factor of residing in a zip code in the lowest quartile of income (OR 1.23; 95% CI 1.21-1.26), ESRD (OR 2.35; 95% CI 2.25-2.45) and chronic lung disease (OR 1.95; 95% CI 1.90-2.00) as leading risk factors for Covid-19 hospitalizations, but reveals low risk for COPD (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.13 -1.17) and minimal or no risk for diabetes (OR 1.03; CI 1.01-1.05), CHF (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.08-1.12) or hypertension (OR 0.96; 95% CI 0.94-0.98), and demonstrates an association between prior herpes zoster immunization (OR 0.74; 95% CI 0.71-0.77), and to a lesser degree prior influenza and pneumococcal vaccines with less severe Covid-19.

Risk factors for severe COVID-19 disease and death in patients aged 70 and over: a retrospective observational cohort study

Fagard,  Katleen,  Gielen, et al

Research Square prepub

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

A retrospective analysis was performed to investigate whether typical geriatric risk factors, such as frailty, comorbidity, living situation and cognitive decline, have added value compared to conventional risk factors in predicting severe COVID-19 disease and in-hospital death. In patients aged 70 years and over, an online geriatric assessment questionnaire was launched, from which the CFS was scored by the geriatrics team. Additional clinical data were collected from the electronic medical records.One hundred and five patients were included, median age 82 years. CFS scores were 1-4 in 43, 5-6 in 45, and 7-9 in 17 patients. Univariable analysis showed age, CFS, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), age-adjusted CCI and cognitive decline associated with in-hospital mortality. A retrospective analysis shows that geriatric risk factors exceed conventional risk factors for predicting in-hospital mortality.

Sociodemographic variables as predictors of adverse outcome in SARS-CoV-2 infection: an Irish hospital experience

Farrell,  RJ,  O'Regan, et al

Ir J Med Sci

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study describes the organisational challenges faced in managing the surge and identified risk factors for mortality and ICU admission among hospitalised SARS-CoV-2-infected patients.Of 257 inpatients, 174 were discharged (68%) and 39 died (15%) in hospital. Two hundred three (79%) patients presented from the community, 34 (13%) from care homes and 20 (8%) were existing inpatients. Forty-five percent of community patients were of a non-Irish White or Black, Asian or minority ethnic (BAME) population, including 34 Roma (13%) compared to 3% of care home and 5% of existing inpatients, (p < 0.001). Twenty-two patients were healthcare workers (9%). Of 31 patients (12%) requiring ICU admission, 18 were discharged (58%) and 7 died (23%). Being overweight/obese HR (95% CI) 3.09 (1.32, 7.23), p = 0.009; a care home resident 2.68 (1.24, 5.6), p = 0.012; socioeconomically deprived 1.05 (1.01, 1.09), p = 0.012; and older 1.04 (1.01, 1.06), p = 0.002 were significantly associated with death. Non-Irish White or BAME were not significantly associated with death 1.31 (0.28, 6.22), p = 0.63 but were significantly associated with ICU admission 4.38 (1.38, 14.2), p = 0.014 as was being overweight/obese 2.37 (1.37, 6.83), p = 0.01.

Impact of corticosteroids and immunosuppressive therapies on symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large cohort of patients with chronic inflammatory arthritis

Favalli,  Ennio Giulio,  Bugatti, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique Immunology | Immunologie

The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of glucocorticoids and immunosuppressive agents on COVID-19 in a large cohort of patients with chronic immune-mediated inflammatory arthritis. The study population included 2050 adults with chronic inflammatory arthritis receiving glucocorticoids, conventional-synthetic (cs), or targeted-synthetic/biological (ts/b) disease-modifying drugs (DMARDs). Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and highly suspicious infection were recorded in 1.1% and 1.4% of the population, respectively. Treatment with glucocorticoids was independently associated with increased risk of COVID-19 (adjusted OR 95% CI] ranging from 1.23 1.04-1.44] to 3.20 1.97-5.18] depending on the definition used). Conversely, patients treated with ts/bDMARDs were at reduced risk (adjusted OR ranging from 0.46 0.18-1.21] to 0.47 0.46-0.48]). During the COVID-19 outbreak, treatment with immunomodulatory medications appears safe.

Avoiding versus contracting COVID-19: On the effectiveness of social distancing at the level of the individual

Fazio,  RussellH,  Ruisch, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

This research examined the effectiveness of social distancing at the level of the individual. Four months after participating in a study assessing their social distancing behavior, 2,120 participants indicated whether they had contracted COVID-19. The assessment of social distancing involved not only a self-report measure of how strictly participants had followed social distancing recommendations, but also a series of virtual behavior measures of social distancing. These simulations presented participants with graphical depictions mirroring specific real-world scenarios, asking them to position themselves in relation to others in the scene. Individual social distancing behavior, particularly as assessed by the virtual behavior measure, predicted whether they contracted COVID-19 during the intervening four months.

Changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike versus Nucleoprotein Antibody Responses Impact the Estimates of Infections in Population-Based Seroprevalence Studies

Fenwick,  C,  Croxatto, et al

J Virol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

This study evaluated SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody responses to the Spike (S) protein monomer, S protein native trimeric form or the nucleocapsid (N) proteins in cohorts of individuals with acute infection (n=93) and in individuals enrolled in a post-infection seroprevalence population study (n=578) in Switzerland.  Commercial assays specific for the S1 monomer, for the N protein and a newly developed Luminex assay using the S protein trimer were found to be equally sensitive in antibody detection in the acute infection phase samples. Interestingly, as compared to anti-S antibody responses, those against the N protein appear to wane in the post-infection cohort. Seroprevalence in a 'positive patient contacts' group (n=177) was underestimated by N protein assays by 10.9 to 32.2% and the 'random selected' general population group (n=311) was reduced up to 45% reduction relative to S protein assays. The overall reduction in seroprevalence targeting only anti-N antibodies for the total cohort ranged from 9.4 to 31%. Of note, the use of the S protein in its native trimer form was significantly more sensitive as compared to monomeric S proteins.

Subsidizing the Spread of COVID19: Evidence from the Uk's Eat-Out-To-Help-Out Scheme

Fetzer,  Thiemo

SSRN- Lancet prepublication

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

This paper documents that a large-scale government subsidy aimed at encouraging people to eat out in restaurants in the wake of the first 2020 COVID19 wave in the United Kingdom has had a large causal impact in accelerating the subsequent second COVID19 wave. The scheme subsidized 50% off the cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks for an unlimited number of visits in participating restaurants on Mondays-Wednesdays from August 3 to August 31, 2020. Areas with higher take-up saw both, a notable increase in new COVID19 infection clusters within a week of the scheme starting, and again, a deceleration in infections within two weeks of the program ending. Areas that exhibit notable rainfall during the prime lunch and dinner hours on days the scheme was active record lower infection incidence - a pattern that is also measurable in mobility data - and non-detectable on days during which the discount was not available or for rainfall outside the core lunch and dinner hours. A back of the envelope calculation suggests that the program is accountable for between 8 to 17 percent of all new local infection clusters during that time period.

Plasma proteomics reveals tissue-specific cell death and mediators of cell-cell interactions in severe COVID-19 patients

Filbin,  MichaelR,  Mehta, et al

bioRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study  uncover COVID-19 host immune and non-immune proteins by analyzing several thousand plasma proteins in 306 COVID-19 patients and 78 symptomatic controls over serial timepoints using two complementary approaches. Integration of plasma proteomics with nine published scRNAseq datasets shows that SARS-CoV-2 infection upregulates monocyte/macrophage, plasmablast, and T cell effector proteins. By comparing patients who died to severely ill patients who survived, we identify dynamic immunomodulatory and tissue-associated proteins associated with survival, providing insights into which host responses are beneficial and which are detrimental to survival. We identify intracellular death signatures from specific tissues and cell types, and by associating these with angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) expression, we map tissue damage associated with severe disease and propose which damage results from direct viral infection rather than from indirect effects of illness. We find that disease severity in lung tissue is driven by myeloid cell phenotypes and cell-cell interactions with lung epithelial cells and T cells.

Remdesivir-based therapy improved recovery of patients with COVID-19 in the SARSTer multicentre, real-world study

Flisiak,  Robert,  Zarebska-Michaluk, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

This retrospective, observational study evaluated the effectiveness and safety of  Remdesivir (RDV) in patients with COVID-19 in real world settings. Significantly higher rates of clinical improvement, by 15% and 10% respectively, were observed after RDV treatment compared to LPV/r at days 21 and 28. The difference between regimens increased with worsening of oxygen saturation (SpO2) and depending on the baseline score from the ordinal scale. Statistically significant differences supporting RDV were also noted regarding the rate of no clinical improvement within 28 days of hospitalization and hospitalization duration in patients with baseline SpO2 ≤90%. In the logistic regression model only the administration of remdesivir was independently associated with at least a 2-point improvement in the ordinal scale between baseline and day 21.

Eosinophilia in critically ill COVID-19 patients: a French monocenter retrospective study

Fraissé,  M,  Logre, et al

Crit Care

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study assessed the incidence and described eosinophilia in critically ill COVID-19 patients, as well as compared the outcome between patients developing or not eosinophilia during their ICU stay. Among 78 patients, 69 (88%) had eosinopenia at ICU admission and 26 (33%, 95% confidence interval 23–45%) developed eosinophilia during ICU stay. Among the 26 patients who developed eosinophilia, 22 (85%) had eosinopenia at ICU admission. Eosinophilia occurred 19 [13–28] days after ICU admission and lasted 5 [3–12] days.

COVID-19 in children: Pathogenesis and current status

Frenkel,  L,  Gomez, et al

Allergy Asthma Proc

Clinical data| Données cliniques

This report examined the current evidence that supports the etiopathogenesis of COVID-19 in children and the relationship of COVID-19 with KD and MIS-C as a basis for a better understanding of the clinical course, diagnosis, and management of these clinically perplexing conditions. The pathogenesis of COVID-19 is carried out in two distinct but overlapping phases of COVID-19: the first triggered by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) itself and the second by the host immune response. Children with KD have fewer of the previously described COVID-19-associated KD features with less prominent acute respiratory distress syndrome and shock than children with MIS-C.

Outcomes of COVID-19 in Patients With a History of Cancer and Comorbid Cardiovascular Disease

Ganatra,  S,  Dani, et al

J Natl Compr Canc Netw

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This research studied the outcomes in patients with COVID-19 with both cancer and comorbid CVD.  Multivariable analysis identified cancer as an independent predictor of COVID-19-associated severe disease among all infected patients. Patients with cancer were more likely to develop COVID-19-associated severe disease than were those without cancer (hazard ratio HR], 2.02; 95% CI, 1.53-2.68; P<.001). Furthermore, patients with both cancer and CVD had a higher likelihood of COVID-19-associated severe disease compared with those with either cancer (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.11-3.10; P=.02) or CVD (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.21-2.66; P=.004) alone. Patients died more frequently if they had both cancer and CVD compared with either cancer (35% vs 17%; P=.004) or CVD (35% vs 21%; P=.009) alone. Arrhythmias and encephalopathy were also more frequent in patients with both cancer and CVD compared with those with cancer alone.

In Vitro Antiviral Activity of Doxycycline against SARS-CoV-2

Gendrot,  M,  Andreani, et al

Molecules

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

This in vitro study  explored the antiviral effects of doxycycline on SARS-CoV-2.  Doxycycline showed in vitro activity on Vero E6 cells infected with a clinically isolated SARS-CoV-2 strain (IHUMI-3) with median effective concentration (EC(50)) of 4.5 ± 2.9 µM, compatible with oral uptake and intravenous administrations. Doxycycline interacted both on SARS-CoV-2 entry and in replication after virus entry. Besides its in vitro antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2, doxycycline has anti-inflammatory effects by decreasing the expression of various pro-inflammatory cytokines and could prevent co-infections and superinfections due to broad-spectrum antimicrobial activity. Doxycycline could be a potential partner of COVID-19 therapies however further research is required.

The power and limitations of genomics to track COVID-19 outbreaks: a case study from New Zealand

Geoghegan,  JemmaL,  Douglas, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Surveillance Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

During this August outbreak, New Zealand utilised genomic sequencing in a primary role to support its track and trace efforts for the first time, leading to a second successful elimination of the virus.  Genomic sequencing was able to rapidly identify that the new COVID-19 cases in New Zealand belonged to a single cluster and hence resulted from a single introduction. However, successful identification of the origin of this outbreak was impeded by substantial biases and gaps in global sequencing data.

Computer aided identification of potential SARS CoV-2 main protease inhibitors from diterpenoids and biflavonoids of Torreya nucifera leaves

Ghosh,  R,  Chakraborty, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

This study adopted various in-silico approaches to examine if these phytochemicals exhibit any inhibitory effect on SARS CoV-2 Mpro. Diterpenoids and biflavonoids those qualified pharmacological test (hinokiol, amentoflavone, bilobetin and ginkgetin) and two well-known Mpro inhibitors (N3 and lopinavir) were subjected for molecular docking studies. Only three biflavonoids (amentoflavone, bilobetin and ginkgetin) were selected by comparing their binding affinities with N3 and lopinavir. They interacted with two most important catalytic residues of Mpro (His41 and Cys145). Molecular dynamics studies further revealed that these three Mpro-biflavonoid complexes are highly stable and share a similar degree of compactness. Besides, these complexes experience less conformational fluctuations and more expansion than Mpro-N3 and/or Mpro-lopinavir complex. MM-GBSA and H-bond analysis further corroborated these findings.

Race/ethnicity association with COVID-19 outcomes in rheumatic disease: Data from the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance Physician Registry

Gianfrancesco,  MA,  Leykina, et al

Arthritis Rheumatol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

The aim of this study was to examine the association between race/ethnicity and COVID-19 hospitalization, ventilation status, and mortality in people with rheumatic disease. A total of 1,324 patients were included, of whom 36% were hospitalized and 6% died; 26% of hospitalized patients required mechanical ventilation. In multivariable models, Black (OR=2.74, 95% CI 1.90, 3.95), Latinx (OR=1.71, 95% CI 1.18, 2.49), and Asian (OR=2.69, 95% CI 1.16, 6.24) patients had higher odds of being hospitalized compared to white patients. Latinx patients also had three-fold increased odds of requiring ventilatory support (OR=3.25, 95% CI 1.75, 6.05). No differences in mortality based on race/ethnicity were found, though power may have been limited to detect associations.

Experiences of living with mental health problems during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK: a coproduced, participatory qualitative interview study

Gillard,  Steven,  Dare, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

Our paper addresses a lack of in-depth qualitative research exploring their experiences and perceptions of how life has changed at this time. We used qualitative interviews (N=49) to explore experiences of the pandemic for people with pre-existing mental health conditions. Existing mental health difficulties were exacerbated for many people. People experienced specific psychological impacts of the pandemic, struggles with social connectedness, and inadequate access to mental health services, while some found new ways to cope and connect to community. New remote ways to access mental health care, including digital solutions, provided continuity of care for some but presented substantial barriers for others. People from black and ethnic minority (BAME) communities experienced heightened anxiety, stigma and racism associated with the pandemic, further impacting their mental health.

Pathway enrichment analysis of virus-host interactome and prioritization of novel compounds targeting the spike glycoprotein receptor binding domain-human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 interface to combat SARS-CoV-2

Gollapalli,  P,  B, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Here, we performed a virtual screening of 55 compounds to identify potential molecules that can bind to the spike glycoprotein and spike-ACE2 complex interface. It was found that the compound ethyl 1-{3-(2,4-dichlorobenzyl) carbamoyl]-1-ethyl-6-fluoro-4-oxo-1,4-dihydro-7-quinolinyl}-4-piperidine carboxylate (the S54 ligand) and ethyl 1-{3-(2,4-dichlorobenzyl) carbamoyl]-1-ethyl-6-fluoro-4-oxo-1,4-dihydro-7-quinolinyl}-4 piperazine carboxylate (the S55 ligand) forms hydrophobic interactions with Tyr41A, Tyr505B and Tyr553B, Leu29A, Phe495B, respectively of the spike glycoprotein, the hotspot residues in the spike glycoprotein RBD-hACE2 binding interface. Furthermore, molecular dynamics simulations and free energy calculations using the MM-GBSA method showed that the S54 ligand is a stronger binder than a known SARS-CoV spike inhibitor SSAA09E3 (N-(9,10-dioxo-9, 10-dihydroanthracen-2-yl) benzamide).

The CCR5-delta32 variant might explain part of the association between COVID-19 and the chemokine-receptor gene cluster

Gomez,  Juan,  Cuesta-Llavona, et al

medRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

Several studies have suggested that the pharmacological targeting of CCR5 could reduce the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the severity of COVID-19. We sought to investigate whether this polymorphism was associated with the risk of moderate-severe COVID-19. We genotyped 294 patients who required hospitalization due to COVID-19 (85 were severe cases) and 460 controls. We found a significantly lower frequency of CCR5-Δ32 among the COVID-19 patients (0.10 vs 0.18 in controls; p=0.002, OR=0.48, 95%CI=0.29-0.76). The difference was mainly due to the reduced frequency of CCR5-Δ32 carriers in the severe, significantly lower than in the non-severe patients (p=0.036). Of note, we did not find deletion-homozygotes among the patients compared to 1% among controls. We also confirmed the association between a LZTFL1 variant and COVID-19.

Rapid classification and prediction of COVID-19 severity by MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry analysis of serum peptidome

Gomila,  RosaM,  Martorell, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Here, we tested the utility of matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) to classify and predict the severity of COVID-19 in a clinical setting. We used this technology to analyse the mass spectra profiles of the sera from 80 COVID-19 patients, clinically classified as mild (33), severe (26) and critical (21), and 20 healthy controls. We found a clear variability of the serum peptidome profile depending on COVID-19 severity. Seventy-eight peaks were significantly different and 12 at least four fold more intense in the set of critical patients than in the mild ones. Analysis of the resulting matrix of peak intensities by machine learning approaches classified severe (severe and critical) and non-severe (mild) patients with a 90% of accuracy. Furthermore, machine learning predicted correctly the favourable outcome of the severe patients in 85% of the cases and the unfavourable in 38% of the cases.

Radiotherapy in the COVID-19 Pandemic Era

Gonnelli,  A,  Montrone, et al

In Vivo

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The aim of this report is to compare the volumes of Pisa radiotherapy activities from March 9(th) to May 31(st), 2020, with the same period in 2019. The total number of first-time visits between March-May 2020 was reduced by 18%, probably due to delays in diagnosis and histological tests as well as the temporary closure of the operating rooms. None of the healthcare professionals and only two patients contracted the infection.

Zinc-embedded fabrics inactivate SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A virus

Gopal,  Vikram,  Nilsson-Payant, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

Here we used polyamide 6.6 (PA66) fibers that had zinc ions embedded during the polymerisation process and systematically investigated if these fibers can absorb and inactivate pandemic SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A virus H1N1. We find that these viruses are readily absorbed by PA66 fabrics and inactivated by zinc ions embedded into this fabric. The inactivation rate (pfu.gram-1.min-1) exceeds the number of active virus particles expelled by a cough and supports a wide range of viral loads. Overall, these results provide new insight into the development of "pathogen-free" PPE and better protection against RNA virus spread.

Potential Opportunity Of Antisense Therapy Of COVID-19 on an in vitro model

Goryachev,  Anton Nikolaevich,  Kalantarov, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

The study of the synthesized antisense oligonucleotide 5`-AGCCGAGTGACAGCC ACACAG, complementary to the selected virus RNA sequence, was carried out. The low toxicity of the preparations of this group in the cell culture study and the ability to reduce viral load at high doses according to real time-PCR data are shown. The cytopathogenic dose exceeds 2 mg/ml. At a dosage of 1 mg/ml, viral replication is reduced by 5 - 13 times. Conclusions are made about the prospects of this direction and the feasibility of using the inhalation way of drug administration into the body.

A Two-Region SEIR COVID-19 Epidemic Model for the Island of Ireland

Grannell,  JamesJ,  Grannell, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

The island of Ireland consists of two countries, Ireland and Northern Ireland, which are separated by a land border. We develop a model for the COVID-19 epidemic which consists of two SEIR models, one for each country, coupled through border interaction terms. The model incorporates symptomatic and presymptomatic infectives, but not asymptomatic infectives, together with a simple isolation/quarantine model. The objective of the work is to explore how the two-region epidemic could evolve by examining selected regions of parameter space. In this context we examine the effect of the border status on evolution of the epidemic. We found that, even though the border interaction parameters are relatively small, the open border could significantly affect the course of the epidemic in some of the scenarios studied. We also looked for and found examples of sensitive dependence on several parameters.

The mental health of critical care and anaesthetic staff during COVID-19

Greenberg,  Neil,  Weston, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

This study aimed to identify the rates of probable mental health disorder in ICU and anaesthetic staff in six hospitals during June and July 2020. 709 participants completed the surveys comprising 291 (41%) Doctors, 344 (48.5%) Nurses, and 74 (10.4%) as other clinicians. Over half (58.8%) reported good wellbeing, however 45.4% met the threshold for probable clinical significance on at least one of the following measures: severe depression (6.3%), PTSD (39.5%), severe anxiety (11.3%) or problem drinking (7.2%). 13.4% of respondents reported frequent thoughts of being better off dead, or of hurting themselves in the past two weeks. We found that doctors consistently reported better mental health than nurses.

How much testing and social distancing is required to control COVID-19? Some insight based on an age-differentiated compartmental model

Grundel,  Sara,  Heyder, et al

arXiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Transmission Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

In this paper, we provide insights on how much testing and social distancing is required to control COVID-19. To this end, we develop a compartmental model that accounts for key aspects of the disease: 1) incubation time, 2) age-dependent symptom severity, and 3) testing and hospitalization delays; the model's parameters are chosen based on medical evidence, and, for concreteness, adapted to the German situation. Then, optimal mass-testing and age-dependent social-distancing policies are determined by solving optimal control problems both in open loop and within a model predictive control framework. We aim to minimize testing and/or social distancing until herd immunity sets in under a constraint on the number of available intensive care units. We find that an early and short lockdown is inevitable but can be slowly relaxed over the following months.

Rapid chromatographic immunoassay-based evaluation of COVID-19: A cross-sectional, diagnostic test accuracy study & its implications for COVID-19 management in India

Gupta,  A,  Khurana, et al

Indian J Med Res

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of a rapid chromatographic immunoassay-based test (index test) compared with a clinical reference standard (rRT-PCR).  Of the 330 participants, 77 were rRT-PCR positive for SARS-CoV-2. Sixty four of these patients also tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by RDT. The overall sensitivity and specificity were 81.8 and 99.6 per cent, respectively. The sensitivity of RDT was higher (85.9%) in participants with a duration of illness ≤5 days.

Association between anti-interferon-alpha autoantibodies and COVID-19 in systemic lupus erythematosus

Gupta,  Sarthak,  Nakabo, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

We assessed whether having pre-existing anti-IFNa; autoantibodies was associated with COVID-19 infection in SLE patients. Ten SLE subjects with COVID-19 were identified. A 40% of these subjects had stable autoantibodies against IFNa; for up to three years preceding COVID-19 diagnosis. A 50% of the subjects with these autoantibodies neutralized IFNa; induced STAT1 phosphorylation. None of the other SLE samples blocked IFNa; signaling. We noted an increased prevalence of pre-existing anti-IFNa; autoantibodies in SLE patients with COVID-19 compared to the reported prevalence in lupus patients and the general population with severe COVID-19.

Loneliness and Depression in College Students During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Boredom and Repetitive Negative Thinking as Mediators

Hager,  NathanM,  Judah, et al

Research Square prepub

Mental Health |
santé mentale

This study examined cross-sectional associations between depression, loneliness, boredom, and RNT in a sample of college students (N =199) in April 2020 immediately following campus closure. Results showed a serial indirect effect of loneliness on depression through boredom then RNT. Moreover, specific indirect effects of loneliness on depression were found through boredom and RNT, individually. These data align with cognitive-behavioral theory and identify boredom and RNT as possible mechanisms of the association between loneliness and depression in college students. As such, boredom and RNT might be suitable treatment targets for depression during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The impact of keeping a religious beard in the COVID-19 pandemic: an online cross sectional survey study exploring experiences of male medical healthcare professionals

Hamed,  Amer,  Latif, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

There has been a disproportionate effect on individuals from black Asian & Minority Ehnic (BAME) in the UK in COVID-19 pandemic, especially in the NHS staff. Many of them have been asked to remove their beard to be eligible to do the fit test which can have negative implications on their spiritual, psychological & emotional wellbeing. This paper surveyed the responses of 469 healthcare professionals (HCPs) with beards regarding the challenges they face in regard to personal protective equipment (PPE), mask fit testing and attitude of employers & colleagues. Professional discrimination through fit testing rejection, unavailability or inadequate PPE and the pressure to shave their beard are unpleasant outcomes of this pandemic for some of the NHS staff.

Rates of recurrent positive SARS-CoV-2 swab results among patients attending primary care in Qatar

Hamed,  E

J Infect

Clinical data| Données cliniques

This record-based study reports on the cases with recurrent positive RT-PCR nasopharyngeal swab for SARS-CoV-2 results in primary health care corporation (PHCC) settings in Qatar. 84 days was the maximum number of days for recurrent positive and the mean of the maximum number of days between recurrent positive results is 29.2 ± 11.6. (Median: 25 [Min: 21-Max: 84]). Recurrent positive findings could occur in all age groups and different population types, including paediatric, elderly, and pregnant patients. Current smoking status was highly prevalent among patients with recurrent positive results.

Characteristics and outcomes of hospitalised patients with acute kidney injury and COVID-19

Hamilton,  P,  Hanumapura, et al

PLoS One

Clinical data| Données cliniques

We studied the development and outcomes of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with COVID-19, in a large multicultural city hospital trust in the UK, to better understand the role renal disease has in the disease process. There were 1032 patients included in the study of whom 210 (20.3%) had AKI in association with the diagnosis of COVID-19. The overall mortality with AKI was considerably higher at 52.4% compared to 26.3% without AKI (p-value <0.001). More patients with AKI required escalation to critical care (34.8% vs 11.2%, p-value <0.001). Following admission to critical care those with AKI were more likely to die (54.8% vs 25.0%, p-value <0.001) and more likely to require mechanical ventilation (86.3% vs 66.3%, p-value 0.006).

Institutional Review of Laparoscopic Surgery during Coronavirus Disease - 2019: Recommendations for Developing Countries

Hannan,  Jafrul,  Parveen, et al

Research Square prepub

Transmission Infection Prevention and Control/ Prévention et contrôle des infections (IPAC/PCI)

We aimed to describe strategies that lowered viral transmission risks such as alternative anaesthetic techniques and low-cost infection control and prevention practices for laparoscopic surgeries. Seventy two patients who presented to hospital as acute surgical emergencies between April and July 2020 and analyzed clinical data of 50 patients who underwent laparoscopic surgeries. This was a prospective observational study. Of the 50 operated patients, the median age was 23 years with 54% females. The most frequently performed procedure was laparoscopic cholecystectomy, the overall median theatre time was 47 minutes, and 40% patients were managed as day cases with reduced hospital stay. Use of spinal anaesthesia, a simple smoke evacuator and some additional measures during laparoscopic surgeries reduce theatre time and length of hospital stay. These strategies could address and minimize the risks associated with Covid-19 transmission in surgical settings in low-resource countries

Modeling COVID-19 Transmissions and Evaluation of Large Scale Social Restriction in Jakarta, Indonesia

Hasan,  Agus,  Nasution, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Transmission Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

This paper presents mathematical modeling and quantitative evaluation of Large Scale Social Restriction (LSSR) in Jakarta between 10 April and 4 June 2020. The special capital region of Jakarta is the only province among 34 provinces in Indonesia with an average Testing Positivity Rate (TPR) below 5\% recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). The transmission model is based on a discrete-time compartmental epidemiological model incorporating suspected cases. The quantitative evaluation is measured based on the estimation of the time-varying effective reproduction number (Rt). Our results show the LSSR has been successfully suppressed the spread of COVID-19 in Jakarta, which was indicated by Rt<1. However, once the LSSR was relaxed, the effective reproduction number increased significantly. The model is further used for short-term forecasting to mitigate the course of the pandemic.

The ACE2-binding interface of SARS-CoV-2 Spike inherently deflects immune recognition

Hattori,  Takamitsu,  Koide, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Immunology | Immunologie

Here, we designed an receptor-binding domain (RBD) mutant that disrupts the ACE2IS and used it to characterize the prevalence of antibodies directed to the ACE2IS from convalescent sera of 94 COVID19-positive patients. We found that only a small fraction of RBD-binding antibodies targeted the ACE2IS. To assess the immunogenicity of different parts of the spike protein, we performed in vitro antibody selection for the spike and the RBD proteins using both unbiased and biased selection strategies. Intriguingly, unbiased selection yielded antibodies that predominantly targeted regions outside the ACE2IS, whereas ACE2IS-binding antibodies were readily identified from biased selection designed to enrich such antibodies. Furthermore, antibodies from an unbiased selection using the RBD preferentially bound to the surfaces that are inaccessible in the context of whole spike protein. These results suggest that the ACE2IS has evolved less immunogenic than the other regions of the spike protein, which has important implications in the development of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2.

Data-Driven Control of the COVID-19 Outbreak via Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions: A Geometric Programming Approach

Hayhoe,  Mikhail,  Barreras, et al

arXiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

In this paper we propose a data-driven model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and use it to design optimal control strategies of human-mobility restrictions that both curb the epidemic and minimize the economic costs associated with implementing non-pharmaceutical interventions.  We propose an optimal control problem on this data-driven model with a tractable solution provided by geometric programming. The result of this framework is a mobility-based intervention strategy that curbs the spread of the epidemic while obeying a budget on the economic cost incurred. Our results are demonstrated with numerical simulations using real data from the Philadelphia metropolitan area.

Pooling RT-qPCR testing for SARS-CoV-2 in 1000 individuals of healthy and infection-suspected patients

Hirotsu,  Y,  Maejima, et al

Sci Rep

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

To validate the feasibility of pooling samples, serial dilution analysis and spike-in experiments were conducted using synthetic DNA and nucleic acids extracted from SARS-CoV-2-positive and -negative patients. Furthermore, we studied 1000 individuals, 667 of whom were “healthy” individuals (195 healthcare workers and 472 hospitalized patients with disorders other than COVID-19 infection), and 333 infection-suspected patients with cough and fever. By screening with this pooling strategy, by the end of April 2020 there were 12 SARS-CoV-2-positive patients in 333 infection-suspected patients (3.6%) and zero in 667 “healthy” controls. We obtained these results with a total of 538 runs using the pooling strategy, compared with 1000 standard runs. In a prospective study, we successfully detected SARS-CoV-2 using 10- to 20-fold diluted samples of nasopharyngeal swabs from eighteen COVID-19 patients with wide ranges of viral load.

Longitudinal testing for respiratory and gastrointestinal shedding of SARS-CoV-2 in day care centres in Hesse, Germany. Results of the SAFE KiDS Study

Hoehl,  Sebastian,  Kreutzer, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission

Methods We conducted a longitudinal study over a period of 12 weeks (18th of June 2020 to 10th of September, 2020) to screen attendees and staff from day care centres in the state of Hesse, Germany, for both respiratory and gastrointestinal shedding of SARS-CoV-2. 825 children (age range 3 months to 8 years) and 372 staff members from 50 day care centres.  Findings 7,366 buccal mucosa swabs and 5,907 anal swabs were analysed. No respiratory or gastrointestinal shedding of SARS-CoV-2 was detected in any of the children. Shedding of SARS-CoV-2 could be detected in two staff members from distinct day care centres. One was asymptomatic at the time of testing, and one was symptomatic.

Optimizing Molecules using Efficient Queries from Property Evaluations

Hoffman,  Samuel,  Chenthamarakshan, et al

arXiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Machine learning has shown potential for optimizing existing molecules with more desirable properties, a critical step towards accelerating new chemical discovery. In this work, we propose QMO, a generic query-based molecule optimization framework that exploits latent embeddings from a molecule autoencoder. QMO improves the desired properties of an input molecule based on efficient queries, guided by a set of molecular property predictions and evaluation metrics. We show that QMO outperforms existing methods in the benchmark tasks of optimizing molecules for drug likeliness and solubility under similarity constraints. We also demonstrate significant property improvement using QMO on two new and challenging tasks that are also important in real-world discovery problems: (i) optimizing existing SARS-CoV-2 Main Protease inhibitors toward higher binding affinity; and (ii) improving known antimicrobial peptides towards lower toxicity. Results from QMO show high consistency with external validations, suggesting effective means of facilitating molecule optimization problems with design constraints.

Identification of Cross-Reactive CD8+ T Cell Receptors with High Functional Avidity to a SARS-CoV-2 Immunodominant Epitope and Its Natural Mutant Variants

Hu,  Chao,  Shen, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Immunology | Immunologie

Using a peptide library predicted with HLA class I-restriction, specific CD8+ T cell responses were identified in over 75% of COVID-19 convalescent patients. Among the 15 SARS-CoV-2 epitopes identified from the S and N proteins, N361-369 (KTFPPTEPK) was the most dominant epitope. Importantly, we discovered 2 N361-369-specific T cell receptors (TCRs) with high functional avidity, and they exhibited complementary cross-reactivity to reported N361-369 mutant variants. In dendritic cells (DCs) and the lung organoid model, we found that the N361-369 epitope could be processed and endogenously presented to elicit the activation and cytotoxicity of CD8+ T cells ex vivo.

Structure-based lead optimization of herbal medicine rutin for inhibiting SARS-CoV-2's main protease

Huynh,  T,  Wang, et al

Phys Chem Chem Phys

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Here, we explore the underlying molecular mechanisms of the computationally determined top candidate, namely, rutin which is a key component in many traditional antiviral medicines such as Lianhuaqinwen and Shuanghuanlian, for inhibiting the viral target-Mpro. Using in silico methods (docking and molecular dynamics simulations), we revealed the dynamics and energetics of rutin when interacting with the Mpro of SARS-CoV-2, suggesting that the highly hydrophilic rutin molecule can be bound inside the Mpro's pocket (active site) and possibly inhibit its biological functions. In addition, we optimized the structure of rutin and designed two more hydrophobic analogs, M1 and M2, which satisfy the rule of five for western medicines and demonstrated that they (M2 in particular) possess much stronger binding affinities to the SARS-COV-2s Mpro than rutin, due to the enhanced hydrophobic interaction as well as more hydrogen bonds.

Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales

Ilin,  Cornelia,  Annan-Phan, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

We develop simple statistical models to measure the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and forecast the spread of COVID-19 at local, state, and national levels. The method integrates concepts from econometrics and machine learning, and relies only upon publicly available data on human mobility. We evaluate this approach using local and regional data from China, France, Italy, South Korea, and the United States, as well as national data from 80 countries around the world. We find that NPIs are associated with significant reductions in human mobility, and that changes in mobility can be used to forecast COVID-19 infections. While different policies have different effects on different populations, we observed total reductions in mobility between 40 and 84 percent. Even in the absence of other  epidemiological information mobility data substantially improves 10-day case rates forecasts at the county

Precision shielding for COVID-19: metrics of assessment and feasibility of deployment

Ioannidis,  John

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Here, the aim is to present simple metrics of such precision shielding of people at high-risk of death after infection by SARS-CoV-2; demonstrate how they can estimated; and examine whether precision shielding was successfully achieved in the first COVID-19 wave. Methods. The shielding ratio, S, is defined as the ratio of prevalence of infection among people at a high-risk group versus among people in a low-risk group. The contrasted risk groups examined here are according to age (>=70 versus <70 years), and institutionalized (nursing home) setting. Findings. Across 17 seroprevalence studies, the shielding ratio S for elderly versus non-elderly varied between 0.4 (substantial shielding) and 1.6 (substantial inverse protection). Assuming 25% infection fatality rate among nursing home residents, S values for nursing home residents ranged from 0.07 to 3.1. The best shielding was seen in South Korea (S=0.07) and modest shielding was achieved in Israel, Slovenia, Germany, and Denmark.

Intrahost non-synonymous diversity at a neutralising antibody epitope of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein N-terminal domain

Ip,  JD,  Kok, et al

Clin Microbiol Infect

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

This study aims to determine viral genome diversity in serial samples of COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Targeted deep sequencing of spike gene was performed on serial respiratory specimens from COVID-19 patients using nanopore and Illumina sequencing. RESULTS:  A 75-year-old patient with severe disease had a mutation, G22017T, identified in the second specimen. The frequency of G22017T increased from ≤5%  from first respiratory tract specimen (sputum) to ≥60% in the second specimen. The difference in G22017T frequency was also confirmed by Sanger sequencing. G22017T corresponds to W152L amino acid mutation in the spike protein which was only found in <0.03% of the sequences deposited into a public database.

Modelling and Forecasting The Number of Confirmed Cases and Deaths from COVID-19 Pandemic in USA from April 12th to May 21st, 2020

Jamshidi,  Babak,  Jamshidi Zargaran, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

In the present paper, our objective is to forecast the spread of the pandemic of COVID-19 in terms of the number of confirmed cases and deaths. Our results establish that the cumulative number of confirmed cases reach 1464729 cases on 21 May 2020, with 80% confidence interval of [1375362 1540424], and the number of new confirmed cases decreases to the interval [12801 22578] with the probability of 80% (the point prediction is equal to 17551) on 21 May 2020. Finally, we forecast that the cumulative number of deaths from 18747 cases on 11 April increases to around 47000 cases on 21 May.

Forecasting new daily confirmed cases infected by COVID-19 in Italy from April 9th to May 18th 2020

Jamshidi,  Babak,  Talaei-Khoei, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We aim at forecasting the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy by using a two-part time series to model the daily relative increments. Our model is based on the data observed from 22 February to 8 April 2020 and its objective is forecasting 40 days from 9 April to 18 May 2020. ccording to our model, it is expected that by May 18th, 2020, the relative increment (RI) falls to the interval of 0.31% to 1.24% (average equal to 0.78%). During the last three days of the studied period, the RI belonged to the interval 2.5% to 3%. Accordingly, It is expected that the new daily confirmed cases face a decreasing to around 1900 on average. Finally, our prediction establishes that the cumulative number of confirmed cases reaches 237635 (with 80% confidence interval equal to [226340 248417] by May 18th, 2020.

COVID-19, a social disease in Paris: a socio-economic wide association study on hospitalized patients highlights low-income neighbourhood as a key determinant of severe COVID-19 incidence during the first wave of the epidemic

Jannot,  Anne-Sophie,  Countouris, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We propose here a new approach, a socio-economic wide study, to pinpoint subgroups with a high incidence of COVID-19, and illustrated this approach using hospitalized cases in Paris area. Methods We extracted 303 socio-economic indicators from French census data for the 855 residential units in Paris and assessed their association with COVID-19 hospitalization risk.   Findings The most associated indicator was income, corresponding to the 3rd decile of the population.  A model including only income achieves a high performance in both the training set and the test set. Overall, the 45% most deprived areas gathered 86% of the areas with a high incidence of COVID-19 hospitalized cases.

Gender-affirming care, mental health, and economic stability in the time of COVID-19: a global cross-sectional study of transgender and non-binary people

Jarrett,  Brooke,  Peitzmeier, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

This study examined the impact of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and subsequent control measures on gender-affirming care, mental health, and economic stability among transgender and non-binary people globally. Methods We collected global cross-sectional data from 964 transgender and non-binary adult users of the Hornet and Her apps from April to August 2020 to characterize changes in gender-affirming care, mental health, and economic stability as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Results: Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, 55.0% reported reduced access to gender-affirming resources, and 38.0% reported reduced time lived according to their gender. About half screened positive for depression and anxiety. One in six expected losses of health insurance, and 77.0% expected income reductions. The prevalence of depressive symptoms, anxiety, and increased suicidal ideation were 1.63, 1.61, and 1.74 times higher for individuals whose access to gender-affirming resources was reduced versus not.

Neighbourhood income and physical distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

Jay,  J,  Bor, et al

Nat Hum Behav

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

We used mobility data from a large, anonymized sample of smartphone users to assess the relationship between neighbourhood income and physical distancing during the pandemic. We found a strong gradient between neighbourhood income and physical distancing. Individuals in high-income neighbourhoods increased their days at home substantially more than individuals in low-income neighbourhoods did. Residents of low-income neighbourhoods were more likely to work outside the home, compared to residents in higher-income neighbourhoods, but were not more likely to visit locations such as supermarkets, parks and hospitals. Finally, we found that state orders were only associated with small increases in staying home in low-income neighbourhoods.

Frequency and profile of objective cognitive deficits in hospitalized patients recovering from COVID-19

Jaywant,  Abhishek,  Vanderlind, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study evaluated the frequency, severity, and profile of cognitive dysfunction in hospitalized patients recovering from COVID-19. Methods: We obtained and analyzed cross-sectional neuropsychological data from a cohort of N=57 patients participating in inpatient rehabilitation. Our primary outcome measure was the Brief Memory and Executive Test (BMET).  Results: % had documented hypoxemic respiratory failure and 77% required intubation. 81% of patients had cognitive impairment, ranging from mild to severe. Deficits were most common in working memory (55% of patients impaired), set-shifting (47%), divided attention (46%), and processing speed (40%). Executive dysfunction was not significantly associated with intubation length or the time from extubation to assessment, nor was it associated with the presence of a psychiatric diagnosis

SARS-CoV-2 transmission during team-sport: Do players develop COVID-19 after participating in rugby league matches with SARS-CoV-2 positive players?

Jones,  Ben,  Phillips, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission

Objectives Evaluate the interactions between SARS-CoV-2 positive players and other players during rugby league matches, to determine the risk of in-game SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Design Observational. Setting Super League rugby league during four matches in which SARS-CoV-2 positive players were retrospectively found to have participated (2nd August and 4th October 2020). Results The eight SARS-CoV-2 positive players were involved in up to 14 tackles with other individual players. SARS-CoV-2 positive players were within a 2 m proximity of other players for up to 316 secs, from 60 interactions. One identified contact returned a positive SARS-CoV-2 result within 14 days of the match (subsequently linked to an outbreak within their club environment, rather than in-match transmission), whereas the other 27 identified contacts returned negative SARS-CoV-2 follow up tests and no one developed COVID-19 symptoms. Despite a high number of tackle involvements and close proximity interactions between SARS-CoV-2 positive players and players on the same and opposition teams during a rugby league match, these data suggest that in-game SARS-CoV-2 transmission is limited during these types of team sport activities played outdoors.

Allergy/Immunology Trainee Experiences During the COVID-19 Pandemic: AAAAI Work Group Report of the Fellows-in-Training Committee

Kahwash,  BM,  Deshpande, et al

J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

To capture the experiences of allergy and immunology fellows throughout the United States and Canada during this time, a 17-item electronic questionnaire was distributed to 380 fellow-in-training (FIT) members of the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma, and Immunology enrolled in US and Canadian allergy/immunology fellowship programs. Voluntary and anonymous responses were collected from April 15 to May 15, 2020.Reassignment to COVID-19 clinical responsibilities was reported by 12% (15 of 124) of FITs, with the largest proportion in the US northeast region. A majority of FITs used telehealth (95%) and virtual learning (82%) during the pandemic. Overall, 21% (25 of 120) of FITs expressed concern about potentially lacking clinical experience for independently practicing allergy and immunology

Rapid development of SARS-CoV-2 receptor binding domain-conjugated nanoparticle vaccine candidate

Kang,  Yin-Feng,  Sun, et al

bioRxiv

Vaccine Research| Recherche sur les vaccins Animal model | Modèle animal

In this study, we designed three different RBD-conjugated nanoparticles vaccine candidates, RBD-Ferritin (24-mer), RBD-mi3 (60-mer) and RBD-I53-50 (120-mer), with the application of covalent bond linking by SpyTag-SpyCatcher system. It was demonstrated that the neutralizing capability of sera from mice immunized with three RBD-conjugated nanoparticles adjuvanted with AddaVax or Sigma Systerm Adjuvant (SAS) after each immunization was ~8- to 120-fold greater than monomeric RBD group in SARS-CoV-2 pseudovirus and authentic virus neutralization assay. Most importantly, sera from RBD-conjugated NPs groups more efficiently blocked the binding of RBD to ACE2 or neutralizing antibody in vitro, a further proof of promising immunization effect.

Concentration of the cellular material in the nasopharyngeal swabs increases the clinical sensitivity of SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR

Kannian,  Priya,  Mahanathi, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

In this study, we compared the sensitivity of SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR in 50 NPS samples collected from in-patients of the COVID wards using the concentration and direct methods. The concentration method detected the viral RNA in all 50 samples, while the direct method was positive in only 41 (82%) samples (p=0.003). Additionally, the Ct values were lower in the direct method compared to concentration method among the 41 positive samples (p=0.03 for N gene and p=0.04 for RdRp gene). The mean CV% was also greater than or equal to 10%. Thus, the concentration of the cells prior to RNA extraction drastically improves the sensitivity of detection of SARS-CoV2 in NPS samples.

Prognostic factors of chest CT findings for ICU admission and mortality in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia

Kazemi,  Mohammad Ali,  Ghanaati, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors of early chest CT findings in COVID-19 patients. Total chest CT-score and chest CT features can be used as prognostic factors in COVID-19 patients.

Evaluation of symptoms, radiological findings, laboratory data and outcome in COVID-19 patients with chronic kidney disease at Tehran, Iran

Keshmiri,  Yasaman Sadat,  Mirzaie, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques

As data on CKD patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection is limited, we decided to carry out a cross-sectional study at Labbafinezhad Hospital on 78 CKD patients with approved COVID-19 infection either on dialysis or not. We have also incorporated CKD patients with kidney transplant history. The mean age of the patients was 64.04 years, including 53 women and 25 men. Among all symptoms, dyspnea (19.2%) was the most prevalent one. Laboratory data analysis shows an increase in LDH, Creatinine, and ESR and CRP levels. The most common finding on chest CT-Scan was bilateral ground-glass opacity detected in 31 (86.1%) patients, followed by pleural effusion (12.8%) and atelectasis (19%). Among included patients, 53 (74.6%) had hypoxia (o2 saturation 94% and lower), 47 (81%) had tachypnea (respiratory rate over 16) and 9 (23.1%) had some reduction in the level of consciousness (GCS lower than 15).

A Computational Modeling Study of COVID-19 in Bangladesh

Khan,  IM,  Haque, et al

Am J Trop Med Hyg

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Authors aim to predict the epidemic progression for 1 year under different scenarios in Bangladesh. The predicted total number of deaths (in status quo) after 1 year would be 8,533 which would reduce to 3,577 if combined (0.8β, 1.2ɣ) intervention is applied.

Maintaining proper health records improves machine learning predictions for novel 2019-nCoV

KHAN,  KOFFKA,  R

Research Square prepub

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We present outcome ('recovered', 'isolated' or 'death') risk estimates of 2019-nCoV over 'early' datasets. A major consideration is the likelihood of death for patients with 2019-nCoV. Accounting for the impact of the variations in the reporting rate of 2019-nCoV, we used machine learning techniques (AdaBoost, bagging, extra-trees, decision trees and k-nearest neighbour classiers) on two 2019-nCoV datasets obtained from Kaggle on March 30, 2020. We used 'country', 'age' and 'gender' as features to predict outcome for both datasets. We included the patient's 'disease' history (only present in the second dataset) to predict the outcome for the second dataset. he use of a patient's 'disease' history improves the prediction of 'death' by more than 7-fold. The models ignoring a patent's 'disease' history performed poorly in test predictions. Our ndings indicate the potential of using a patient's 'disease' history as part of the feature set in machine learning techniques to improve 2019-nCoV predictions.

Surveillance study of acute neurological manifestations among 439 Egyptian patients with COVID-19 in Assiut and Aswan university hospitals

khedr,  Eman Mohamed,  Abo-Elfetoh, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

In this study authors estimate the frequency of such complications among hospital in-patients with COVID-19 in Assiut and Aswan University Hospitals.  In COVID‑19, both the CNS and PNS are affected. Stroke was the most common complication for CNS and anosmia and/or ageusia were common for PNS diseases.

Enhanced eosinophilic inflammation associated with antibody and complement-mediated pneumonic insults in severe COVID-19

Kim,  Dong-Min,  Seo, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

we conducted kinetic profiling of respiratory leukocytes and associated inflammatory mediators to show that severe COVID-19 is associated with delayed but enhanced eosinophilic inflammation when compared to mild cases.

Role of IgM and IgA Antibodies in the Neutralization of SARS-CoV-2

Klingler,  Jéromine,  Weiss, et al

medRxiv

Immunology | Immunologie

Authors studied spike- and RBD-specific Ig isotypes in convalescent and acute plasma/sera to fight COVID-19. Regression analyses revealed that IgM and IgG1 contributed most to neutralization, consistent with IgM and IgG fractions’ neutralization potency.

Impact of Coronavirus Disease on Persons with Dementia and Their Caregivers: An Audit Study

Koh,  ZY,  Law, et al

Ann Geriatr Med Res

Mental Health |
santé mentale
Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

In this letter to the editor, authors discuss the profound impact of the secondary consequences of the pandemic, such as reduced access to healthcare services, disruption of social support networks, and increased social isolation and loneliness, on PWD and their caregivers. Further research on the efficacy of such interventions is urgently needed to prepare for and mitigate the impact of pandemic control measures on the provision of community services.

Real-life clinical sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test in symptomatic patients

Kortela,  Elisa,  Kirjavainen, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

The aim of this study was to determine the real-life clinical sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing. The clinical sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing was only moderate at best.

Genetic association analysis of SARS-CoV-2 infection in 455,838 UK Biobank participants

Kosmicki,  JackA,  Horowitz, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

Authors investigated human genetic determinants of COVID-19 risk and severity in 455,838 UK Biobank participants, including 2,003 with COVID-19.  The analyses corroborate the association with the 3p21.31 locus and highlight that there are no rare protein-coding variant associations with effect sizes detectable at current sample sizes.

DFT and docking studies of designed conjugates of noscapines & repurposing drugs: promising inhibitors of main protease of SARS-CoV-2 and falcipan-2

Kumar,  A,  Kumar, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

It is proposed that the designed hydrids or conjugates may have promising antiviral property i.e. against the main protease of novel coronavirus and falcipan-2. The designed molecules were thoroughly studied by DFT and different thermodynamic parameters were determined.

Draping during otological and neurotological surgical procedures relevant to the coronavirus disease 2019 era - a laboratory model

Kumar,  PL,  Chowdhary, et al

J Laryngol Otol

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The objective of this work was to quantify the effect of barrier draping on particulate material dispersion during temporal bone surgery. There is no clear consensus about otological surgical procedures as aerosol-generating procedures.

A chest-CT and clinical chemistry based flowchart for rapid COVID-19 triage at emergency departments - a multicenter study

Kurstjens,  Steef,  Göttgens, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

In this study authors developed a flowchart based on two well-known diagnostic methods: the 'corona-score' and the 'CO-RADS'. This flowchart, based on radiology (CO-RADS) and clinical chemistry parameters (lab-corona-score), results in a rapid and accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 at the ED.

High attack rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection through household-transmission: a prospective study

Kuwelker,  Kanika,  Zhou, et al

medRxiv

Transmission Clinical data| Données cliniques

During the first month of the outbreak, authors enrolled 112 households in a prospective case-ascertained study, collecting demographic and clinical data from index cases and household members to study household transmission of COVID-19. The risk of household transmission was higher when the index case had fever or dyspnoea during acute illness but not associated with cough.

Border Restriction as a Public Health Measure to Limit Outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Kwok,  Wang Chun,  Wong, et al

medRxiv

Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Many countries have implemented border restriction as a public health measure to limit local outbreak. However, there is inadequate scientific data to support such a practice, especially in the presence of an established local transmission of the disease. As a public health measure to tackle COVID-19, border restriction is effective in reducing cumulative cases and mortality.

SARS-CoV-2 in first trimester pregnancy: a cohort study

la Cour Freiesleben,  N,  Egerup, et al

Hum Reprod

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Authors address the question: Does maternal infection with SARS-CoV-2 in first trimester pregnancy have an impact on the fetal development as measured by nuchal translucency thickness and pregnancy loss? The findings were:  Maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection had no effect on the nuchal translucency thickness and there was no significant increased risk of pregnancy loss for women with SARS-CoV-2 infection in first trimester pregnancy.

SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence and symptoms in a local Austrian population

Ladage,  Dennis,  Hoeglinger, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

Authors discuss population-based serosurveys measuring antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 to provide one method for estimating infection rates and monitoring the progression of the epidemic. This population study demonstrated a high prevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 as a marker of both active and past infections in an Austrian township.

Profiling SARS-CoV-2 mutation fingerprints that range from the viral pangenome to individual infection quasispecies

Lau,  BillyT,  Pavlichin, et al

medRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

IN this article authors discuss the genome of SARS-CoV-2 which is susceptible to mutations during viral replication due to the errors generated by RNA-dependent RNA polymerases. Analysis of these genetic fingerprints may provide a way of conducting molecular contact tracing.

The signature features of COVID-19 pandemic in a hybrid mathematical model - implications for optimal work-school lockdown policy

Lazebnik,  Teddy,  Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Authors present a new hybrid model for COVID-19 dynamics using both an age-structured mathematical model and spatio-temporal model in silico, analyzing the data of COVID-19 in Israel. The use of mathematical models promises to reduce the uncertainty in the choice of Lockdown policies.

The association between socioeconomic status and mobility reductions in the early stage of England's COVID-19 pandemic

Lee,  Won Do,  Qian, et al

medRxiv

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

This study uses mobile phone data to examine how socioeconomic status was associated with the extent of mobility reduction during the spring 2020 lockdown in England in a manner that considers both potentially confounding effects and spatial dependency and heterogeneity. It shows that socioeconomic status as approximated through income and occupation was strongly correlated with the extent of mobility reduction. It also demonstrates that the specific nature of the association of socioeconomic status with mobility reduction varied markedly across England. The methodological implication is that conventional, spatially naïve econometric analysis of the links between an area's socioeconomic status and mobility reduction is inadequate. Spatial regression modelling, and preferably multi-scale geographically weighted regression analysis, should be used instead. Finally, the analysis suggests that the ability to restrict everyday mobility in response to a national lockdown is distributed in a spatially uneven manner, and may need to be considered a luxury or, failing that, a tactic of survival for specific social groupsCompeting Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementThis research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:This study has been followed the ethical guidelines by the Central University Research Ethics Committee (CUREC), University of Oxford.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll source R code and data necessary for the replication of our results and figures are available at https://github.com/wondolee/COVID19.https://github.com/wondolee/COVID19

Low-dose chest CT for diagnosing and assessing the extent of lung involvement of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia using a semi quantitative score

Leger,  T,  Jacquier, et al

PLoS One

Clinical data| Données cliniques

The purpose of this work was to assess the ability of low-dose CT (LDCT) to determine lung involvement in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia and to describe a COVID19-LDCT severity score in France. COVID19-LDCT score did correlate with  the National Early Warning Score (NEWS).

PMC7445484; Survey of US Living Kidney Donation and Transplantation Practices in the COVID-19 Era

Lentine,  KL,  Vest, et al

Kidney Int Rep

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

INTRODUCTION: The scope of the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on living donor kidney transplantation (LDKT) practices is not well defined. METHODS: We surveyed US transplant programs to assess practices, strategies, and barriers to living LDKT during the COVID-19 pandemic. After institutional review board approval, the survey was distributed from 9 May 2020 to 30 May 2020 by e-mail and postings to professional society list-servs. Responses were stratified based on state COVID-19 cumulative incidence levels. RESULTS: Staff at 118 unique centers responded, representing 61% of US living donor recovery programs and 75% of LKDT volume in the prepandemic year. Overall, 66% reported that LDKT surgery was on hold (81% in "high" vs. 49% in "low" COVID-19 cumulative incidence states). A total of 36% reported that evaluation of new donor candidates had paused, 27% reported that evaluations were very much decreased (>0% to <25% typical), and 23% reported that evaluations were moderately decreased (25% to <50% typical). Barriers to LDKT surgery included program concerns for donor (85%) and recipient (75%) safety, patient concerns (56%), elective case restrictions (47%), and hospital administrative restrictions (48%). Programs with higher local COVID-19 cumulative incidence reported more barriers related to staff and resource diversion. Most centers continuing donor evaluations used remote strategies (video, 82%; telephone, 43%). As LDKT resumes, all programs will screen for COVID-19, although timeframe and modalities will vary. Recommendations for presurgical self-quarantine are also variable. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic has had broad impacts on LDKT practice. Ongoing research and consensus building are needed to reduce barriers, to guide optimal practices, and to support safe restoration of LDKT across centers.

Cell phone mobility data reveals heterogeneity in stay-at-home behavior during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

Levin,  Roman,  Chao, et al

medRxiv

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

As COVID-19 cases resurge in the United States, understanding the complex interplay between human behavior, disease transmission, and non pharmaceutical interventions during the pandemic could provide valuable insights to focus future public health efforts. Cell-phone mobility data offers a modern measurement instrument to investigate human mobility and behavior at an unprecedented scale. We investigate mobility data collected, aggregated, and anonymized by SafeGraph Inc. which measures how populations at the census block-group geographic scale stayed at home in California, Georgia, Texas, and Washington since the beginning of the pandemic. Using nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques, we find patterns of mobility behavior that align with stay at-home orders, correlate with socioeconomic factors, cluster geographically, and reveal subpopulations that likely migrated out of urban areas. The analysis and approach provides policy makers a framework for interpreting mobility data and behavior to inform actions aimed at curbing the spread of COVID-19.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementNo external funding was received for this work.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:NAAll necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data used in this article are publicly available. We obtained mobility data from SafeGraph, Inc. SafeGraph aggregates mobile device GPS data from various sources and produces anonymized datasets aggregated at the census block group (CBG) level. These data can be obtained free-of-charge for non-commercial use by joining their COVID-19 Data Consortium. We obtained US population data from the 2018 American Community Survey (ACS) product of the US Census Bureau, accessed using the R package tidycensus. The US Census provides cartographic boundary files, which define simplified shapes of geographic entities designed for plotting.https://www.safegraph.com/covid-19-data-consortiumhttps://CRAN.R-project.org/package=tidycensus

Association of COVID-19 RT-qPCR test false-negative rate with patient age, sex and time since diagnosis

Levine-Tiefenbrun,  Matan,  Yelin, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We identified false-negative (FN) and true-positive (TP) results as negative and positive results preceded by a COVID-19 diagnosis in 521,696 patients and followed by a later positive test. Regression analyses were used to determine associations of false-negative results with time of sampling after diagnosis, patient demographics and viral loads based on RT-qPCR Ct values of the next positive tests. The overall FNR was 22.8%, which is consistent with previous studies. Yet, this rate was much lower at the first 5 days following diagnosis (10.7%) and only increased in later dates. Furthermore, the FNR was strongly associated with demographics, with odds ratio of 1.74 (95% CI: 1.58-1.9) for women over men and 2.54 (95% CI: 2.39-2.69) for a 20 versus a 50 year old patient. Finally, FNR was associated with viral loads (p-value 0.002), with a difference of 1.1 (95% CI: 0.60-1.57) between the average Ct of the N gene in a positive test following a false-negative compared to a positive test following a true-positive.

A Note on COVID-19 Diagnosis Number Prediction Model in China

Li,  Yi,  Yin, et al

Research Square prepub

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We aimed to use a mathematical model to predict number of diagnosed patients in future to ease anxiety on the emergent situation. Through the establishment of our model, we can better predict the trend of the epidemic in China.

Emergency Stress Management Among Nurses: A Lesson from the COVID-19 Outbreak in China- A Cross-Sectional Study

Liao,  C,  Guo, et al

J Clin Nurs

Mental Health |
santé mentale

The aim of this cross-sectional survey was to assess the level of stress response, self‐efficacy, and perceived social support status of working nurses during the outbreak of the COVID‐19 and investigate potential factors affecting their stress. A total of 1092 clinical nurses were surveyed with 94 nurses in Wuhan, 130 nurses treating COVID‐19 patients in our hospital and 868 nurses working without direct contact with diagnosed COVID‐19 patients. The mean stress score of all surveyed nurses was 33.15 (SD: 25.551). There was a statistically significant difference in stress response scores between different departments. Noticeably, the nurses who went to support in Wuhan showed a weaker stress response than the nurses who stayed in our hospital (mean: 19.98 (Wuhan) vs. 32.70 (Epidemic department in our hospital) vs. 34.64 (Non‐epidemic department in our hospital)).

Investigating the effects of absolute humidity and human encounters on transmission of COVID-19 in the United States

Lin,  Gary,  Hamilton, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We assess the relative impact of absolute humidity in different climatological regimes and human mobility on reported cases of COVID-19 across counties in the US. Our findings suggest that, similar to other respiratory viruses, the decreasing humidity in the winter is likely to lead to an increase in COVID-19 cases. Furthermore, the fact that mobility data were positively correlated suggests that efforts to counteract the rise in cases due to falling humidity can be effective in limiting the burden of the pandemic.

SARS-CoV-2 Innate Effector Associations and Viral Load in Early Nasopharyngeal Infection

Liou,  TheodoreG,  Adler, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

To examine innate immune responses in early SARS-CoV-2 infection that may change clinical outcomes, we compared nasopharyngeal swab data from 20 virus-positive and 20 virus-negative individuals. Multiple innate immune-related and ACE-2 transcripts increased with infection and were strongly associated with increasing viral load. We found widespread discrepancies between transcription and translation. Interferon proteins were unchanged or decreased in infected samples suggesting virally-induced shut-off of host anti-viral protein responses. However, IP-10 and several interferon-stimulated gene proteins increased with viral load. Older age was associated with modifications of some effects. Our findings may characterize the disrupted immune landscape of early disease.

Corticosteroid treatment in severe COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome

Liu,  J,  Zhang, et al

J Clin Invest

Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

We conducted a retrospective study to explore the effects of corticosteroids on mortality from COVID-19 with ARDS in five tertiary Chinese hospitals. We also explored the effects of corticosteroids on the clearance of SARS–CoV-2 RNA. As compared with usual care, treatment with corticosteroids was associated with increased rate of myocardial (15.6% vs. 10.4%, P = 0.041) and liver injury (18.3% vs. 9.9%, P = 0.001), of shock (22.0% vs. 12.6%, P < 0.001), of need for mechanical ventilation (38.1% vs. 19.5%, P < 0.001), and increased rate of 28-day all-cause mortality (44.3% vs. 31.0%, P < 0.001). Corticosteroid use was also associated with a delay in SARS–CoV-2 coronavirus RNA clearance in the competing risk analysis (subhazard ratio 1.59, 95% CI 1.17–2.15, P = 0.003).

Phenotypic characterization of acute headache attributed to SARS-CoV-2: An ICHD-3 validation study on 106 hospitalized patients

López,  JT,  García-Azorín, et al

Cephalalgia

Clinical data| Données cliniques

In this  cross-sectional study nested in a cohort study, we aimed to characterize the phenotype of headache attributed to SARS-CoV-2 infection and to test the International Classification of Headache Disorders (ICHD-3) phenotypic criteria for migraine and tension-type headache.  Results indicate that headaches attributed to SARS-CoV-2 infection in hospitalized patients has severe intensity, frontal predominance and oppressive quality. It occurs early in the course of the disease. Most patients fulfilled ICHD-3 criteria for headache attributed to systemic viral infection; however, the phenotype might resemble migraine in a quarter of cases and tension-type headache in half of the patients.

Early Immune Responses and Prognostic Factors in Children with COVID-19: A Single-center Retrospective Analysis

Lu,  Wenjie,  Lu, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

To investigate the immune characteristics of early SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and possible key prognostic factors for early identification of critical COVID-19, a retrospective study including 121 children with COVID-19 was conducted. Decreased T, Th, Tc, RBC, hemoglobin and increased IL-6 and IL-10 in early SARS-CoV-2 infection in children are valuable indices for early diagnosis of disease severity.

Thyroid Dysfunction in Relation to Immune Profile, Disease Status and Outcome in 191 Patients with COVID-19

Lui,  DTW,  Lee, et al

J Clin Endocrinol Metab

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

We evaluated the thyroid function of a cohort of consecutive COVID-19 patients (n= 191), in relation to their clinical features, biochemical, immunological and inflammatory markers. Overall, around 15% of patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 had thyroid dysfunction. There may be a direct effect of SARS-CoV-2 on thyroid function, potentially leading to exacerbation of pre-existing autoimmune thyroid disease. Low fT3, associated with systemic inflammation, may have a prognostic significance.

The impact of lockdown during the COVID-19 pandemic on mental and social health of children and adolescents

Luijten,  MichielAJ,  van Muilekom, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

The objective in this study was to compare mental and social health of Dutch children and adolescents (8 to 18 years of age) during the COVID-19 lockdown versus before, identify associated factors, describe the change in atmosphere at home and qualitatively assess the impact of COVID-19 regulations on daily life. More mental and social health complaints during the COVID-19 lockdown were found in children and adolescents growing up in a single-parent family, having >three children in the family, a negative change in work situation of parents due to COVID-19 regulations, and having a relative/friend infected with COVID-19. A small effect was found on atmosphere at home during the lockdown compared to before (mean difference, -3.1; 95% CI, -4.1 - -2.1). A large majority (>90%) reported a negative impact of the COVID-19 regulations on their daily life.

The duration, dynamics and determinants of SARS-CoV-2 antibody responses in individual healthcare workers

Lumley,  SheilaF,  Wei, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

We present 6 months of data from a longitudinal seroprevalence study of 3217 UK healthcare workers (HCWs). Serial measurements of IgG antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid were obtained. In this cohort of working age HCWs, antibody levels rose to a peak at 24 (95% credibility interval, CrI 19-31) days post-first positive PCR test, before beginning to fall. IgG antibody levels to SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid wane within months, and faster in younger adults and those without symptoms. Ongoing longitudinal studies are required to track the long-term duration of antibody levels and their association with immunity to SARS-CoV-2 reinfection.

A nomogramic model based on clinical and laboratory parameters at admission for predicting the survival of COVID-19 patients

Ma,  Xiaojun,  Wang, et al

Research Square prepub

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The present study aimed to develop a nomogram model to predict the survival of COVID-19 patients based on their clinical and laboratory data at admission.  COVID-19 patients who were admitted at Hankou Hospital and Huoshenshan Hospital in Wuhan, China from January 12, 2020 to March 20, 2020, whose outcome during the hospitalization was known, were retrospectively reviewed. A nomogram based on age, CHD, Lym%, platelets, C-reaction protein, LDH and D-dimer was established to accurately predict the prognosis of COVID-19 patients.

Characteristics of headache attributed to COVID-19 infection and predictors of its frequency and intensity: A cross sectional study

Magdy,  R,  Hussein, et al

Cephalalgia

Clinical data| Données cliniques

The objective of this cross-sectional study was assess the characteristics of headache attributed to COVID-19 infection and predictors of its severity.  A detailed analysis of such headache was done through a face-to-face interview. Patients with any other form of secondary headache were excluded. Labs, including lymphocytic count, C-reactive protein, D-dimer and ferritin and chest imaging, were made available. The majority of our patients had a diffuse headache (52.9%). It was pressing in 40.7%, with median intensity of 7 (assessed by visual analogue scale) and median frequency of 7 days/week. After multiple linear regression, primary headache disorders, dehydration and comorbidities were considered predictors of frequency of COVID-19 related headache. Meanwhile, fever and dehydration were predictors of pain intensity.

Occupational risk of COVID-19 in the 1st vs 2nd wave of infection

Magnusson,  Karin,  Nygard, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether employees in occupations that typically imply close contact with other people are at higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) and related hospitalization, for the 1st and 2nd wave of infection in Norway. In 3 553 407 residents of Norway on January 1st 2020 aged 20-70 (with mean [SD] age 44.1 [14.3] years and 51% men), we studied whether persons in occupations in touch with pupils/students/patients/customers had a higher risk of 1) COVID-19 and 2) hospitalization with COVID-19, compared to everyone aged 20-70 years using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex and birth country. Nurses, physicians, dentists, physiotherapists, bus/tram and taxi drivers had 1.5-3.5 times the odds of COVID-19 during the 1st wave of infection when compared to everyone in their working age. In the 2nd wave of the epidemic, bartenders, waiters, food service counter attendants, taxi drivers and travel stewards had 1.5-4 times the odds of COVID-19 when compared to everyone in their working age. Teachers had no or only a moderately increased odds of COVID-19.

SARS-CoV-2 Infection Hospitalization Rate and Infection Fatality Rate among the Non-Congregant Population in Connecticut

Mahajan,  Shiwani,  Caraballo, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

The objective of this cross-sectional study was to determine the infection fatality rate (IFR) and infection hospitalization rate (IHR) for COVID-19 using the statewide SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence estimates for the non-congregate population in Connecticut. Of the 2.8 million individuals residing in the non-congregate settings in Connecticut through June 2020, 113,515 (90% CI 56,758-170,273) individuals had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. There were a total of 9425 COVID-19-related hospitalizations and 4071 COVID-19-related deaths in Connecticut between March 1 and June 1, 2020, of which 7792 hospitalizations and 1079 deaths occurred among the non-congregate population. The overall COVID-19 IHR and IFR was 6.86% (90% CI, 4.58%-13.72%) and 0.95% (90% CI, 0.63%-1.90%) among the non-congregate population.

ROLE OF CYTOKINES AND OTHER PROPHETIC VARIABLES IN THE DEVELOPMENT AND PROGRESSION OF DISEASE IN PATIENTS SUFFERING FROM COVID-19

malik,  arif,  Iqbal, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

In the current study potential role of cytokines and related inflammatory markers have been identified that interplays in the progression of disease in COVID-19 patients. Findings of study show significant increase in the levels of interleukins and TNF-α that signifies the presence of cytokine storm in worsening the condition in respect to the exposure of COVID-19. Levels of IL-1 and 6 were significantly higher in patients (98.69 pg/ml and 71.95 pg/ml) as compared to controls (30.06 pg/ml and 9.46 pg/ml) where, (p=0.001 and 0.007). It also suggests that IL-6 is most sensitive test with about (98%) sensitivity in comparison with 96%,95%, 95%,93% and 92% in case of IL-10,1,8,11 and TNF-a respectively.

Favorable outcomes among neonates not separated from their symptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected mothers

Martenot,  A,  Labbassi, et al

Pediatr Res

Clinical data| Données cliniques

The main objective of this retrospective study was to assess the safety of the current management (with no systematic mother–infant separation, breastfeeding support, and a structured follow-up during the first month of life) in two perinatal centers in Alsace. The secondary objective was to evaluate the need for re-hospitalization during the follow-up period. Results from the 26 mother-neonate dyads indicate that even during the COVID-19 pandemic, safely maintaining family-centered perinatal care and continuing the promotion of bonding between neonates and their SARS-CoV-2-positive mothers appear possible, as these newborns are very rarely infected and, if infected, show only mild symptoms.

Predicting intubation support requirement of patients using Chest X-ray with Deep Representation Learning

Maurya,  Aniket

arXiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Recent developments in medical imaging with Deep Learning presents evidence of automated diagnosis and prognosis. It can also be a complement to currently available diagnosis methods. Deep Learning can be leveraged for diagnosis, severity prediction, intubation support prediction and many similar tasks. We present prediction of intubation support requirement for patients from the Chest X-ray using Deep representation learning. We release our source code publicly at this https URL.

Scaling COVID-19 against inequalities: should the policy response consistently match the mortality challenge?

McCartney,  G,  Leyland, et al

J Epidemiol Community Health

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We aimed to calibrate the scale of the modelled mortality impact of COVID-19 using age-standardised mortality rates and life expectancy contribution against other, socially determined, causes of death in order to inform governments and the public. The negative impact of fully unmitigated COVID-19 on life expectancy is therefore equivalent to 24 years of suicide deaths, 30 years of drug poisoning deaths and 1.7 years of inequality-related deaths for the UK. Results indicate that fully mitigating COVID-19 is estimated to prevent a loss of 5.63 years of life expectancy for the UK. Over 10 years, there is a greater negative life expectancy contribution from inequality than around six unmitigated COVID-19 pandemics.

Looking for pathways related to COVID-19 phenotypes: Confirmation of pathogenic mechanisms by SARS-CoV-2 - Host interactome

Messina,  Francesco,  Giombini, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Immunology | Immunologie

We provide a network analysis on protein−protein interactions (PPI) between viral and host proteins to better identify host biological responses, induced by both whole proteome of SARS−CoV−2 and specific viral proteins. A host−virus interactome was inferred on published PPI, using an explorative algorithm (Random Walk with Restart) triggered by all the 28 proteins of SARS−CoV−2, or each single viral protein one−by−one. The functional analysis for all proteins, linked to many aspects of COVID−19 pathogenesis, allows to identify the subcellular districts, where SARS−CoV−2 proteins seem to be distributed, while in each interactome built around one single viral protein, a different response was described, underlining as ORF8 and ORF3a modulated cardiovascular diseases and pro-inflammatory pathways, respectively. Finally, an explorative network-based approach was applied to Bradykinin Storm, highlighting a possible direct action of ORF3a and NS7b to enhancing this condition.

Understanding COVID-19 testing pathways in English care homes to identify the role of point-of-care testing: an interview-based process mapping study

Micocci,  Massimo,  Gordon, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

This study evaluated current testing pathways in care homes to explore the role of point-of-care tests (POCTs). Ten staff from eight care homes, purposively sampled to reflect care organisational attributes that influence outbreak severity, underwent a semi-structured remote videoconference interview. Four main steps were identified in testing: infection prevention, preparatory steps, swabbing procedure, and management of residents. Infection prevention was particularly challenging for mobile residents with cognitive impairment. Swabbing and preparatory steps were resource-intensive, requiring additional staff resource. Swabbing required flexibility and staff who were familiar to the resident. Frequent approaches to residents were needed to ensure they would participate at a suitable time. After-test management varied between sites. Several homes reported deviating from government guidance to take more cautious approaches, which they perceived to be more robust.

Test-adjusted results of mortality for Covid-19 in Germany, USA, UK

Mimkes,  Juergen,  Janssen, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

In a disease, where all infected persons show symptoms, it is reasonable to calculate mortality by case to fatality rate CFR. Deaths follow infections by a certain time lag. However, in the Covid-19 pandemic many infectious patients show no or hardly any symptoms. The reported infections and deaths do not run parallel, but diverge with the volume of tests. Our investigations for Germany, USA and UK indicate that deaths do not follow the number of infections, but the positive rate of tests, multiplied by a constant factor F and shifted by about two weeks. These test adjusted results of mortality allow for the estimation of the number of deaths of Covid-19 about two weeks ahead, even in a sharply rising state of the pandemic.

COVID-19 Mortality Following Mass Gatherings

Miron,  Oren,  Yu, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We examined Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) mortality following 5 mass gatherings at outdoor rallies in the United States, during August 2020. We found that COVID-19 mortality started increasing 19-24 days after the mass gathering. In a 50-mile radius there was a 2.1-fold increase in COVID-19 mortality, and in a 51-100 miles radius there was a 1.4-fold increase. Our results suggest that precautions should be taken in mass gatherings and in at least a 50-mile radius, in order to limit COVID-19 mortality.

Association of Mass Gatherings and COVID-19 Hospitalization

Miron,  Oren,  Yu, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We examined COVID-19 hospitalizations following mass gatherings in Wisconsin and Minnesota, United States (September 17-18, 2020). We found that the hospitalization rate increased 15-fold in the Minnesota gathering county, and 12.7-fold in the Wisconsin gathering county. On the state level, it increased 2-fold in Minnesota, and 2.3-fold in Wisconsin, while not increasing significantly in states without gatherings. Our findings suggest that mass gatherings are followed by increased COVID-19 hospitalizations, and that precautions should be taken.

Analytical and Clinical Performance of the Panbio COVID-19 Antigen-Detecting Rapid Diagnostic Test

Mitja,  Oriol

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Antigen-based rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDT) provide a promising alternative for diagnosis. We assessed the analytical and clinical performance of the Ag-RDT Panbio COVID-19 Ag Test (Abbott), using RT-qPCR as a reference test. The Panbio COVID-19 Ag-RDT has high sensitivity for detecting the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in nasal or nasopharyngeal swabs of both, symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals. The diagnostic performance of the test is particularly good in samples with viral loads associated with high risk of viral transmission (Ct <25), which show high positive and negative predictive values even when assuming a prevalence as low as 5%.

Anxiety of Nurses to support Wuhan in fighting against COVID-19 Epidemic and its Correlation With Work Stress and Social Support

Mo,  Y,  Deng, et al

J Clin Nurs

Mental Health |
santé mentale

We aimed to investigate the anxiety of nurses who are supporting Wuhan in fighting against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) infection and explore relevant influencing factors. Anxiety was positively correlated with stress (r=0.679, P<0.001) but negatively correlated with self‐efficacy (r=−0.326, p<0.001). Multiple regression analysis showed that professional qualification, sleep, stress, and self‐efficacy were the main factors affecting nurse anxiety (p=0.006, <0.001, <0.001, 0.039, respectively).

Clinical features of pregnant women in Iran who died due to COVID-19

Moghadam,  SA,  Dini, et al

Int J Gynaecol Obstet

Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study evaluates the clinical presentation of pregnant women in Iran who died due to COVID‐19. The main presentations at admission were fatigue and coughing, but most of the women had a fever below 38 °C. Increased white blood cell count and neutrophils were noticeable. A significant drop of saturation of O2 with ground glass and consolidation seen in both lungs were prominent. The most common complications were acute respiratory distress syndrome followed by respiratory failure.

Prevalence Of COVID-19 In Rural Versus Urban Areas in a Low-Income Country: Findings from a State-Wide Study in Karnataka, India

Mohanan,  Manoj,  Malani, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

We conducted state-wide surveillance for COVID-19, in both rural and urban areas of Karnataka between June 15-August 29, 2020. We tested for both viral RNA and antibodies targeting the receptor binding domain (RBD). Adjusted seroprevalence across Karnataka was 46.7% (95% CI: 43.3-50.0), including 44.1% (95% CI: 40.0-48.2) in rural and 53.8% (95% CI: 48.4-59.2) in urban areas. The proportion of those testing positive on RT-PCR, ranged from 1.5 to 7.7% in rural areas and 4.0 to 10.5% in urban areas, suggesting a rapidly growing epidemic. The relatively high prevalence in rural areas is consistent with the higher level of mobility measured in rural areas, perhaps because of agricultural activity. Overall seroprevalence in the state implies that by August at least 31.5 million residents had been infected by August, nearly an order of magnitude larger than confirmed cases.

Revealing fine-scale spatiotemporal differences in SARS-CoV-2 introduction and spread

Moreno,  GK,  Braun, et al

Nat Commun

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Here we analyze 247 full-genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences from two nearby communities in Wisconsin, USA, and find surprisingly distinct patterns of viral spread. Dane County had the 12th known introduction of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States, but this did not lead to descendant community spread. Instead, the Dane County outbreak was seeded by multiple later introductions, followed by limited community spread. In contrast, relatively few introductions in Milwaukee County led to extensive community spread. We present evidence for reduced viral spread in both counties following the statewide “Safer at Home” order, which went into effect 25 March 2020. Our results suggest patterns of SARS-CoV-2 transmission may vary substantially even in nearby communities. Understanding these local patterns will enable better targeting of public health interventions.

The use of compassionate Ivermectin in the management of symptomatic outpatients and hospitalized patients with clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 at the Medical Center Bournigal and the Medical Center Punta Cana, Rescue Group, Dominican Republic, from may 1

Morgenstern,  Jose,  Redondo, et al

medRxiv

Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Summary: No antiviral has been shown to reduce mortality in SARS-COV-2 patients to date. In the present observational and retrospective report, 3,099 patients with a definitive or highly probable diagnosis of infection due to COVID-19 were evaluated between May 1st to August 10th, 2020, at Centro Medico Bournigal (CMBO) and Centro Medico Punta Cana (CMPC), and all received compassionate treatment with Ivermectin. A total of 2,706 (87.3%) were discharged for outpatient treatment, all with mild severity of the infection. In 2,688 (99.33%) with outpatient treatment, the disease did not progress to warrant further hospitalization and there were no deaths. In 16 (0.59%) with outpatient treatment, it was necessary their subsequent hospitalization to a room without any death. In 2 (0.08%) with outpatient treatment, it was necessary their admission to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and 1 (0.04%) patient died. There were 411 (13.3%) patients hospitalized, being admitted at a COVID-19 room with a moderate disease 300 (9.7%) patients of which 3 (1%) died; and with a severe to critical disease were hospitalized in the ICU 111 (3.6%), 34 (30.6%) of whom died. The mortality percentage of patients admitted to the ICU of 30.6%, is similar with the percentage found in the literature of 30.9%. Total mortality was 37 (1.2%) patients, which is much lower than that reported in world statistics, which are around 3%.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Clinical TrialIt was a retrospective observational studyFunding StatementThe authors declare that none of them have a conflict of interests with the study that serves at the basis for this publication, none have received benefits or financial funding that could influence the results.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:All relevant ethical guidelines have been followed adn aproved by the ethics committee at Bournigal Medical Center and Punta Cana Medical Center(Rescue Group).All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesThe data was collected in the medical charts of all the patients involved in this observational study at the Bournigal Medical Center and the Punta Cana Medical Center.

U-shaped-aggressiveness of SARS-CoV-2: Period between onset of nonspecific-specific symptoms for COVID-19. A population-based cohort study

Morgenstern-Kaplan,  Dan,  Buitano-Tang, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

To determine the aggressiveness of SARS-CoV-2 using symptom progression in COVID-19 patients.   According to the PONSS, patients were distributed as follows: 14.89% in <24 hours, 43.25% between 1-3 days, 31.87% between 4-7 days and 9.97% >7 days. The distribution for mortality and pneumonia was 5.2% and 22.5% in <24 hours, 2.5% and 14% between 1-3 days, 3.6% and 19.5% between 4-7 days, 4.1% and 20.6% >7 days, respectively (p<0.001). Adjusted-risk of mortality was (OR [95% CI], p-value): <24 hours= 1.75 [1.55-1.98], p<0.001; 1-3 days= 1 (reference value); 4-7 days= 1.53 [1.37-1.70], p<0.001; >7 days= 1.67 [1.44-1.94], p<0.001. For pneumonia: <24 hours= 1.49 [1.39-1.58], p<0.001; 1-3 days= 1; 4-7 days= 1.48 [1.41-1.56], p<0.001; >7 days= 1.57 [1.46-1.69], p<0.001.

CovidSIMVL - Agent-Based Modeling of Localized Transmission within a Heterogeneous Array of Locations: Motivation, Configuration and Calibration

Moselle,  Kenneth Andrew,  Chang, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Transmission

CovidSIMVL is an agent-based infectious disease modeling tool that is designed specifically to simulate localized spread of infectious disease. It is intended to support tactical decision-making around localized/staged re-institution of pre-pandemic levels and patterns of social/economic/health service delivery activity, following an initial stage of pan-societal closures of social/economic institutions and reductions in services.

The prevalence of common mental disorders among health care professionals during the COVID-19 pandemic at a tertiary Hospital in East Africa

Mulatu,  Hailu Abera,  Tesfaye, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

The study aimed to determine the prevalence of symptoms of common mental disorders among HCWs during the COVID-19 pandemic at St. Paul Hospital, Ethiopia.  The prevalence of depression, anxiety, insomnia, and psychological distress was 20.2%, 21.9%, 12.4%, and 15.5% respectively. Frontline HCWs had higher scores of mental health symptoms than other health care workers. Logistic regression analysis showed that being married was associated with a high level of depression. Working in a frontline position was an independent factor associated with a high-level depression, anxiety, and psychological distress.

A longitudinal comparison of spike and nucleocapsid SARS-CoV-2 antibody responses in a tertiary hospitals laboratory workers with validation of DBS specimen analysis

Murrell,  Isa,  Forde, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

We perform a spot sero-prevalence study amongst staff in a tertiary hospitals clinical microbiology laboratory, before undertaking validation of DBS serological testing as an alternate specimen for analysis. Finally, we characterise the spike and nucleocapsid antibody response over 160 days post a positive PCR test in nine non-hospitalised staff members. A differential rate of decline of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies against nucleocapsid or spike protein was observed. At 4 months post a positive PCR test 7/9 (78%) individuals had detectable antibodies against spike protein, but only 2/9 (22%) had detectable antibodies against nucleocapsid protein. This study reveals a broad agreement amongst commercial platforms tested and suggests the use of DBS as an alternate specimen option to enable widespread population testing for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. These results suggest potential limitations of these platforms in estimating historical infection.

Feasibility of collecting and processing of COVID-19 convalescent plasma for treatment of COVID-19 in Uganda

Muttamba,  Winters,  Lusiba, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of collecting and processing of COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP), in preparation for a randomized clinical trial of CCP for treatment of COVID-19 in Uganda.  192 participants were contacted of whom 179 (93.2%) were eligible to donate. Of the 179 eligible, 23 (12.8%) were not willing to donate and reasons given included: having no time 7(30.4%), fear of being retained at the COVID-19 treatment center 10 (43.5%), fear of stigma in the community 1 (4.3%), phobia for donating blood 1 (4.3%), religious issues 1 (4.4%), lack of interest 2 (8.7%) and transport challenges 1 (4.3%). The median age was 30 years and females accounted for 3.7% of the donors. A total of 30 (18.5%) donors tested positive for different TTIs. Antibody titer testing demonstrated titers of more than 1:320 for all the 72 samples tested. Age greater than 46 years and female gender were associated with higher titers though not statistically significant.

Clinical features and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in a low burden region

Mylona,  Eleni,  Margellou, et al

Research Square prepub

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This is a retrospective study of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in Greece. Hospitalized COVID-19 patients in a European country with a low burden of the disease, in which hospital capacities had not been overwhelmed, had lower mortality rate compared to those reported patients hospitalized in regions with a high burden of the disease.

Simulating Pandemic Disease Spread and the Impact of Interventions in Complex Societal Networks

Mytelka,  DanielS

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

This paper uses assumptions based on the COVID-19 pandemic to construct a Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered model representative of US society, focusing on the interrelationships of groups with differing contact networks (essential/non-essential workers and urban/non-urban populations). The model is used to explore the impact of interventions (reduced interactions, vaccinations and selective isolation) on overall and group-specific disease spread.  Findings show that in the absence of herd immunity, temporary interventions will only reduce the overall number of disease cases moderately and spread them over a greater period of time unless they virtually eliminate disease and no new infections occur from exogenous sources. Vaccinations can provide stronger benefit, but can be limited by efficacy and utilization rates.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients 80 Years and Older Hospitalized with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Nabors,  C,  Sridhar, et al

Cardiol Rev

Clinical data| Données cliniques

We characterize the clinical course and outcomes of 73 patients aged 80 or older hospitalized at an academic center between March 15th and May 13th, 2020. These patients had multiple comorbidities and often presented with atypical clinical findings such as altered sensorium, generalized weakness and falls. Cardiovascular manifestations observed at the time of presentation included new arrhythmia 7/73 (10%), stroke/intracranial hemorrhage 5/73 (7%) and elevated troponin 27/58 (47%). During hospitalization, 38% of all patients required intensive care, 13% developed a need for renal replacement therapy and 32% required vasopressor support. All-cause mortality was 47% and was highest in patients who were ever in intensive care (71%), required mechanical ventilation (83%), or vasopressors (91%), or developed a need for renal replacement therapy (100%).

A household case evidences shorter shedding of SARS-CoV-2 in naturally infected cats compared to their human owners

Neira Ramirez,  Victor,  Brito, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques zoonoses

Here, we describe the SARS-CoV-2 infection in a household of two human adults and sibling cats (one male and two females) using real-time RT-PCR, an ELISA test, viral sequencing, and virus isolation. On May 5th, 2020, the cat-owners tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Two days later, the male cat showed mild respiratory symptoms and tested positive. Four days after the male cat, the two female cats became positive, asymptomatically. Also, one human and one cat showed antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. All cats excreted detectable SARS-CoV-2 RNA for a shorter duration than humans and viral sequences analysis confirmed human-to-cat transmission. We could not determine if cat-to-cat transmission also occurred.

RAPPID: a platform of ratiometric bioluminescent sensors for homogeneous immunoassays

Ni,  Yan,  Rosier, et al

bioRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Here, we introduce RAPPID (Ratiometric Plug-and-Play Immunodiagnostics), a "mix-and-measure" homogeneous immunoassay platform that combines highly specific antibody-based detection with a ratiometric bioluminescent readout that can be detected using a basic digital camera. We also introduce the use of a calibrator luciferase that provides a robust ratiometric signal, allowing direct in-sample calibration and quantitative measurements in complex media such as blood plasma. We developed RAPPID sensors that allow low-picomolar detection of several protein biomarkers, anti-drug antibodies, therapeutic antibodies, and both SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. RAPPID combines ratiometric bioluminescent detection with antibody-based target recognition into an easy-to-implement standardized workflow, and therefore represents an attractive, fast, and low-cost alternative to traditional immunoassays, both in an academic setting and in clinical laboratories for point-of-care applications.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for in-hospital mortality of lung cancer patients with COVID-19: A multicenter, retrospective, cohort study

Nie,  L,  Dai, et al

Thorac Cancer

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

Here, we aimed to characterize the early clinical features of lung cancer patients with COVID‐19 and identify risk factors associated with in‐hospital mortality. Of the 45 lung cancer patients (median [interquartile range] age, 66 [58–74] years; 68.9% males) included, 34 (75.6%) discharged and 11 (24.4%) died. Fever (73.3%) and cough (53.3%) were the dominant initial symptoms, and respiratory symptoms were common. Lung cancer patients also presented atypical appearances of COVID‐19. In the multivariable analysis, prolonged prolongation prothrombin time (PT) (OR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.00–4.41, P = 0.0497) and elevated high sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs‐TNI) (OR = 7.65, 95% CI: 1.24–47.39, P = 0.0287) were associated with an increased risk of in‐hospital mortality.

Tracheostomy in Patients With COVID-19: A Single-center Experience

Obata,  K,  Miyata, et al

In Vivo

Infection Prevention and Control/ Prévention et contrôle des infections (IPAC/PCI) Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

We performed a retrospective analysis on 12 patients with severe COVID-19 who were intubated and underwent tracheostomy in our hospital. Percutaneous tracheostomy was performed in eight cases, and open tracheostomy was performed in four cases. Open tracheostomy in the operating room was performed under a negative pressure closed-space system using a surgical drape to prevent aerosolization.  Our experience suggests that bedside percutaneous tracheostomy may be a useful option in patients with COVID-19. In cases where percutaneous tracheostomy is anticipated to be difficult, open tracheostomy using a negative pressure closure may be useful in preventing aerosolization and reducing the risk of infection of healthcare workers.

Initial review of pregnancy and neonatal outcomes of pregnant women with COVID-19 infection

Ogamba,  I,  Kliss, et al

J Perinat Med

Clinical data| Données cliniques

We conducted a retrospective analysis of all pregnant women who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 within Nuvance Health system. Total of 40 patients were identified. Average age was 29.6 years old, 35% were Hispanic, and approximately one in three patients had comorbidities. Of the patients who had repeated testing, the average number of days between first positive test and negative test was 36.8 days (+/− 19.9 days). Three out of four women reported symptoms. Of the 40 pregnant women who were positive for SARS-CoV-2, 25 of them delivered. About 84% of the women delivered after 37 weeks. Twelve percent of the women delivered under 33 and 6/7 weeks. Most patients had vaginal deliveries (68%) and the remaining had cesarean deliveries. Neonatal outcomes included: mean 1 and 5 min Apgar scores of 8 and 8.8, respectively and the mean birth weight was 3212 g. Twenty neonates were tested for SARS-CoV-2 and were all found to be negative.

How well does societal mobility restriction help control the COVID-19 pandemic? Evidence from real-time evaluation

Oh,  Juhwan,  Lee, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Objectives: To determine the impact of restrictions on mobility on reducing transmission of COVID-19. In two thirds of examined countries, reductions of up to 40% in commuting mobility (to workplaces, transit stations, retailers, and recreation) were associated with decreased COVID-19 incidence, more so early in the pandemic. However, these decreases plateaued as mobility remained low or decreased further. We found smaller or negligible associations between mobility restriction and incidence rates in the late phase in most countries.

The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a multinational, observational study of palliative and hospice services (CovPall)

Oluyase,  AdejokeO,  Hocaoglu, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

We studied the response of and challenges for palliative care services during the COVID-19 pandemic. 458 services responded; 277 UK, 85 rest of Europe, 95 rest of the world (1 country unreported); 81% cared for patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19, 77% had staff with suspected or confirmed COVID-19; 48% reported shortages of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE), 40% staff shortages, 24% medicines shortages, 14% shortages of other equipment. Services provided direct care and education in symptom management and communication; 91% changed how they worked. Care often shifted to increased community and hospital care, with fewer admissions to inpatient palliative care units. Factors associated with increased odds of PPE shortages were: charity rather than public management (OR 3.07, 95% CI 1.81-5.20),inpatient palliative care unit rather than other setting (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.46-3.75). Being outside the UK was associated with lower odds of staff shortages (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.26-0.76). Staff described increased workload, concerns for their colleagues who were ill, whilst expending time struggling to get essential equipment and medicines, perceiving they were not a front-line service.

COVID-19 Medical Vulnerability Indicators: A Local Data Model for Equity in Public Health Decision-Making

Ong,  PaulM,  Pech, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Objective: To develop indicators of vulnerability for coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) infection in Los Angeles County (LAC) by race and neighborhood characteristics. Neighborhoods most vulnerable to covid-19 are characterized by significant clustering of racial minorities, low income households and unmet medical needs. An overwhelming 73% of Blacks reside in the neighborhoods with the two highest quintiles of pre-existing health conditions, followed by Latinx (70%) and Cambodians, Hmong and Laotians (CHL)(60%), while 60% of whites reside in low or the lowest vulnerable neighborhoods. For the Barriers to Accessing Healthcare indicator, 40% of Latinx reside in the highest vulnerability places followed by Blacks, CHL and other Asians (29%, 22%, and 16% respectively), compared with only 7% of Whites reside in such neighborhoods. The Built Environment Indicator finds CHL (63%) followed by Latinx (55%) and Blacks (53%) reside in the neighborhoods designated as high or the highest vulnerability compared to 32% of Whites residing in these neighborhoods. The Social Vulnerability Indicator finds 42% of Blacks and Latinx and 38% of CHL residing in neighborhoods of high vulnerability compared with only 8% of Whites residing these neighborhoods.

New Zealand Religious Community Responses to COVID-19 While Under Level 4 Lockdown

Oxholm,  T,  Rivera, et al

J Relig Health

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

This research combines interview data (n = 12) collected, as New Zealand moved into Level 3—Restrict and then Level 4—Lockdown, with Facebook and online news media analysis to understand how religious leaders and their communities responded to COVID-19. Our data found four challenges: (1) The requirement to reassess worship practices, (2) the need to mitigate any potential for community transmission, (3) significant difficulties related to social distancing for communal religious practices, and lastly, (4) welfare and pastoral concerns for congregations and others in need.

Deep Learning Model for Improving the Characterization of Coronavirus on Chest X-ray Images Using CNN

Oyelade,  Olaide Nathaniel,  Ezugwu, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

This paper therefore aims to advance the application deep learning technique to the problem of characterization and detection of novel coronavirus. The approach adopted in this study proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN) model which is further enhanced using the technique of data augmentation. The proposed model is then applied to the COVID-19 X-ray dataset in this study which is the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Chest X-Ray dataset obtained from Kaggle for the purpose of promoting early detection and screening of coronavirus disease. Results obtained showed that our approach achieved a performance of 100% accuracy, recall/precision of 0.85, F-measure of 0.9, and specificity of 1.0.

Phase II Clinical trial for Evaluation of BCG as potential therapy for COVID-19

Padmanabhan,  Usha,  Mukherjee, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Therapeutics| Thérapeutique RCT

It is accepted that BCG alleviates both pathogen and allergy induced respiratory diseases that could also include Covid-19. To investigate this possibility, we randomly assigned 60 Covid-19 patients, after admission to the hospital with pneumonia and requirement for oxygen therapy in a 1:1 ratio to receive either a single adult dose of intradermal BCG or normal saline with concomitant standard of care (SoC) medications. Primary endpoints were favorable prognosis of Covid-19 as deduced from resolution of pneumonia, viremia and secondary outcome were enumeration of ICU admissions, duration thereof and mortalities. Both primary and secondary endpoints were significantly improved in the BCG+SoC group. This could be seen from reduction in oxygen requirement due to Covid-19 associated pneumonia decreasing from day 3-4, improved radiological resolution from day 7-15. There were a total of 6 (10%) adverse events in the study of which 2 deaths and 4 ICU admissions were in SoC group (1 ICU admission culminated in death of the subject) and in contrast only 1 ICU admission in the BCG+SoC group. While there was an increase in Covid-19 specific IgG levels in the BCG+SoC group, there was no evidence of BCG induced cytokine storm in this group. Four patients showed localized inflammatory response at the injection site in the BCG+SoC group.

COVID-19 Risk Management and Screening in the Penitentiary Facilities of the Salerno Province in Southern Italy

Pagano,  AM,  Maiese, et al

Int J Environ Res Public Health

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

We conducted a two-phase observational study. In the first phase, we offered and then executed serum COVID-19 screening to all the convicted inmates. For those who had a doubtful or positive result, a swab was executed in the shortest time possible. In the second phase, a pharyngeal swab was offered and executed to all the police officers, the penitentiary administrative staff and the medical personnel working in the prison.  In the first phase, we executed 485 COVID-19 blood tests on prisoners, 3 (0.61%) of which were positive. The three positive inmates underwent nasopharyngeal swabbing, which ultimately were negative. After that, we executed 276 nasopharyngeal swabs on the prison personnel, penitentiary administrative staff and medical personnel—all were negative.

Effect of timing of implementation of the lockdown on the number of deaths for COVID-19 in four European countries

Palladino,  R,  Bollon, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

We modeled the daily number of COVID-19 deaths in France, Italy, Spain, and United Kingdom from January 23rd to August 15th. We found that a more rapid and homogeneous response would have avoided a substantial number of deaths. Our results underline the need of strengthening public health emergency preparedness at
national and global level.

Broncho-alveolar inflammation in COVID-19 patients: a correlation with clinical outcome

pandolfi,  laura,  Tommaso, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

We conducted a prospective study to assess alveolar inflammatory status in patients with moderate to severe COVID-19. The burden of pro-inflammatory cytokines IL6 and IL8 in the broncho-alveolar environment is associated with clinical outcome.

The relationship between anxiety, health, and potential stressors among adults in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic

Parcesepe,  Angela,  Robertson, et al

medRxiv

Mental Health |
santé mentale

Objective: To estimate the prevalence of anxiety symptoms and the association between moderate or severe anxiety symptoms and health and potential stressors among adults in the U.S. during the COVID-19 pandemic. (35%) of participants reported moderate or severe anxiety symptoms. Having lost income due to COVID-19 (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] 1.27 (95% CI 1.16, 1.30), having recent COVID-like symptoms (aPR 1.17 (95% CI 1.05, 1,31), and having been previously diagnosed with depression (aPR 1.49, (95% CI 1.35, 1.64) were positively associated with anxiety symptoms.

Case Report: Ischemic Colitis in Severe COVID-19 Pneumonia: An Unforeseen Gastrointestinal Complication

Paul,  T,  Joy, et al

Am J Trop Med Hyg

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Here, we have discussed a case of severe COVID-19 pneumonia, developing ischemic colitis, as a rare GI complication. The cause of ischemia in COVID-19 pneumonia is multifactorial, including hypercoagulable state, coagulopathy leading to thromboembolic complications, and use of vasopressors in severely ill patients with hemodynamic compromise.

Chilblains-like lesions and SARS-CoV-2 in children: an overview in therapeutic approach

Pavone,  P,  Marino, et al

Dermatol Ther

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Herein we discuss two pediatric cases, presenting with skin lesions, which tested positive for SARS‐CoV‐2, thus, briefly reviewing current literature for similar reports and related management.

Reproducibility and sensitivity of 36 methods to quantify the SARS-CoV-2 genetic signal in raw wastewater: findings from an interlaboratory methods evaluation in the U.S

Pecson,  BrianM,  Darby, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

These findings of this paper suggest that a variety of methods are capable of producing reproducible results, though the same standard operating procedure (SOP) or laboratory should be selected to track SARS-CoV-2 trends at a given facility. The methods showed a 7-log10 range of recovery efficiency and limit of detection highlighting the importance of recovery correction and the need to consider method sensitivity when selecting methods for wastewater surveillance.

Early immune response in mice immunized with a semi-split inactivated vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 containing S protein-free particles and subunit S protein

Petras,  Marek,  Lesny, et al

bioRxiv

Vaccine Research| Recherche sur les vaccins Animal model | Modèle animal

Our aim was to design a semi-split inactivated vaccine offering a wide range of multi-epitope determinants important for the immune system including not only the spike (S) protein but also the envelope, membrane and nucleocapsid proteins. We designed a semi-split vaccine prototype consisting of S protein-depleted viral particles and free S protein. Next, we investigated its immunogenic potential in BALB/c mice. The animals were immunized intradermally or intramuscularly. The data showed a very early onset of both S protein-specific antibodies and virus-neutralizing antibodies at 90% inhibition regardless of the route of vaccine administration. However, significantly higher levels of neutralizing antibodies were detected in the intradermally (geometric mean titer - GMT of 7.8 ± 1.4) than in the intramuscularly immunized mice (GMT of 6.2 ± 1.5). We demonstrated that the semi-split vaccine is capable of eliciting both humoral and cellular immunity early after vaccination.

Performance characteristics of a rapid SARS-CoV-2 antigen detection assay at a public plaza testing site in San Francisco

Pilarowski,  Genay,  Lebel, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We evaluated the performance of the Abbott BinaxNOWTM Covid-19 rapid antigen test to detect virus among persons, regardless of symptoms, at a public plaza site of ongoing community transmission. Titration with cultured clinical SARS-CoV-2 yielded a human observable threshold between 1.6x104-4.3x104 viral RNA copies (cycle threshold (Ct) of 30.3-28.8 in this assay). Among 878 subjects tested, 3% (26/878) were positive by RT-PCR, of which 15/26 had a Ct<30, indicating high viral load. 40% (6/15) of Ct<30 were asymptomatic. Using this Ct<30 threshold for Binax-CoV2 evaluation, the sensitivity of the Binax-CoV2 was 93.3% (14/15), 95% CI: 68.1-99.8%, and the specificity was 99.9% (862/863), 95% CI: 99.4-99.9%.

Rapid SARS-CoV-2 Detection by Carbon Nanotube-Based Near-Infrared Nanosensors

Pinals,  RebeccaL,  Ledesma, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Here, we introduce a single-walled carbon nanotube (SWCNT)-based optical sensing approach towards these ends. We construct a nanosensor based on SWCNTs noncovalently functionalized with ACE2, a host protein with high binding affinity for the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. Presence of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein elicits a robust, two-fold nanosensor fluorescence increase within 90 min of spike protein exposure. We characterize the nanosensor stability and sensing mechanism, and passivate the nanosensor to preserve sensing response in saliva and viral transport medium. We further demonstrate that these ACE2-SWCNT nanosensors retain sensing capacity in a surface-immobilized format, exhibiting a 73% fluorescence turn-on response within 5 s of exposure to 35 mg/L SARS-CoV-2 virus-like particles. Our data demonstrate that ACE2-SWCNT nanosensors can be developed into an optical tool for rapid SARS-CoV-2 detection.

Caspases in COVID-19 Disease and Sequela and the Therapeutic Potential of Caspase Inhibitors

Plassmeyer,  Matthew,  Alpan, et al

medRxiv

Long-Term Sequelae |
séquelles à long terme
Immunology | Immunologie

In this study, we assessed transcriptional states of caspases in immune cells from COVID-19 patients and profiled intra-cellular caspases in immune cells and red blood cells derived from a spectrum of COVID-19 patients hospitalized with acute disease or convalescent. Gene expression levels of select caspases were increased in in vitro SARS-CoV-2 infection models and single cell RNA-Seq data of peripheral blood from COVID-19 patients showed a distinct pattern of caspase expression in T cell, neutrophils, and dendritic cells. Flow cytometric evaluation of CD4 T cells showed up-regulation of caspase-1 in hospitalized COVID-19 patients compared to unexposed controls, with the exception of a subset of patients with asthma and chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS). Convalescent COVID-19 patients with lingering symptoms (long haulers) showed persistent up-regulation of caspase-1 in CD4 T cells that was attenuated ex vivo following co-culture with a select pan-caspase inhibitor. Further, we observed elevated caspase 3 levels in red blood cells from COVID-19 patients compared to controls that were responsive to caspase inhibition. Taken together, our results expose an exuberant caspase response in COVID-19 that may facilitate immune-related pathological processes leading to severe outcomes.

Acute pulmonary embolism in patients presenting pulmonary deterioration after admission to internal medicine wards for non-critical COVID-19

POLO FRIZ,  Hernan,  GELFI, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The present study aimed to assess the prevalence of acute pulmonary embolosm (APE) in patients admitted to internal medicine department wards for non-critical COVID-19. The traditional diagnostic tools to identify high APE pre-test probability patients does not seem to be clinically useful. These results support the use of a low threshold of suspicion for performing CTPA to exclude or confirm APE as the most appropriate diagnostic approach in this clinical setting

Experience from a COVID-19 screening centre of a tertiary care institution: A retrospective hospital-based study

Pradhan,  Somen Kumar,  Sahu, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

The present study has been planned with an objective to understand the patient profile and evaluate the functioning of COVID-19 screening OPD(CS-OPD) at a tertiary care hospital. A total of 10,735 patients visited the COVID-19 screening OPD during the defined study period out of which 3652 individuals were tested. Majority of the patients, i.e. 65.67% (7050) were male and in 15-59 years age group (84.68%). Most common symptoms among patients visiting CS-OPD was Cough (9.86%). Out of the total, 17.17% (1843) of patient reported to the CS-OPD with contact history of COVID-19 positive patient. On the other hand, 13.49% (1448) of patients were with either domestic or international travel history. The overall testing rate and positivity rate for CS-OPD during this period were found to be 34.02% and 7.94% respectively.

Chest Computed Tomography Scoring in Patients With Novel Coronavirus-infected Pneumonia: Correlation With Clinical and Laboratory Features and Disease Outcome

Pugliese,  L,  Sbordone, et al

In Vivo

Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study investigated the correlation of chest computed tomography (CT), findings, graded using two different scoring methods, with clinical and laboratory features and disease outcome, including a novel clinical predictive score, in patients with novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia (NCIP).

Cohorting of Non-Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: A Multicenter Survey Study (COVID-COHORT)

Purohit,  Ushma,  Fralick, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

An international multicenter, survey study was conducted to identify what strategies are planned or in place for patients with COVID-19 who are not critically ill. The survey was distributed from March 23-29th, 2020 to GIM physicians in Canada, USA, Denmark, Singapore, Hong Kong, and England. 29 of 31 hospitals (94%) indicated that they plan on cohorting all GIM patients with COVID-19 to one location in the hospital. The primary reasons for this decision were to limit the spread of COVID-19 and conserve PPE use.

Delirium and Post-Discharge Neuropsychological Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19: an Institutional Case Series

Ragheb,  Jacqueline,  McKinney, et al

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Long-Term Sequelae |
séquelles à long terme

The objective of this study was to characterize the clinical course of delirium for COVID-19 patients in the intensive care unit, including post-discharge cognitive outcomes. Delirium was identified in 107/148 (72%) patients in the study cohort, with median (interquartile range) duration lasting 10 (4 - 17) days.

The Use of Penalized Regression Analysis to Identify County-Level Demographic and Socioeconomic Variables Predictive of Increased COVID-19 Cumulative Case Rates in the State of Georgia

Richmond,  HL,  Tome, et al

Int J Environ Res Public Health

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

To identify the degree to which social determinants of health predict COVID-19 cumulative case rates at the county-level in Georgia, we performed a sequential, cross-sectional ecologic analysis using a diverse set of socioeconomic and demographic variables. Findings indicate the social determinants of health and demographic factors continue to predict case rates of COVID-19 at the county-level as the pandemic evolves.

High prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 swab positivity and increasing R number in England during October 2020: REACT-1 round 6 interim report

Riley,  Steven,  Ainslie, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Here we report interim results for round 6 of observations for swabs collected from the 16th to 25th October 2020 inclusive. We estimate prevalence of PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, reproduction numbers (R) and temporal trends using exponential growth or decay models. The co-occurrence of high prevalence and rapid growth means that the second wave of the epidemic in England has now reached a critical stage.

Rapid, simplified whole blood-based multiparameter assay to quantify and phenotype SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells

Riou,  Catherine,  Schafer, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Using a rapid whole blood assay requiring minimal amount of blood, we measured qualitatively and quantitatively SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4 T cell responses in 31 healthcare workers, using flow cytometry. 100% of COVID-19 convalescent participants displayed a detectable SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4 T cell response. SARS-CoV-2-responding cells were also detected in 40.9% of participants with no COVID-19-associated symptoms or who tested PCR negative.

Headache associated with COVID-19: Frequency, characteristics and association with anosmia and ageusia

Rocha-Filho,  P,  Magalhães, et al

Cephalalgia

Clinical data| Données cliniques

We assess the frequency and characteristics of headache in patients with COVID-19 and whether there is an association between headache and anosmia and ageusia. Seventy-three patients were included in the study, 63% were male; the median age was 58 years (IQR: 47–66). Forty-seven patients (64.4%) reported headaches, which had most frequently begun on the first day of symptoms, were bilateral (94%), presenting severe intensity (53%) and a migraine phenotype (51%). Headache associated with COVID-19 presented a migraine phenotype more frequently in those experiencing previous migraine (p < 0.05).

COVID-19 morbidity and mortality in 2020: the case of the city of Rio de Janeiro

Rodrigues,  NCP,  Andrade, et al

J Bras Pneumol

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

In the present study, we investigated possible changes in trends, as well as the levels of morbidity and mortality, associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the pandemic in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Adolescents' Perceived Socio-Emotional Impact of COVID-19 and Implications for Mental Health: Results From a U.S.-Based Mixed-Methods Study

Rogers,  AA,  Ha, et al

J Adolesc Health

Mental Health |
santé mentale

In a mixed-methods study of U.S. adolescents, we examined (1) adolescents' perceptions of how their social and emotional lives had changed during COVID-19; and (2) associations between these perceived changes and indices of their mental health, above and beyond their prepandemic mental health status. Our findings sensitize clinicians and scholars to the vulnerabilities (changes in friendship dynamics), as well as resiliencies (supportive family contexts), presented to U.S. adolescents during the early months of COVID-19.

Rapid homogeneous assay for detecting antibodies against SARS-CoV-2

Rusanen,  Juuso,  Kareinen, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We have developed a rapid homogenous approach for antibody detection termed LFRET (protein L-based time-resolved Förster resonance energy transfer immunoassay). In LFRET, fluorophore-labeled protein L and antigen are brought to close proximity by antigen-specific patient immunoglobulins of any isotype, resulting in TR-FRET signal generation. In identifying individuals with or without a detectable neutralizing antibody response, LFRET outperformed ELISA in specificity (91-96% vs. 82-87%), while demonstrating an equal sensitivity (98%). This study demonstrates the applicability of LFRET, a 10-minute 'mix and read' assay, to detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.

Effectiveness of quarantine and testing to prevent COVID-19 transmission from arriving travelers

Russell,  WA,  Buckeridge, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de santé publique

We developed a mathematical simulation to evaluate the effectiveness of quarantine and testing, alone and in combination, across a variety of scenarios. We found that quarantine was more effective than testing alone, even for quarantine as short as two days, and the value of adding testing to quarantine diminished for longer quarantine durations. Testing was most effective if performed near the end of quarantine. Compliance of travelers and the percent of infections that were asymptomatic greatly influenced policy effectiveness.

COVID-19 Active Surveillance Simulation Case Study - Health and Economic Impacts of Active Surveillance in a School Environment

Saad,  AliA,  Saad, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique Economics | Économie

In this study, we explore the efficacy of an Active Surveillance testing model where a random number of students are tested daily for early detection of asymptomatic patients and for prevention of the infection among the student population. In addition to health impacts, we also analyze the financial impact of deploying the Active Surveillance system in schools while taking into consideration lost workdays of parents, hospitalization costs, and testing costs.

Hospital based contact tracing of COVID-19 patients and health care workers and risk stratification of exposed health care workers during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Eastern India

Sahoo,  Durgesh Prasad,  Singh, et al

medRxiv

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

In this study, we have reported our experience of contact tracing and risk categorization in a tertiary care teaching hospital in Eastern India. The case identification, risk stratification and contact tracing have helped in reducing the number of contacts with due course of time, so preventing the depletion of human resources for continuing health care.

Are Mobile Phones part of the chain of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the hospital?

Sanchez Espinoza,  Evelyn Patricia,  Farrel Cortes, et al

medRxiv

Infection Prevention and Control/ Prévention et contrôle des infections (IPAC/PCI) Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

We investigate healthcare workers(HCWs) knowledge about SARS-CoV-2 cross-transmission and conceptions whether the virus can remain on HCWs mobile phones(MPs) and be part of the chain of transmission. Fifty-one MPs were swabbed and a questionnaire about hand hygiene and MP use and disinfection was applied after an educational campaign.

Impact of the coronavirus pandemic on pediatric eye-related emergency department services

Shah,  K,  Camhi, et al

J aapos

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Literature describing the trends and utilization of pediatric eye-related emergency department (ED) visits is limited. We performed a retrospective cohort study of 311 pediatric patients visiting Bascom Palmer Eye Institute (BPEI) ED between March and May 2020 to quantify the effect of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on ophthalmology care utilization. In our study, pediatric ED visits declined by half at the onset of the pandemic in March. The number of visits reached the lowest point in early April and increased to 48% of the pre-COVID volume by the end of May. Despite changes in volume, patient demographics and clinical diagnoses were relatively consistent throughout the pandemic.

Identification of natural inhibitors against Mpro of SARS-CoV-2 by molecular docking, molecular dynamics simulation, and MM/PBSA methods

Sharma,  P,  Joshi, et al

J Biomol Struct Dyn

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

For the identification of potential inhibitors of SARS-CoV-2 Mpro, we applied a structure-based virtual screening approach followed by molecular dynamics (MD) study. A library of 686 phytochemicals was subjected to virtual screening which resulted in 28 phytochemicals based on binding energy. The results of 100 ns MD simulation, RMSF, SASA, Rg, and MM/PBSA show that Epsilon-viniferin (-29.240 kJ/mol), Mpro-Peimisine (-43.031 kJ/mol) and Gmelanone (-13.093 kJ/mol) form a stable complex with Mpro and could be used as potential inhibitors of SARS-CoV-2 Mpro.

A New Approach to the Dynamic Modeling of an Infectious Disease

Shayak,  B,  Sharma, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Propose a delay differential equation as a lumped parameter or compartmental COVID-19 infectious disease model featuring high descriptive and predictive capability, extremely high adaptability and low computational requirement. After demonstrating that the baseline model can successfully explain the COVID-19 case trajectories observed all over the world, we systematically show how the model can be expanded to account for heterogeneous transmissibility, detailed contact tracing drives, mass testing endeavours and immune responses featuring different combinations of limited-time sterilizing immunity, severity-reducing immunity and antibody dependent enhancement

Estimating County-Level COVID-19 Exponential Growth Rates Using Generalized Random Forests

She,  Zhaowei,  Wang, et al

arXiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Surveillance

Rapid and accurate detection of community outbreaks is critical to address the threat of resurgent waves of COVID-19. This paper presents a machine learning framework to balance  accuracy vs. speed using generalized random forests (GRF), and applies it to detect county level COVID-19 outbreaks.

Factors Associated with COVID-19 Deaths and Infections: A Cross Country Evidence

Shimul,  ShafiunN,  Kadir, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Attempts to understand the covariates of death and infection rates of COVID-19 across countries using multivariate regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The OLS estimates show that the aging population and hospital bed per capita are significantly associated with the fatality rate of COVID-19, while urbanization has a positive correlation with the inflection rate. The study suggests that an increase in health systems capacity can significantly reduce the fatality rates due to COVID-19.

Simulation model for productivity, risk and GDP impact forecasting of the COVID-19 portfolio vaccines

Shnaydman,  Vladimir

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Vaccine Research| Recherche sur les vaccins Economics | Économie

Presents modeling results for COVID-19 vaccines portfolio forecasting, including R&D output (rate and likelihood of approvals at a vaccine technology platform level) and manufacturing production output to meet worldwide demand. To minimize the time and risk of global vaccination, scaling up of Operation Warp Speed (OWS) and other programs could be very beneficial, leading to increased financing for additional vaccine development programs. OWS would also lead to a reduction of the global production time for world vaccination, from 75 months for a baseline scenario to 36 months, reducing potential global GDP loss by as much as US$4.2 trillion (US ~ $1 trillion) when compared to the baseline scenario.

Isolated intracranial hypertension associated with COVID-19

Silva,  MTT,  Lima, et al

Cephalalgia

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Describe the characteristics of headache and the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) profiles in COVID-19 patients (n=56), highlighting the cases of isolated intracranial hypertension.

A Time-dependent mathematical model for COVID-19 transmission dynamics and analysis of critical and hospitalized cases with bed requirements

Singh,  Avaneesh,  Bajpai, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

A time-dependent SEAIHCRD model is the extension of the SEIR model, which includes some new compartment that is asymptomatic infectious people, hospitalized people, critical people, and dead compartments. In this article, the authors analyzed six countries, namely the United States, Brazil, India, South Africa, Russia, and Mexico using a time-dependent SEAIHCRD model. Calculations on the magnitude of peaks for exposed people, asymptomatic infectious people, symptomatic infectious people, hospitalized people, the number of people admitted to ICUs, and the number of COVID-19 deaths over time are estimated.

Risk factors affecting icu admission in COVID 19 patients; could air temperature be an effective factor?

Solmaz,  I,  Özçaylak, et al

Int J Clin Pract

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

Determine the factors that affect the course of the disease in the hospitalized patients with COVID 19 to reveal whether the seasonal change has an effect on the disease course. As the seasonal temperature increases, decrease in WBC, PLT and albumin levels and increase in LDH and AST levels were observed. Risk of need for ICU has been found statistically significant (p<0.05) with the increase in the age, LDH levels and CRP levels and with the decrease in the Ca and Albumin levels.

Disruptions in preventive care: Mammograms during the COVID-19 pandemic

Song,  H,  Bergman, et al

Health Serv Res

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Measure the extent to which the provision of mammograms was impacted by the COVID‐19 pandemic and surrounding guidelines.

Adverse drug reactions associated with concurrent acute psychiatric treatment and Covid-19 drug therapy

Sönmez Güngör,  E,  Yalçın, et al

Int J Psychiatry Clin Pract

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Psychiatric patients are at increased risk of contamination, morbidity, and mortality associated with COVID-19, together with potentially more pronounced adverse effects.

Chloroquine use in the Treatment of COVID-19: Systems Biology Report of Common Targets of SARS-CoV-2 and Chloroquine

Souchelnytskyi,  Serhiy,  Souchelnytskyi, et al

Research Square prepub

Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

Argue that an assessment  of the  effectiveness of chloroquine on treatment of COVID-19 patients requires the identification of a companion diagnostic. Systemic analysis of molecular mechanisms and markers engaged by chloroquine and SARS-CoV-2 virus was performed. Some of these markers are already used in the clinic and their interpretation may contribute to monitoring for adverse effects of chloroquine.

Covid-19 fatality prediction in people with diabetes and prediabetes using a simple score at hospital admission

Sourij,  Harald,  Aziz, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

Assess predictors of in-hospital mortality in people with prediabetes and diabetes hospitalized for COVID19 infection and developed a risk score for identifying those at the highest risk of a fatal outcome. In-hospital mortality for COVID−19 was high in people with diabetes and not significantly different to the risk in people with prediabetes. A risk score using five routinely available patient parameters demonstrated excellent predictive performance for assessing in-hospital mortality.

Socioeconomic Vulnerabilities and the Intensity of RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 Testing Efforts in the Public Health System in Sao Paulo State

Sousa,  Tatiane Cristina Moraes de,  Moreira, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Developed an RT-PCR testing intensity effort index (RT-PCR TIEI) composed of seven indicators to assess the intensity of testing efforts in the state of São Paulo.

Comparison of before and after COVID-19 urology practices of a pandemic hospital

Soytaş,  M,  Boz, et al

Turk J Urol

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The study demonstrates although the numbers have decreased, similar operations can be performed in daily urology practice without any contamination and mortality during the pandemic, when compared to the pre-pandemic period, by taking precautions and following the algorithms.

Repeated cross-sectional sero-monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 in New York City

Stadlbauer,  D,  Tan, et al

Nature

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

Conducted a retrospective, repeated cross-sectional analysis of anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies in weekly intervals from the beginning of February to July 2020 using more than 10,000 plasma samples from routine care and urgent care patients at Mount Sinai Hospital in NYC.  Seroprevalence increased at different rates in both groups, with seropositive samples as early as mid-February, and levelled out at slightly above 20% in both groups after the epidemic wave subsided by the end of May. From May to July seroprevalence stayed stable, suggesting lasting antibody levels in the population

SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a tri-national urban area is dominated by a B.1 lineage variant linked to mass gathering events

Stange,  Madlen,  Mari, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

Present a phylogenetic cross-sectional study and explore viral introduction and evolution during the exponential early phase of a local COVID-19 outbreak in Basel, Switzerland.

The outcome of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation patients with COVID-19 infection

Sultan,  AM,  Mahmoud, et al

Bone Marrow Transplant

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Describe the clinical course of stem cell transplant recipients (n=7) who survived a diagnosis of COVID-19.

Correlation between emotional intelligence and negative emotions of front-line nurses during the COVID-19 epidemic: a cross-sectional study

Sun,  H,  Wang, et al

J Clin Nurs

Mental Health |
santé mentale
Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The purpose of this study was to understand the emotional intelligence level (EI) and negative emotional status of the front‐line nurses in the epidemic situation. The emotional intelligence of the front‐line nurses was in the upper middle range. Among the negative emotions, anxiety was the most prominent symptom.

Safety and outcomes of percutaneous tracheostomy in coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonitis patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation

Takhar,  A,  Tornari, et al

J Laryngol Otol

Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Analyzed the timing and outcomes of percutaneous tracheostomy (n=81) in COVID-19 patients and reports experiences of a dedicated ENT–anaesthetics department led tracheostomy team.

Effect of mitigation measures on the spreading of COVID-19 in hard-hit states in the U.S

Tam,  KM,  Walker, et al

PLoS One

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Investigate the change in the infection rate due to the mitigation efforts and project death and infection counts through September 2020 for the states of New York, New Jersey, Michigan, Massachusetts, Illinois, and Louisiana.  Analysis find that with the current mitigation efforts, five of those six states have reduced their base reproduction number to a value less than one, stopping the exponential growth of the pandemic. Different scenarios after the mitigation is relaxed are also projected.

The study of automatic machine learning base on radiomics of non-focus area in the first chest CT of different clinical types of COVID-19 pneumonia

Tan,  HB,  Xiong, et al

Sci Rep

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Explore the possibility of predicting COVID-19 pneumonia clinical presentations by analyzing the non-focus area of the lung in the first chest CT image of patients with COVID-19 using automatic machine learning.

Lightweight Model For The Prediction of COVID-19 Through The Detection And Segmentation of Lesions in Chest CT Scans

Ter-Sarkisov,  Aram

medRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We introduce a lightweight Mask R-CNN model that segments areas with the Ground Glass Opacity and Consolidation in chest CT scans. Without any data balancing and manipulations, and using only a small fraction of the training data, COVID-CT-Mask-Net classification model with 6.12M total and 600K trainable parameters derived from Mask R-CNN, achieves 91.35% COVID-19 sensitivity, 91.63% Common Pneumonia sensitivity, 96.98% true negative rate and 93.95% overall accuracy on COVIDx-CT dataset (21191 images). We also present a thorough analysis of the regional features critical to the correct classification of the image

Prediction of COVID-19 Possibilities using KNN Classification Algorithm

Theerthagiri,  Prasannavenkatesan,  Jacob, et al

Research Square prepub

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

This paper studies the different machine learning classification algorithms to predict the COVID-19 recovered and deceased cases. The prediction scores of each algorithm are evaluated with performance metrics such as prediction accuracy, precision, recall, mean square error, confusion matrix, and kappa score.

Emergence of Novel SARS-CoV-2 Variants in the Netherlands

Urhan,  Aysun,  Abeel, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

In this study, we analyzed SARS-CoV-2 genomes in the Netherlands, in the context of global viral population since the beginning of the pandemic. We have identified the most variant sites on the whole genome as well as the stable, conserved ones on the S and N proteins. We found four mutations, S:D614G, NSP12b:P314L, NSP3:F106F, to be the most frequent ones that dominate the SARS-CoV-2 population outside of China.  Our analyses suggest we have diverged away from the current SARS-CoV-2 reference enough that the reference should be re-evaluated to represent the current viral population more accurately.

High-flow Nasal Cannula therapy: A feasible treatment for vulnerable older COVID-19 patients on the wards

van Steenkiste,  Job,  van Herwerden, et al

Research Square prepub

Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Our main objective was to investigate whether  High-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) treatment on the wards could be an effective alternative treatment for patients not eligible for invasive mechanical ventilation. This study suggests that HFNC could be an effective last resort respiratory management strategy for respiratory failure in vulnerable elderly COVID-19 patients who failed on conventional high dose oxygen supply and are not eligible for invasive mechanical ventilation.

Multi-Targeting Approach in Selection of Potential Molecule for COVID-19 Treatment

Velagacherla,  Varalakshmi,  Suresh, et al

Research Square prepub

Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

In this work, we have attempted to screen already approved drugs that have shown an affinity towards multiple protein targets of COVID-19 using Schrödinger suit. Computational tools such as molecular docking were used to identify the most suitable molecule that forms a stable interaction with the selected viral proteins. The drug nintedanib, used for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis has the highest binding stability among the shortlisted molecules towards the selected viral target proteins. and can be considered for repurposing for COVVID-19 managenent.

Transfusion support in COVID-19 patients: Impact on hospital blood component supply during the outbreak

Velázquez-Kennedy,  K,  Luna, et al

Transfusion

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The objective of this study was to assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on transfusion demand in the hospital blood supply.   A total of 68 COVID patients requiring transfusion (45%) died during their admission, 62 (41.1%) were discharged from hospital, and 21 (13.9%) were still admitted at the point of data collection. There was no association found between a restrictive vs liberal transfusion strategy and mortality in our cohort of COVID patients. Although only a minority of COVID-19 inpatients required transfusion, the expected reduction in transfusion needs caused by the lack of elective surgical procedures is partially offset by the large number of admitted patients during the peak of the pandemic.

Computational prediction of SARS-CoV-2 encoded miRNAs and their putative host targets

Verma,  Sonia,  Dwivedy, et al

bioRxiv

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie

We identified 8 putative novel miRNAs from SARS-CoV-2 genome and explored their possible human gene targets. A significant proportion of these targets populated key immune and metabolic pathways such as MAPK signaling pathway, maturity-onset diabetes of the young, Insulin signaling pathway, endocytosis, RNA transport, TGF-β signaling pathway, to name a few. Analysis of these datasets reveal that a significant proportion of the target human genes were down-regulated upon SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Beyond the 405 and the 5: Geographic variations and factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 positivity rates in Los Angeles County

Vijayan,  T,  Shin, et al

Clin Infect Dis

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

The objective of this study was to highlight geographic differences and the socio-structural determinants of SARS-CoV-2 test positivity within Los Angeles County (LAC). Between 1 March and 30 June 2020 there were 843,440 SARS-CoV-2 tests and 86,383 diagnoses reported, for an overall positivity rate of 10.2% within the study area. Communities with high proportions of Latino/a residents, those living below the federal poverty line and with high household densities had higher crude positivity rates. Age- adjusted diagnosis rates were significantly associated with the proportion of Latino/as, individuals living below the poverty line, population, and household density.

SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in a Cohort of Asymptomatic, RT-PCR Negative Croatian First League Football Players

Vince,  Adriana,  Zadro, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Immunology | Immunologie

The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 IgA and IgG antibodies in the cohort of asymptomatic and SARS-CoV-2 PCR negative professional football players in the Croatian First Football League by using a commercial ELISA antibody assay in the paired serum samples taken 2 months apart. Sixty-one (20%) participants were reactive in one or two classes of antibodies at baseline and/or follow-up serology testing. Various patterns of IgA and IgG reactivity were found in the paired serum samples. Based on serology dynamics we estimate that in 5.9%-10.5% of PCR negative football players asymptomatic exposure to SARS-CoV-2 during pandemics could not be excluded.

Containing pandemics through targeted testing of households

Voigt,  André,  Martyushenko, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

Guided by the finding that large households function as hubs for the propagation of COVID-19, we developed a data-driven individual-based epidemiological network-model to assess the intervention efficiency of targeted testing of large households. For an outbreak with reproductive numbers R between 1.1 and 2, our results suggest that the intervention effect of weekly pooled testing of the 10% largest households in an urban area is on par with the effect of imposing strict lockdown measures. By testing no more than 20% of households every 4 days, the model predicts that one can reduce R from 1.6 to below unity over a few weeks, lowering the prevalence by 75%.

A Novel Primer Probe Set for Detection of SARS-CoV-2 by Sensitive Droplet Digital PCR

Wang,  Fang,  Pervaiz, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

The aim of this study was to develop a new primer-probe set targeting N gene of SARS-CoV-2 to improve the sensitivity for detection of COVID-19 Corona Virus Disease 2019 in multiplex rRT-PCR. The novel primer-probe set(LZU3) targeting N gene of SARS-CoV-2 could be both used in rRT-PCR and ddPCR with better sensitivity, furthermore, ddPCR method had higer sensitivity than rRT-PCR, hence it could significantly improve SARS-CoV-2 detection efficiency in low virus load and asymptomatic infection.

Infection, screening, and psychological stress of health care workers with COVID-19 in a non-frontline clinical department

Wang,  G,  Guan, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Mental Health |
santé mentale

The objective of this study was to investigate risk factors and psychological stress of health care workers (HCWs) with COVID-19 in a non-frontline clinical department. The overall infection rate was 4.8% in HCWs. 10 of 25 HCWs who contacted with 2 source patients were diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 (8/10) and suspected COVID-19 (2/10). Other 2 HCWs were transmitted by other patients or colleagues. Most HCWs experienced a mild course with 2 asymptomatic infections, taking 9.8 days and 20.9 days to obtain viral shedding and clinical cure, respectively. Psychological stress included worry (58.3%), anxiety (83.3%), depression (58.3%), and insomnia (58.3%).

Risk communication on behavioral responses during COVID-19 among general population in China: a rapid national study

Wang,  X,  Lin, et al

J Infect

Public Health response| Interventions de santé publique

The objective of this study was to describe the risk perception and behavioral responses among Chinese adults and to assess the associations of risk communication, risk perception, and behavioral adherence during the COVID-19 epidemic.  An overwhelmingly high prevalence of Chinese people was exposed to COVID-19 related risk communication messages (86.5%) and an overwhelming majority of respondents reported engagement in preventive behaviors (88.3%). Exposed to risk communication messages were positively associated with engaging in preventive behaviors, whereas, believing in misinformation were negatively associated with wearing masks when in public.

Participation in TREC 2020 COVID Track Using Continuous Active Learning

Wang,  Xue Jun,  Grossman, et al

arXiv

Public Health Priorities| Priorités de santé publique Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The goal of TREC-COVID is to contribute to the response to the COVID-19 pandemic by identifying answers to many pressing questions and building infrastructure to improve search systems

Impact of Covid-19 in pregnancy on mother's psychological status and infant's neurobehavioral development: a longitudinal cohort study in China

Wang,  Y,  Chen, et al

BMC Med

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Transmission Mental Health |
santé mentale

This  longitudinal single-arm cohort study conducted in China aimed to evaluate the long-term impact of Covid-19 in pregnancy on mother’s psychological status and infant’s neurobehavioral development. 22.2% of pregnant patients were suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder or depression at 3 months after delivery or induced abortion. There was no definite evidence on vertical transmission of SARS-CoV-2. After the termination of maternal quarantine, 49.1% of mothers chose to prolong the mother-baby separation. Negative associations were significantly identified between mother-baby separation days and three developmental domains: communication, gross motor, and personal-social.

[Impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on anxiety among the elderly in community]

Wang,  ZH,  Qi, et al

Zhonghua yi xue za zhi

Mental Health |
santé mentale

The objective of this study was to compare the prevalence of anxiety among elderly people before and during the COVID-19 epidemic in China. The prevalence of anxiety symptoms in the elderly population was 4.95% before the outbreak of COVID-19, and 10.10% during the epidemic. The risk factors of developing anxiety symptoms during the epidemic were living in rural areas, participating in social activities regularly, having a good relationship with friends and were quarantined or people around were quarantined for medical observation.

How would Widespread Community Transmission of Covid-19 in Sri Lanka look like? A Population-based Prediction

Wijesekara,  NWANY,  H

Research Square prepub

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Transmission Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

Objective of this study was to simulate the widespread community transmission of Covid-19 in Sri Lanka. The cumulative number of cases needing admission, ICU care and ventilation are predicted allowing health care authorities to prepare for worst-case scenarios.

COVID-19 risk haplogroups differ between populations, deviate from Neanderthal haplotypes and compromise risk assessment in non-Europeans

Wohlers,  Inken,  Calonga-Solís, et al

bioRxiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques

Recent genome wide association studies (GWAS) have identified genetic risk factors for developing severe COVID-19 symptoms. Zeberg and Pääbo found that a genomic region is inherited from Neanderthals of Vindija in Croatia. Here we add a differently focused evaluation of this major genetic risk factor to these recent analyses. We show that (i) COVID-19-related genetic factors of Neanderthals deviate from those of modern humans and that (ii) they differ among world-wide human populations, which compromises risk prediction in non-Europeans. Currently, caution is thus advised in the genetic risk assessment of non-Europeans during this world-wide COVID-19 pandemic.

A Digital CRISPR-based Method for the Rapid Detection and Absolute Quantification of Viral Nucleic Acids

Wu,  Xiaolin,  Chan, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

We report a rapid digital CRISPR method developed for the absolute quantification of SARS-CoV-2 DNA and Epstein−Barr virus DNA in human samples that yields results within 1 hour. Digital CRISPR allows absolute quantification of DNA with a dynamic range from 0.6 to 2027 copies/µL, without cross reactivity on similar virus and human background DNA.

SARS-CoV-2 responsive T cell numbers are associated with protection from COVID-19: A prospective cohort study in keyworkers

Wyllie,  DavidH,  Mulchandani, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

The objective of this prospective cohort study was to describe T cell and antibody responses to the SARS-COV-2 virus in 2,847 UK keyworkers. At recruitment in June 2020, we measured numbers of interferon-γ secreting, SARS-CoV-2 responsive T cells using T-SPOT® Discovery SARS-CoV-2 kits, and antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 proteins using commercial immunoassays. Of the participants with higher T cell responses, 367 (53%) had detectable antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2  nuclear or spike proteins.  During a median of 118 days follow-up, 20 participants with lower T cell responses developed COVID-19, compared with none in the population with high T cell responses. Peripheral blood SARS-CoV-2 responsive T cell numbers are associated with risk of developing COVID-19.

Network pharmacology and molecular docking analyses on Lianhua Qingwen capsule indicate Akt1 is a potential target to treat and prevent COVID-19

Xia,  QD,  Xun, et al

Cell Prolif

Coronavirology| Coronavirologie Therapeutics| Thérapeutique

In this study, we explored the molecular mechanism of the action of Lianhua Qingwen capsule (LQC) in COVID‐19 using network pharmacology and molecular docking. We found that Akt1 was a hub gene that LQC primarily regulated, suggesting a novel target for COVID‐19 treatment.

Dynamics of NK, CD8 and Tfh cell mediated the production of cytokines and antiviral antibodies in Chinese patients with moderate COVID-19

Yan,  L,  Cai, et al

J Cell Mol Med

Clinical data| Données cliniques Immunology | Immunologie

A total of 11 convalescent patients with COVID-19 and 11 patients with non-SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (control patients) were enrolled in this study. NK, CD8(+) T, CD4(+) T, Tfh-like and B-cell subsets were analysed. NK cell counts were significantly higher in patients with COVID-19 than in control patients. Effector memory CD8(+) T-cell counts significantly increased in patients with COVID-19 during a convalescent period of 1 week. TIM-3(+) Tfh-like cell and CD226(+) Tfh-like cell counts significantly increased and decreased, respectively, during the same period. Moreover, ICOS(+) Tfh-like cell counts tended to decrease. No abnormal increase in cytokine levels was observed.

Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States

Yang,  Bingyi,  Huang, et al

medRxiv

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

We estimated weekly values of the effective basic reproductive number (Reff) using a mechanistic metapopulation model and associated these with county-level characteristics and non-pharmaceutical interventions in the United States. Interventions that included school and leisure activities closure and nursing home visiting bans were all associated with an Reff below 1 when combined with either stay at home orders or face masks. While direct causal effects of interventions remain unclear, our results suggest that relaxation of some NPIs will need to be counterbalanced by continuation and/or implementation of others.

Dating the emergence of the first case of COVID-19 with flights: a retrospective modelling study

Yang,  Liwei,  Zhu, et al

Research Square prepub

Modelling/ prediction| Modélisation/prédiction Epidemiology| Épidémiologie

Understanding the effect of international and inter-state flights on virus transmission is important to evaluate the initial response of the outbreak.  The evaluation suggests a high likelihood of the emergence of the first case of COVID-19 be around September 15 and September 22, 2019.

Point of Care Image Analysis for COVID-19

Yaron,  Daniel,  Keidar, et al

arXiv

Clinical data| Données cliniques Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Here we train deep neural networks to significantly enhance the capability to detect, grade and monitor COVID-19 patients using chest X-rays (CXRs) and lung ultrasound (LUS). Collaborating with several hospitals in Israel we collect a large dataset of CXRs and use this dataset to train a neural network obtaining above 90% detection rate for COVID-19.

SARSeq, a robust and highly multiplexed NGS assay for parallel detection of SARS-CoV2 and other respiratory infections

Yelagandula,  Ramesh,  Bykov, et al

medRxiv

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection| Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes

Here we present SARSeq, saliva analysis by RNA sequencing, as an approach to monitor presence of SARS-CoV2 and other respiratory viruses performed on tens of thousands of samples in parallel. Double blinded benchmarking to gold-standard quantitative RT-PCR performed in a clinical setting and a human diagnostics laboratory showed robust performance up to a Ct of 36.

Preferential observation of large infectious disease outbreaks leads to consistent overestimation of intervention efficacy

Zelner,  Jon,  Masters, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique

In this manuscript, we show how a tendency to preferentially observe large outbreaks can lead to consistent overconfidence in how effective interventions actually are. We show, in particular, that these inferences are highly susceptible to bias when the pathogen under consideration exhibits moderate-to-high amounts of heterogeneity in infectiousness. This includes important pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2, influenza, Noroviruses, HIV, Tuberculosis, and many others.

A Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patient With COVID-19 Infection After Immunotherapy: A Case Report and Literature Review

Zhai,  M,  Zhang, et al

In Vivo

Clinical data| Données cliniques

A patient with nasopharyngeal carcinoma developed severe COVID-19 after receiving immunotherapy. Unfortunately, despite aggressive treatment after the diagnosis of COVID-19, the patient died quickly.

How to set up central isolation sites to prevent re-outbreaks from imported cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-the experience of Shanghai, China

Zhang,  W,  Ge, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Public health interventions*| Interventions de sant&amp;eacute; publique Infection Prevention and Control/ Prévention et contrôle des infections (IPAC/PCI)

This report describes how to set up central isolation sites and run it effectively. We put isolation sites in transformed hotels, arranged personnel according to a huge data network, and set up specific procedures to manage guests. The epidemic situation in Shanghai has confirmed the feasibility and effectiveness of the methods that other jurisdictions can adapt for their use.

The Impact of COVID-19 on Interventional Radiology Services in the UK

Zhong,  J,  Datta, et al

Cardiovasc Intervent Radiol

Healthcare Response | Réponse des soins de santé

The aim of this multi-centre study was to measure the impact of COVID-19 on IR services in the UK.  Retrospective cross-sectional study of IR practice in six UK centres during the COVID-19 pandemic was carried out. A 31% decrease in overall number of IR procedures was observed during COVID-19 compared to the control group (1363 cases vs 942 cases); however, the acute work decreased by only 0.5%. An increase in out-of-hours work by 10% was observed. COVID-19 was suspected or laboratory proved in 9.9% of cases (n = 93), and 15% of total cases (n = 141) were classed as aerosol-generating procedures. A 66% rise in cholecystostomy was noted during COVID-19. During the global pandemic, IR has continued to provide emergency and elective treatment highlighting the adaptability of IR in supporting other specialties.

Features of alpha-HBDH in COVID-19 patients with different ages,outcomes and clinical types: a cohort study

Zhu,  Haoming,  Qu, et al

medRxiv

Epidemiology| Épidémiologie Clinical data| Données cliniques

This study aims to systematically analyze the features of hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase (alpha-HBDH) in COVID-19 patients with different ages, clinical types and outcomes. Electronic medical records including demographics, clinical manifestation, alpha-HBDH test results and outcomes of 131 hospitalized COVID-19 patients, with confirmed result of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral infection, were extracted and analyzed. The alpha-HBDH value in greater than or equal to 61 years old group, severe group and critical group, death group all increased at first and then decreased, while no obvious changes were observed in other groups. The optimal scale regression model showed that alpha-HBDH value and age were related to clinical type. alpha-HBDH value increases in some COVID-19 patients, obviously in greater than or equal to 61 years old, death and critical group, indicating that patients in these three groups suffer from more serious tissues and organs damage, higher alpha-HBDH value and risk of death. The obvious difference between death and survival group in early stage may provide a approach to judge the prognosis.

Student Support Systems for Undergraduate Medical Students During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Narrative Review of the Literature

Ardekani,  Ali,  Hosseini, et al

Research Square prepub

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

33059010; Meta-analysis on outcome-worsening comorbidities of COVID-19 and related potential drug-drug interactions

Awortwe,  C,  Cascorbi, et al

Pharmacological Research

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

MA: DDI occurring in the course of anti-Covid-19 treatment and co-morbidities could lead to ADRs, increasing the risk of hospitalization, prolonged time to recovery or death on extreme cases. COVID-19 patients with cardiometabolic diseases, chronic kidney disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease should be subjected to particular carefully clinical monitoring of adverse events with a possibility of dose adjustment when necessary.

An overview of the gut side of the SARS-CoV-2 infection

Barbosa da Luz,  B,  de Oliveira, et al

Intest Res

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Immunology of COVID-19

Brüssow,  H

Environ Microbiol

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Etiology of fever in returning travelers and migrants: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Buss,  I,  Genton, et al

J Travel Med

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: Embase, MEDLINE and Cochrane Library.  Malaria accounted for one fifth of febrile cases, highlighting the importance of rapid malaria testing in febrile returning travelers, followed by other rapid tests for common tropical diseases. High variability between studies highlights the need to harmonize study designs and to promote multi-center studies investigating predictors of diseases, including of lower incidence, which may help to develop evidence-based guidelines.

Low dose hydroxychloroquine is associated with lower mortality in COVID-19: a meta-analysis of 26 studies and 44,521 patients

Di Castelnuovo,  Augusto,  Costanzo, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

MA: Articles were retrieved until October 20th, 2020 by searching in seven databases. HCQ use was not associated with either increased or decreased mortality in COVID-19 patients when 4 RCTs only were evaluated, while a 7% to 33% reduced mortality was observed when observational studies were also included.

A rapid systematic review of measures to protect older people in long term care facilities from COVID-19

Frazer,  Kate,  Mitchell, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR:  Databases (including MedRXiv pre-published repository) were systematically searched. Novel evidence in this review details the impact of facility size, availability of staff and practices of operating between multiple facilities, and for-profit status of facilities as factors contributing to the size and number of COVID-19 outbreaks. No causative relationships can be determined; however, this review provides evidence of interventions that reduce transmission of COVID-19 in long term care facilities.

Benefits and risks of zinc for adults during covid-19: rapid systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Hunter,  Jennifer,  Arentz, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: 17 English and Chinese databases and clinical trial registries were searched in April/May 2020, with additional covid-19 focused searches in June and August 2020. Zinc is a potential therapeutic candidate for preventing and treating SARS-CoV-2, including older adults and adults without zinc deficiency (very low certainty). Zinc may also help to prevent other viral RTIs during the pandemic (moderate certainty) and reduce the severity and duration of symptoms (very low certainty).

Vascular Thrombosis in COVID-19: A Potential Association with Antiphospholipid Antibodies. A Rapid Systematic Review

Kallapur,  AneeshS,  Yen, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR: searched MEDLINE indexed journals on September 24, 2020. The aPL are prevalent in patients with COVID-19 and their presence is associated with thrombosis.

Hyperthrombotic Milieu in COVID-19 Patients

Kamel,  MH,  Yin, et al

Cells

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Molecular Mechanisms for Sex-based Differences in Patient Outcomes in COVID-19: A Systematic Review

Kumar,  Ashutosh,  Kulandhasamy, et al

SSRN- Lancet prepublication

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR:PubMed, Medline (EBSCO & Ovid), Google Scholar, Science Direct, Scopus, Bio Medical and Web of Science (WoS) were searched for the relevant data from December 1, 2019 to October 15, 2020. The qualitative analysis of the collected data unravelled multiple molecular mechanisms, such as sex-linkage of viral host cell entry receptor and immune genes, sex hormone and gut microbiome mediated immune-modulation, as the possible reasons for the sex-based differences in patient outcomes in COVID-19.

COVID-19 gender susceptibility and outcomes: A systematic review

Lakbar,  I,  Luque-Paz, et al

PLoS One

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR: search of PubMed, Medline, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library databases from inception to 1-June-2020. COVID-19 may be associated with worse outcomes in males than in females.

PMC7596174; Understanding building-occupant-microbiome interactions toward healthy built environments: A review

Li,  S,  Yang, et al

Front Environ Sci Eng

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

ACE2 and ACE: structure-based insights into mechanism, regulation and receptor recognition by SARS-CoV

Lubbe,  L,  Cozier, et al

Clin Sci (Lond)

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

At what times during infection is SARS-CoV-2 detectable and no longer detectable using RT-PCR-based tests? A systematic review of individual participant data

Mallett,  S,  Allen, et al

BMC Med

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR: searched PubMed, LitCOVID, medRxiv, and COVID-19 Living Evidence databases. RT-PCR misses detection of people with SARS-CoV-2 infection; early sampling minimises false negative diagnoses. Beyond 10 days post-symptom onset, lower RT or faecal testing may be preferred sampling sites.

Patient Questions Surrounding Mask Use for Prevention of COVID-19 and Physician Answers from an Evidence-Based Perspective: a Narrative Review

Martinez,  JA,  Miller, et al

J Gen Intern Med

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Predictors of in-hospital COVID-19 mortality: A comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis exploring differences by age, sex and health conditions

Mesas,  AE,  Cavero-Redondo, et al

PLoS One

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: conducted by searching the MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science databases of studies available through July 27, 2020.  The prognostic effect of clinical conditions on COVID-19 mortality vary substantially according to the mean age of patients.

Dermatologic manifestations of COVID-19: a comprehensive systematic review

Mirza,  FN,  Malik, et al

Int J Dermatol

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR: searched 12 databases for peer-reviewed or pre-print published studies until July 15, 2020. Roughly one-tenth in both populations were otherwise asymptomatic or presented with only skin findings for the entirety of the disease course; 13.3% (pediatrics) and 5.3% (adults) presented with skin issues first. Dermatologic findings may play an important role in identifying cases early and serve as an important proxy to manage spread.

Cardiovascular manifestations of COVID-19

Nandy,  S,  Wan, et al

Curr Cardiol Rev

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Vitamin D deficiency aggravates COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis

Pereira,  M,  Dantas Damascena, et al

Crit Rev Food Sci Nutr

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA:  Five online databases-Embase, PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, ScienceDirect and pre-print Medrevix were searched.We observed a positive association between vitamin D deficiency and the severity of the disease.

Emerging trends from COVID-19 research registered in the Clinical Trials Registry - India

Rao,  MVV,  Juneja, et al

Indian J Med Res

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Immunosuppressive drugs for patients with psoriasis during the COVID-19 pandemic era. A review

Sadeghinia,  A,  Daneshpazhooh, et al

Dermatol Ther

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Differences and similarities in diagnostic methods and treatments for Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a scoping review

Scholze,  Alessandro Rolim,  Melo, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

ScR: review conducted in the databases, MEDLINE, Cochrane, Embase, LILACS, Scopus, and Web of Science, and the gray Google Scholar literature, until May 2020. The evidence related to diagnostic methods are clear, and include tomography and laboratory tests. Medicinal or associated medications for the treatment of COVID-19, although showing a reduction in signs and COVID-19-related symptoms, can cause adverse effects of mild or severe intensity depending on viral load and inflammatory activity.

Gastroenterological and Hepatic Manifestations of Patients with COVID-19, Prevalence, Mortality by Country, and Intensive Care Admission Rate: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Shehab,  Mohammad,  Alrashed, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: from December 1st, 2019 to July 1st, 2020 PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane were searched. Our subanalysis shows that the presence of gastrointestinal and liver manifestations does not appear to affect mortality, or ICU admission rate. However, the mortality rate was higher in the United States compared to China.

A comprehensive review on promising anti-viral therapeutic candidates identified against main protease from SARS-CoV-2 through various computational methods

Singh,  E,  Khan, et al

J Genet Eng Biotechnol

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Parallels, differences and lessons: a comparison of the management of foot-and-mouth disease and COVID-19 using UK 2001/2020 as points of reference

Sumption,  K,  Knight-Jones, et al

Proc Biol Sci

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

 

Proportion of asymptomatic infection among COVID-19 positive persons and their transmission potential: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Yanes-Lane,  M,  Winters, et al

PLoS One

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: searched Embase, Medline, bioRxiv, and medRxiv up to 22 June 2020. Despite study heterogeneity, the proportion of asymptomatic infection among COVID-19 positive persons appears high and transmission potential seems substantial.

Safety, Tolerability, and Immunogenicity of COVID-19 Vaccines: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Yuan,  Ping,  Ai, et al

medRxiv

Review Literature| Revue de littérature

SR-MA: PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and medRxiv databases were used to select the studies. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that the current COVID-19 vaccine candidates are safe, tolerated, and immunogenic, which provides important information for further development, evaluation, and clinical application of COVID-19 vaccine.

Human recombinant soluble ACE2 (hrsACE2) shows promise for treating severe COVID-19

Abd El-Aziz,  TM,  Al-Sabi, et al

Signal Transduct Target Ther

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Compliance of the Gulf Cooperation Council airlines with COVID-19 mitigation measures

Alshahrani,  NZ,  Alshahrani, et al

J Travel Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

40th Anniversary Special Issue of Risk Analysis Improving Health Risk Assessment as a Basis for Public Health Decisions in the 21st Century

Anderson,  EL,  Omenn, et al

Risk Anal

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Storytelling and Poetry in the time of Coronavirus - medical students' perspective

Antram,  E,  Burchill, et al

Ir J Psychol Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

What does SARS-CoV-2 mean for global pneumonia prevention, diagnosis and treatment?

Awasthi,  S,  Campbell, et al

Chest

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Intervention strategies in the Care Routine at the Human Milk Bank in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic

Azevedo,  EHM,  Pontes, et al

Codas

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Environmental factors involved in SARS-CoV-2 transmission: effect and role of indoor environmental quality in the strategy for COVID-19 infection control

Azuma,  K,  Yanagi, et al

Environ Health Prev Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Analysis of costs for the pandemic management in a tertiary hospital in Italy: an investment for a more resilient structure

Baggiani,  A,  Briani, et al

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

American College of Rheumatology Guidance for the Management of Rheumatic Disease in Adult Patients During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Use of Apremilast

Bansal,  P,  Goyal, et al

Arthritis Rheumatol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Reexamining Health Care Coalitions in Light of COVID-19

Barnett,  DJ,  Knieser, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Beyond Six Feet: A Guideline to Limit Indoor Airborne Transmission of COVID-19

Bazant,  MartinZ,  Bush, et al

medRxiv

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Dutch cardiology residents and the COVID-19 pandemic: Every little thing counts in a crisis

Berger,  WR,  Baggen, et al

Neth Heart J

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Toward COVID-19 Therapeutics: A Viewpoint from the Nonprotein Amino Acid Based Synthetic Peptide Design Approach

Bhattacharjee,  S

ACS Chem Neurosci

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

August 2020 Interim EuGMS guidance to prepare European Long-Term Care Facilities for COVID-19

Blain,  H,  Rolland, et al

Eur Geriatr Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Pandemic: Future Challenges for Dental Practitioners

Bordea,  IR,  Xhajanka, et al

Microorganisms

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Lombardy, Italy: COVID-19 second wave less severe than the first? A preliminary investigation

Borghesi,  Andrea,  Golemi, et al

Research Square prepub

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Regulatory Challenges in the Covid-19 Era: the Case of Tunisia

Cherif,  D,  Felfel, et al

Disaster Med Public Health Prep

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Metabolic health in Brazil: trends and challenges

Cohen,  RicardoV,  Drager, et al

The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

DMCN 2020 highlights: COVID-19 and beyond

Dan,  B

Dev Med Child Neurol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

H-WORK Project: Multilevel Interventions to Promote Mental Health in SMEs and Public Workplaces

De Angelis,  M,  Giusino, et al

Int J Environ Res Public Health

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Potential for state restrictions to impact critical care of pregnant patients with COVID-19

DeMartino,  ES,  Chor, et al

Chest

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

The 11th Trial of a Cardiovascular Clinical Trialist: Coronavirus-2, Part 4 Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Frishman,  WH

Cardiol Rev

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Dynamic Quarantine: A comparative analysis of the Chilean Public Health response to COVID-19

Grebe,  G,  Velez, et al

Epidemiol Infect

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Correspondence on 'Prevalence and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with autoimmune diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis'

Gremese,  E,  Brondani, et al

Ann Rheum Dis

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Dental student perspective on Post-graduation planning in the COVID-19 Era panel

Ha,  K,  Lee, et al

J Dent Educ

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Newly Discovered Cellular Pathway Blocks Ebola, COVID-19 Viruses

Hampton,  T

Jama

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

The Decision to Publish Gutierrez-Alvarez et al., "Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Gene 5 Modulates Pathogenesis in Mice"

Heise,  M,  Dermody, et al

J Virol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Re: Implications for the future of Obstetrics and Gynaecology following the COVID-19 pandemic: a commentary

Herron,  J,  Herron, et al

Bjog

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Widespread smell testing for COVID-19 has limited application

Hopkins,  Claire,  Smith, et al

The Lancet

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Incidence during COVID-19 Pandemic in Southern Germany

Huber,  BC,  Brunner, et al

Resuscitation

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Work, Care and Gender During the COVID-19 Crisis

Hupkau,  Claudia,  petrongolo, et al

SSRN- Lancet prepublication

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Juggling the COVID-19 pandemic: a cytopathologist point of view

Iaccarino,  A,  Pisapia, et al

Cytopathology

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Covid-19: Mass population testing is rolled out in Liverpool

Iacobucci,  G

Bmj

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Covid-19: Study findings strongly support use of pooled testing, say researchers

Iacobucci,  G

Bmj

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

State Preparedness for Crisis Standards of Care in the United States: Implications for Emergency Management

Ingram,  AE,  Hertelendy, et al

Prehosp Disaster Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Key populations for early COVID-19 immunization: preliminary guidance for policy

Ismail,  SJ,  Zhao, et al

Cmaj

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Recognizing and Responding to Intimate Partner Violence using Telehealth: Practical Guidance for Nurses and Midwives

Jack,  SM,  Munro-Kramer, et al

J Clin Nurs

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Proteomic Biomarkers to Guide Stratification for Covid-19 Treatment: Exemplifying a Path Forward Toward Implementation?

Jankowski,  J

Proteomics

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19: what the clinician should know about post-mortem findings

Jonigk,  D,  Märkl, et al

Intensive Care Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Extremely Premature Infants, Scarcity, and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Kaempf,  JW,  Dirksen, et al

Acta Paediatr

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

What is the efficacy and safety of rapid exercise tests for exertional desaturation in Covid-19: A rapid review protocol

kalin,  Asli,  Greenhalgh, et al

medRxiv

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19 Caregiver Restrictions in Pediatrics

Kaye,  EC

Hosp Pediatr

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Videoconferencing for multidisciplinary team meetings in the coronavirus disease era - human factors awareness and recognition

Kerawala,  C,  Riva, et al

J Laryngol Otol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Medical Student Engagement During COVID-19: Lessons Learned and Areas for Improvement

Klasen,  JM,  Meienberg, et al

Med Educ

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Liver Biopsy Shines a Light on COVID-19-Related Liver Injury

Kleiner,  DE

Cell Mol Gastroenterol Hepatol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Why schools probably aren't COVID hotspots

Lewis,  D

Nature

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

PMC7519756; Erratum: Patients' Attitudes to Unproven Therapies in Treating COVID-19 Merit Evaluation

Li,  HT,  Cheng, et al

Innovation (N Y)

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Impact of COVID-19 preventative measures on dengue infections in Taiwan

Lin,  SF,  Lai, et al

J Med Virol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Tribute to All Covid-19 Fighters in Healthcare

Lopez,  J

Clin Chem

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Letter to the editor: chronic pain tidal wave after COVID-19: are you ready?

Louw,  A

Physiother Theory Pract

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Reply to the Letter to the Editor Regarding " COVID-19 impact on neurosurgical practice: lockdown attitude and experience of a European academic center "

Lubansu,  A,  Hadwe, et al

World Neurosurg

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Coronavirus pandemic: treatment and future prevention

Lundstrom,  K

Future Microbiol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Role of povidone iodine in ophthalmic clinical practice amidst COVID-19 pandemic

Madan,  S,  Beri, et al

Eur J Ophthalmol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Sociodemographic aspects of the older population in front of COVID-19 pandemic in a developing country: the case of Peru

Mendoza-Saldaña,  JD,  Viton-Rubio, et al

Gac Sanit

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Widespread smell testing for COVID-19 has limited application – Authors' reply

Menni,  Cristina,  Sudre, et al

The Lancet

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Evidence Regarding Vitamin D and Risk of COVID-19 and Its Severity

Mercola,  J,  Grant, et al

Nutrients

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

The hospitalized patient with COVID-19 on the medical ward: Cleveland Clinic approach to management

Miklowski,  M,  Jansen, et al

Cleve Clin J Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Reply to Letter to Editor from Bansal and Colleagues

Mikuls,  TR,  Fraenkel, et al

Arthritis Rheumatol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

An Incentive Based Approach for COVID-19 using Blockchain Technology

MK,  Manoj,  Srivastava, et al

arXiv

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Guiding principles for undergraduate medical education in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic

Muller,  D,  Parkas, et al

Med Teach

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Endonasal surgery in the coronavirus era - Birmingham experience

Naik,  PP,  Tsermoulas, et al

J Laryngol Otol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Long-term sequelae following previous coronavirus epidemics

O'Sullivan,  O

Clin Med (Lond)

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Questions and Answers on Practical Thrombotic Issues in SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Guidance Document from the Italian Working Group on Atherosclerosis, Thrombosis and Vascular Biology

Patti,  G,  Lio, et al

Am J Cardiovasc Drugs

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Association between COVID-19 and headache: What evidence and history tell us

Peng,  KP

Cephalalgia

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Using telehealth to provide outpatient follow-up to children with avoidant/restrictive food intake disorder

Peterson,  KM,  Ibañez, et al

J Appl Behav Anal

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Unexpected Health Insurance Profits and the COVID-19 Crisis

Plott,  CF,  Kachalia, et al

Jama

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Opinion: To stop the next pandemic, we need to unravel the origins of COVID-19

Relman,  DA

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

How can science be well-ordered in times of crisis? Learning from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

Reydon,  TAC

Hist Philos Life Sci

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Letter to the Editor: Diabetes, obesity and hypertension may promote oral SARS-CoV-2 infection- salivary soluble ACE2 perspective

Roganović,  J,  Radenković, et al

Oral Dis

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Daily persistent headache after a viral illness during a worldwide pandemic may not be a new occurrence: Lessons from the 1890 Russian/Asiatic flu

Rozen,  TD

Cephalalgia

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Who should be prioritised for COVID-19 vaccination?

Russell,  FM,  Greenwood, et al

Hum Vaccin Immunother

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Sample pooling, a population screening strategy for SARS-CoV2 to prevent future outbreak and mitigate the second-wave of infection of the virus

Sawarkar,  Sarthak Sanjay,  Victor, et al

medRxiv

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Modeling-based UV-C decontamination of N95 masks optimized to avoid undertreatment

Sears,  AdamP,  Ohayon, et al

medRxiv

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Did coronaviruses cause 'influenza epidemics' prior to 1918?

Shanks,  GD,  Brundage, et al

J Travel Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

PMC7538864; Remdesivir for coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19): More promising but still unproven

Shih,  RD,  Maki, et al

Contemp Clin Trials Commun

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19: Cytokine storm modulation/blockade with oral polyvalent immunoglobulins (PVIG, KMP01D): A potential and safe therapeutic agent (Primum nil nocere)

Sly,  LM,  Braun, et al

Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Three-fold increase in admissions for paediatric febrile convulsions during COVID-19 pandemic could indicate alternative virus symptoms

Smarrazzo,  A,  Mariani, et al

Acta Paediatr

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Outsmarting SARS-CoV-2 by empowering a decoy ACE2

Sokolowska,  M

Signal Transduct Target Ther

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Maintaining paediatric cardiac services during the COVID-19 pandemic in a developing country in sub-Saharan Africa: guidelines for a "scale up" in the face of a global "scale down"

Sokunbi,  OJ,  Mgbajah, et al

Cardiol Young

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Back to WHAT? The role of research ethics in pandemic times

Solbakk,  JH,  Bentzen, et al

Med Health Care Philos

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Reduced standards of scientific reporting in the COVID-19 pandemic?

Stöllberger,  C,  Finsterer, et al

Minerva Cardioangiol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Rationale for the use of sphingosine analogues in COVID-19 patients

Tasat,  DR,  Yakisich, et al

Clin Med (Lond)

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

PMC7577656; Neglect during a crisis: the stark reality

The Lancet,  Neurology

Lancet Neurol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

The impact of the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental-health services in Europe

Thome,  J,  Deloyer, et al

World J Biol Psychiatry

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19: chest X-rays to predict clinical outcomes

Torres,  Pptes,  Irion, et al

J Bras Pneumol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Silver linings of the COVID-19 pandemic from an infection prevention and control perspective

Tsang,  KK,  Mertz, et al

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19: A Rural US Emergency Department Perspective

Underwood,  A

Prehosp Disaster Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Evaluating sleep quality with COVID-19 testing

Viehmann-Wical,  K

J Clin Sleep Med

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Lessons learned while creating an effective emergency remote learning environment for students during the COVID-19 pandemic

Vollbrecht,  PJ,  Porter-Stransky, et al

Adv Physiol Educ

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Cardiovascular health and COVID-19: time to reinvent our systems and rethink our research priorities

Watkins,  DA

Heart

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Pediatric Hospitalizations During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Wilder,  JL,  Parsons, et al

Pediatrics

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19 and the orphan biologic polyvalent immunoglobulin - "Let food be thy medication" (Hippocrates of Kos c. 460 - c. 370 BC)

Woodcock,  BG

Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

Reduction in Mumps During the Fight Against the COVID-19 Pandemic

Wu,  D,  Ma, et al

Asia Pac J Public Health

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

A comment on "Serological survey of SARS-CoV-2 for experimental, domestic, companion and wild animals excludes intermediate hosts of 35 different species of animals"

Zhang,  N,  Xu, et al

Transbound Emerg Dis

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID research updates: The coronavirus's spread in households is fast and often silent

 

Nature

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

COVID-19-induced collateral damage

 

Wien Med Wochenschr

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

PMC7590909; Preparing for the vaccine

 

Nat Biotechnol

Commentary/Editorial| Commentaire/Éditorial

 

 


 

Appendix: Process and definitions. 

 

A daily search for new publications is conducted in PubMed, Scopus, BioRxiv and MedRxiv, SSRN, Research Square, arXiv for all publications related to COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 using the search terms (COVID-19 OR SARS-CoV-2 OR "novel CoV" OR "novel coronavirus" OR nCoV) adapted to each database.  The capture is cross-referenced with publication announcements on the COVID-19 dashboards set up by a number of publishers and google.  Publishers include Lancet, Elsevier, The New England Journal of Medicine, BMJ, Wiley, Springer Nature, ChinaCDCweekly. Additionally the database is cross-referenced with other literature scans and activities by collaborators.  Members of the Emerging Sciences group examine and shorten the abstract or develop 1 -2 point summaries of each publication. Please email Lisa Waddell for additional information: Lisa.Waddell@canada.ca.  References are compiled in a reworks database that has citations since the beginning of the outbreak.  All references can be accessed at this link and by the categories listed below.  The daily scan has also been compiled in an excel sheet and copies can be provided upon request or accessed here.

 

Category Definitions:

Modelling/ prediction: Predictive modeling is a process that uses data mining and probability to forecast outcomes. Each model is made up of a number of predictors, which are variables that are likely to influence future results.

Epidemiology: the branch of medicine which deals with the incidence, distribution, and possible control of diseases and other factors relating to health. Includes Ro, attack rates, case number doubling time, case fatality rate, serial interval, clinical attack rate, asymptomatic fraction, proportion of asymptomatic and infective*

Transmission: The passage of a pathogen causing communicable disease from an infected host to an uninfected host via direct or indirect routes.

Clinical data of cases: Includes clinical parameters such as incubation period, latent period, period of communicability, duration of illness, duration of hospitalization, host risk factors, as well as clinical profiles of patients; presenting symptoms, symptoms over course of illness, comorbidities.* 

Long-term Sequelae: Data or Studies that describe the long-term effects of COVID-19 from lingering symptoms to severe conditions that persiste after acute infection has resolved.

Mental Health: All studies on mental health impacts or consequences of the pandemic for both general population and healthcare workers. 

Surveillance: Public health surveillance is the continuous, systematic collection, analysis and interpretation of health-related data.  Surveillance data will likely be number of cases suspected/confirmed, number of deaths, number recovered. *

Coronavirology: All research relating to the virus; its characteristics, genetic make-up, phylogenetic analyses  

Diagnostics / Pathogen detection:  All studies on identification of the virus; culture, PCR, antibody/antigen tests etc.

Therapeutics: Studies of substances that may be used to treat infected hosts including passive immunization products.

Vaccine Research:  Studies of vaccine candidates to prevent infection with 2019-nCoV including clinical trials.

Public Health Priorities: These citations will focus on what the current research priorities are and/or where knowledge gaps exist.

Public Health interventions*: Any study evaluating how effective a public health intervention is or maybe (in the case of a predictive model).

Public Health response: Articles in this category include: COVID-19 AND substance abuse, domestic violence, social media analysis, adherence to public health measures and knowledge, attitudes and beliefs studies related to the pandemic.  

Infection Prevention and Control/ Prévention et contrôle des infections (IPAC/PCI): Any research on the effectiveness of IPC interventions should also be tagged as IPC

Health care Response: This foci would include a description of activities to deal with 2019-nCoV cases including, but not limited to:  set up of a special emergency multi-disciplinary intensive care team; Bed and medical equipment preparation/ stock piling supplies; Education and training of staff; Early case recognition and classification of disease severity.

Economics: papers discussing/ forecasting the economics of COVID-19 pandemic.

Immunology: the study of the immune system and includes serology studies in conjunction with other foci (e.g. epidemiology or diagnostics)

Animal Model: An animal model is a living, non-human, often genetic-engineered animal used during the research and investigation of human disease, for the purpose of better understanding the disease process without the added risk of harming an actual human.

Zoonotic: all literature discussing the transmission to and from or occurrence of naturally acquired SARS-COV-2 infection in animals. 

Review Literature:  All articles that summarize the published literature can be tagged as a review.  This includes systematic review, meta-analysis, scoping review, overviews, umbrella reviews*

Commentary/Editorial: For commentaries, editorials, letters to the editor, other types of opinion pieces where there is no new data collected by the author or analysis conducted by the author, please tag these within the commentary category.

News articles that have not scientific information.

*Lists are not exhaustive

Annexe: Processus et définitions. 

 

Une recherche quotidienne des nouvelles publications est effectuée dans PubMed, Scopus, BioRxiv and MedRxiv, SSRN, Research Square, arXiv pour toutes les publications relatives à la maladie COVID-19 ou au SRAS-CoV-2 en utilisant les termes de recherche (COVID-19 OU SARS-CoV-2 OU « novel CoV » OU « novel coronavirus » OU nCoV).  La saisie renvoie à des annonces de publication sur les tableaux de bord du nCoV mis en place par un certain nombre d'éditeurs et par Google.  Parmi les éditeurs figurent Lancet, Elsevier, The New England Journal of Medicine, BMJ, Wiley, Springer Nature, ChinaCDCweekly.  En outre, la base de données renvoie à d'autres survols de publications, et à des activités des collaborateurs.  Les membres du groupe scientifique émergent préparent des résumés en 1 ou 2 points de chaque publication. Pour en savoir plus, veuillez envoyer un courriel à Lisa Waddell au : Lisa.Waddell@canada.ca.  Les références sont compilées dans une base de données Refworks qui contient des citations depuis le début de l'épidémie.  Toutes les références sont accessibles à partir de ce lien et par les catégories énumérées ci-dessous. L'analyse quotidienne a également été compilée dans une feuille Excel et des copies peuvent être fournies sur demande ou consultées ici.

 

Définitions des catégories :

Modélisation / prédiction : La modélisation prédictive est un processus qui utilise l'exploration de données et la probabilité pour prévoir les résultats. Chaque modèle est composé de plusieurs prédicteurs, qui sont des variables susceptibles d'influencer les résultats futurs.

Épidémiologie : Branche de la médecine qui traite de l'incidence, de la répartition et du contrôle éventuel des maladies et d'autres facteurs liés à la santé. Comprend le taux de reproduction de base (Ro), les taux d'attaque, le temps de doublement du nombre de cas, le taux de létalité, l'intervalle sériel, le taux d'attaque clinique, la fraction asymptomatique, la proportion de cas asymptomatiques et infectieux*.

Transmission : Passage d'un agent pathogène causant une maladie transmissible d'un hôte infecté à un hôte non infecté par des voies directes ou indirectes.

Données cliniques des cas : Comprend les paramètres cliniques tels que la période d'incubation, la période de latence, la période de contagiosité, la durée de la maladie, la durée de l'hospitalisation, les facteurs de risque de l'hôte, ainsi que les profils cliniques des patients; les symptômes présentés, les symptômes au cours de la maladie, les séquelles, les comorbidités.* 

Séquelles à long terme: Données ou études décrivant les effets à long terme du COVID-19, des symptômes persistants aux affections graves qui persistent après la résolution de l'infection aiguë.

Santé mentale: Toutes les études sur les impacts ou les conséquences de la pandémie sur la santé mentale tant pour la population générale que pour les travailleurs de la santé.

Surveillance : La surveillance de la santé publique est la collecte, l'analyse et l'interprétation continues et systématiques de données relatives à la santé.  Les données de surveillance concerneront probablement le nombre de cas suspects / confirmés, le nombre de décès, le nombre de personnes guéries. *

Coronavirologie : Toutes les recherches relatives au virus, ses caractéristiques, sa constitution génétique et les analyses phylogénétiques.  

Diagnostics / Détection d'agents pathogènes : Toutes les études sur l'identification du virus : culture, PCR, tests de dépistage d'anticorps ou d’antigènes, etc.

Thérapeutique : Étude des substances pouvant être utilisées pour traiter les hôtes infectés, y compris les produits d'immunisation passive.

Recherche sur les vaccins : Études des candidats à la vaccination pour prévenir l'infection par le 2019-nCoV, y compris des essais cliniques.

Priorités de santé publique : Ces citations porteront sur les priorités actuelles de recherche et/ou sur les lacunes dans les connaissances.

Interventions de santé publique* : Toute étude évaluant l'efficacité (réelle ou possible) d'une intervention de santé publique (dans le cas d'un modèle prédictif).

Réponse de la santé publique : Les articles de cette catégorie comprennent: COVID-19 ET toxicomanie, violence domestique, analyse des médias sociaux, respect des mesures de santé publique et études sur les connaissances, les attitudes et les croyances liées à la pandémie.

Prévention et contrôle des infections/Infection Prevention and Control (PCI/IPAC) : Les recherches sur l'efficacité des interventions en PCI doivent également être marquées comme PCI.

Réponse des soins de santé : Ce point comprendrait une description des activités pour traiter les cas de 2019-nCoV, notamment :  mise en place d'une équipe multidisciplinaire spéciale de soins intensifs d'urgence; préparation des lits et des équipements médicaux / stockage des fournitures; sensibilisation et formation du personnel; reconnaissance précoce des cas et classification de la gravité de la maladie.

Immunologie : l'étude du système immunitaire et comprend des études sérologiques en conjonction avec d'autres foyers (p. ex. épidémiologie ou diagnostic)

Modèle animal: Un modèle animal est un animal vivant, non humain, souvent génétiquement modifié, utilisé lors de la recherche et de l'investigation des maladies humaines, dans le but de mieux comprendre le processus de la maladie sans risque supplémentaire de nuire à un humain réel.

Zoonotic: all literature discussing the transmission to and from or occurrence of naturally acquired SARS-COV-2 infection in animals. 

Économie: documents discutant / prévoyant l'économie de la pandémie de COVID-19

Revue de la documentation :  Tous les articles qui résument les documents publiés peuvent être marqués comme une revue.  Cela comprend les revues systématiques, les méta-analyses, les études de la portée, les aperçus, les examens généraux*.

Commentaires/Éditorial : Pour les commentaires, éditoriaux, lettres à la rédaction, autres types d'articles d'opinion pour lesquels aucune nouvelle donnée n'est collectée ou aucune analyse n'est effectuée par l'auteur, veuillez les marquer dans la catégorie des commentaires.

journaux Articles de presse qui n'ont pas d'informations scientifiques.

* Les listes ne sont pas exhaustives